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Brasil e China no Reordenamento das Relações ... - Funag

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jin canronG<br />

in the pursuit of modernization. This in turn makes them differ in their<br />

status, interest appeals and strategic choices in international relations 4 .<br />

In the next decade, the balance of power between the West and the<br />

rest will continue to change, and the Western dominance in international<br />

structure will soon give way to a more balanced power system in which<br />

both the Western and <strong>no</strong>n-Western powers have their say. As the most<br />

powerful and dominant country in the Western camp, US still enjoys<br />

unparalleled tech<strong>no</strong>logy and military strength. To some degree, Obama’s<br />

reform measures have improved the US eco<strong>no</strong>my and its international<br />

image. For instance, the latest report on national security strategy <strong>no</strong>t<br />

only stressed the importance of military might, but clarified the priority<br />

of diplomacy, development, and international mechanism in resolving<br />

disputes, preventing conflicts and maintaining peace 5 . By distancing<br />

itself from the strategy of unilateralism and preemptive strike advocated<br />

by the Bush administration, the report demonstrates that US is good at<br />

correcting mistakes and reflecting on its strategies. However, the internal<br />

and external difficulties in front of US are unlikely to be fundamentally<br />

relieved within a short period of time. Domestically, despite that the<br />

quickly launched bail-out plan and eco<strong>no</strong>mic stimulus package help to<br />

avoid an eco<strong>no</strong>mic free-fall, US eco<strong>no</strong>my will grow, but sluggishly in<br />

comparison to the rapid expansion of emerging eco<strong>no</strong>mies. The slow<br />

recovery will certainly curb President Obama’s ambition to revitalize<br />

US manufacturing sector. Besides, the polarization of American politics<br />

leads to stronger disagreements between Democrats and Republicans, and<br />

between the White House and Capitol, making it hard to seek unity of will<br />

and form strategic consensus, which are key to the formation of political<br />

actions 6 . Externally, US have to spend considerable resources on the<br />

prolonged battle against terrorism, and its conflicts with other countries<br />

are impossible to be solved immediately. To outsource its responsibility,<br />

Washington carried out the smile diplomacy and cooperated with many<br />

partners, but the strategy failed to meet the expected outcome. Therefore,<br />

4 For detailed analysis on the five types of countries or country blocs in <strong>no</strong>n-Western world, see<br />

Jin Canrong, Liu Shiqiang, “Farewell to the Western-Centrism: Reflection on the Current Status<br />

and Future Trends of the International Structure”, International Survey. No 2, 2010, pp. 4-6.<br />

5 The White House, National Security Strategy, May, 2010, p22, http://www.whitehouse.gov/<br />

sites/default/files/rss_viewer/national_security_strategy.pdf.<br />

6 o Zhang Yeliang, “Polarized US Politics: Myth or Reality”, American Studies, N 3, 2008, pp.<br />

25-31.<br />

52

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