Brasil e China no Reordenamento das Relações ... - Funag

the world and china in the next decade
in the future, US is unlikely to enjoy the same prominent international
status it had owned at the beginning of this century, and it will have to
expend enormous efforts and costs to exercise its international leadership.,
As two other important members from the West camp, Japan and EU are
unable to maintain the status of Western-Centrism, for they are dragged
by internal political games and social governance challenges. 7 Thereby,
although the West will remain at the center of the international structure,
but in general, as the three pillars of the camp are facing lots of problems
and uncertainties, its ability to lead the world will decline.
The non-Western world is rising as a whole. The comprehensive
strength and strategic influence of emerging market economies have
rose significantly due to their successful internal reforms. In the next
decade, although these countries have to deal with internal restructuring
and governance problems, they will continue to grow at a faster speed
than developed economies and grow into new drive engines of world
economy after the financial crisis 8 . As a result, the status of emerging
market economies in world economy and politics will see a substantial
rise. Their relations with existing major powers will determine the
stability of the future world. After the Cold War, Russia fell into a decade
of decline and chaos. But after it reestablished its status as a world power
via strong leadership and resource advantages, it began to adopt a tough
stance in its foreign policy to protect its strategic interests. Suffering from
the international financial crisis over the last year, Russia softened its
stance and made concessions on issues like Iran’s nuclear program and
international nuclear disarmament so as to re-set US-Russian relations.
Nonetheless, the effort is largely limited in consideration of their different
geographic situations, different understandings of the history, and the
messianic cultures and mindsets of the two countries. 9 In the coming
decade, amid internal calls for stable and sustainable government policies
and a second reform of the market, Russia will carry on its foreign
policy of drifting between Western and non-Western powers, and will
7 For internal problems of Japan and EU, see Jin Canrong, Liu Shiqiang, “The Profound Changes
in International Situation and Its Impact on China”, Contemporary International Relations. No 12, 2009, pp. 3-4.
8 Gu Yuanxiang, “Rise of Emerging Economies and the Changes in World Structure”, Asia and
Africa Review, No 1, 2010, pp. 4-6.
9 Jin Canrong, “How to Understand International Trend”, Contemporary International Relations,
No 9, 2008, p. 4.
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