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Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

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Changes <strong>in</strong> the climate system<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> that is relevant for assess<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>impacts</strong><br />

of climate <strong>change</strong>, <strong>and</strong> for <strong>in</strong>form<strong>in</strong>g adaptation<br />

plann<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

• Heat extremes can have severe <strong>impacts</strong> on society,<br />

<strong>and</strong> they are the most deadly climatic hazard <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>Europe</strong>.<br />

• Mean precipitation is a key climate variable with major<br />

importance for all ecosystems <strong>and</strong> social systems.<br />

• Heavy precipitation can cause floods, with<br />

considerable <strong>impacts</strong> on social-economic sectors <strong>and</strong><br />

ecosystem services.<br />

• W<strong>in</strong>d storms are a significant weather hazard that<br />

can cause considerable damage <strong>in</strong> various parts of<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>.<br />

• Hail is responsible for significant damage to<br />

build<strong>in</strong>gs, crops, vehicles <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>in</strong><br />

affected regions. However, the local nature of hail<br />

makes it difficult to monitor <strong>and</strong> to detect trends<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g classical observational networks.<br />

Meteorological droughts are discussed jo<strong>in</strong>tly with<br />

hydrological droughts <strong>in</strong> Section 4.3.4.<br />

Data quality <strong>and</strong> data needs<br />

The presented atmospheric climate variables, with<br />

the exception of hail, are a subset of the Essential<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> Variables (ECVs) def<strong>in</strong>ed through the Global<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> Observ<strong>in</strong>g System (GCOS) (see Section 7.1.1).<br />

Spatial <strong>and</strong> temporal coverage of the observed climate<br />

variables varies significantly across the globe; it is<br />

generally best over <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>and</strong> North America.<br />

Regular <strong>in</strong>strumental measurements of temperature<br />

<strong>and</strong> precipitation started around 1850; s<strong>in</strong>ce then<br />

monthly <strong>in</strong>formation about global temperature <strong>and</strong><br />

precipitation have become available. A dense network<br />

of stations across the globe, <strong>and</strong> particularly <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>,<br />

now provide regular monitor<strong>in</strong>g of key atmospheric<br />

climate variables, us<strong>in</strong>g st<strong>and</strong>ardised measurements,<br />

quality control <strong>and</strong> homogeneity procedures at<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an level. However, even where sufficient data<br />

are available, several problems can limit their use for<br />

analysis. These problems are ma<strong>in</strong>ly connected with<br />

1) limitations of distribut<strong>in</strong>g data <strong>in</strong> high spatial <strong>and</strong><br />

temporal resolution by many countries, 2) unavailability<br />

of data <strong>in</strong> easy-to-use digital format, <strong>and</strong> 3) lack of data<br />

homogeneity.<br />

In November 2014, the <strong>Europe</strong>an Commission signed<br />

a Delegation Agreement with ECMWF (<strong>Europe</strong>an<br />

Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) for<br />

the implementation of the Copernicus <strong>Climate</strong><br />

Change Service (C3S). The C3S will provide access to<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation for monitor<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> predict<strong>in</strong>g climate<br />

<strong>change</strong> <strong>and</strong> will, therefore, help to support adaptation<br />

<strong>and</strong> mitigation. It benefits from a susta<strong>in</strong>ed network of<br />

<strong>in</strong> situ <strong>and</strong> satellite-based observations, reanalysis of<br />

the Earth’s climate, <strong>and</strong> modell<strong>in</strong>g scenarios based on a<br />

variety of climate projections (see Section 7.1.2).<br />

70 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2016</strong> | An <strong>in</strong>dicator-based report

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