Brasil e China no Reordenamento das Relações ... - Funag

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remain in the circle of hope and disillusionment. Thus, Russia’s status in
international structure is quite uncertain, but the orientation of its policies
can significantly influence the international situation. When it comes to
the future of Islamic world, the most decisive point is to readjust existing
social system so as to balance Islamic traditions with secular values,
local cultures and western influences. That is to say, the future destiny
of Islamic countries is determined by whether they can embark on the
transition to modernism driven by the endogenous forces. As for the
failed states, their future needs a commonly recognized political authority,
as well as assistance based on international consensus and efforts. The
anti-Americanism will be eased in the next ten years as US adjusts its
foreign policies, but it is unlikely to diminish because the long-term US
supremacy will continue.
The development trends of Western and non-Western powers,
together with their interactive relations, foretell significant changes of
the post-Cold War international structure dominated by the West. The
West will decline relatively, while non-Western powers will rise as a
whole. In the meantime, the power distribution within the two worlds
will also change. That is, the US dominance in the Western camp will
be further strengthened, while emerging market economies will play
bigger roles in non-Western world. The world will enter an era featuring
a relative balance between the West and the rest, and the coexistence
of competitions and cooperation between traditional and emerging
powers. The relations between emerging powers and the West, with US
in particular, will set the tone and the trend of international politics in the
future. Specifically, the changing international structure will deeply affect
the global issues, decision-making systems, and ideas of development
in future world.
Firstly, modern, global issues will return to the center of international
politics. Since the end of the Cold War, three different types of countries
have coexisted in the world, which are pre-modern state, post-modern
state and modern state. Most countries, including US, belong to the
class of modern state. A considerable number of European countries
have become post-modern states in social formation and political
philosophy. Some countries in Central Asia and Latin America, failing
to get modernized in time, are downgraded to pre-modern states, or
the so-called failed states. The three types of countries, on different
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