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Challenges in the Era of Globalization - iaabd

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<strong>Challenges</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Era</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong><br />

Edited by Emmanuel Obuah<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce 2003, SSA bank market power and spread have been fall<strong>in</strong>g. In general, <strong>the</strong> conventional Lerner<br />

figures <strong>in</strong>dicate 26% price mark-up over marg<strong>in</strong>al cost dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> period, 2000-2007, whereas <strong>the</strong><br />

estimated fund<strong>in</strong>g and efficiency-adjusted Lerner <strong>in</strong>dices are around 57% and 59% respectively. As <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

case <strong>of</strong> Koetter et al (2008) for US banks, <strong>the</strong> figures <strong>of</strong> efficiency-adjusted Lerner exceeds that <strong>of</strong><br />

conventional <strong>in</strong>dex. Likewise <strong>the</strong> magnitude <strong>of</strong> fund<strong>in</strong>g-adjusted Lerner is on average more than <strong>the</strong><br />

conventional Lerner. These figures <strong>in</strong>deed suggest that <strong>the</strong> former figures underestimate <strong>the</strong> degree <strong>of</strong><br />

market power and thus justify <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> three estimations <strong>in</strong> this analysis. The African banks have<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased <strong>the</strong>ir use <strong>of</strong> non-deposit fund<strong>in</strong>g over <strong>the</strong> period. In 2000, <strong>the</strong> average non-deposit fund<strong>in</strong>g, our<br />

proxy for fund<strong>in</strong>g strategy was 7.8% <strong>the</strong>n <strong>in</strong>crease to 14.42% <strong>in</strong> 2004. The magnitude <strong>of</strong> non-deposit<br />

fund<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>n fell by 59% to 5.84% <strong>in</strong> 2007. Similar trends are reported for <strong>in</strong>ternal cash flow f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Risk aversion and credit risk <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> period be<strong>in</strong>g analyzed; only fall<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> 2007. However, <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> risk aversion (equity ratio) must be analyzed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> context <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> capitalization level <strong>in</strong> Africa.<br />

Labor cost <strong>in</strong>creased over <strong>the</strong> period while implicit payment <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> mid 2000s (i.e. 2001-2004). The<br />

size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank proxied by <strong>the</strong> dollar amount <strong>of</strong> total assets was relatively stable dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> period under<br />

study. So was <strong>the</strong> cost to <strong>in</strong>come ratio.<br />

Table 1: Summary statistics averaged for <strong>the</strong> period 2000-2007<br />

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Bank spread 0.039 0.059 0.064 0.078 0.077 0.072 0.061 0.045<br />

Conventional Lerner 0.104 0.115 0.178 0.255 0.257 0.245 0.263 0.248<br />

Fund<strong>in</strong>g-adjusted Lerner 0.270 0.423 0.466 0.537 0.529 0.500 0.469 0.422<br />

Efficiency-adjusted Lerner 0.292 0.454 0.493 0.556 0.545 0.501 0.485 0.432<br />

Concentration 0.657 0.636 0.632 0.603 0.569 0.553 0.557 0.581<br />

Internal fund 0.050 0.072 0.066 0.085 0.088 0.063 0.071 0.060<br />

Non-deposit fund 0.078 0.103 0.131 0.144 0.144 0.109 0.096 0.058<br />

Credit risk 0.275 0.392 0.395 0.446 0.466 0.432 0.411 0.354<br />

Risk aversion 0.078 0.120 0.118 0.126 0.134 0.133 0.114 0.100<br />

Bank size ($’million) 333.8 459.7 553.6 737.7 865.1 496.3 524.2 647.1<br />

Implicit payment 0.010 0.018 0.018 0.020 0.022 0.019 0.017 0.011<br />

Labor cost 0.012 0.019 0.022 0.024 0.024 0.023 0.020 0.017<br />

Efficiency ratio 0.278 0.484 0.487 0.472 0.507 0.497 0.408 0.336<br />

Non-<strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong>come 0.097 0.127 0.162 0.166 0.163 0.150 0.142 0.132<br />

Monetary policy 0.220 0.216 0.197 0.302 0.182 0.378 0.320 0.538<br />

Source: WDI, Bankscope and author’s own calculations<br />

All <strong>the</strong> calculations are <strong>in</strong> percentages except bank size which <strong>in</strong> million <strong>of</strong> US Dollars<br />

Evaluation <strong>of</strong> bank spread <strong>in</strong> SSA<br />

The objective <strong>of</strong> this paper is to <strong>in</strong>vestigate empirically <strong>the</strong> relationship between spread and monetary<br />

policy. To this effect, <strong>the</strong> paper follows Maudos and Fernandez de Guevara (2004), to estimate equation<br />

(1) us<strong>in</strong>g fixed effect. The method captures specific characteristics <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividual banks by employ<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

with<strong>in</strong>-group estimators. The Hausman test allows <strong>the</strong> null hypo<strong>the</strong>sis <strong>of</strong> absence <strong>of</strong> correlation between<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual effects and <strong>the</strong> explanatory variables to be rejected <strong>in</strong> all cases, thus <strong>the</strong> GLS estimator <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

random effect model be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>consistent. The regression results relat<strong>in</strong>g bank spreads to credit risk, labour<br />

cost, cash flows, fund<strong>in</strong>g strategy, bank market power and implicit payments are presented <strong>in</strong> table 2. It<br />

<strong>in</strong>cludes macro variables to <strong>in</strong>vestigate whe<strong>the</strong>r banks pr<strong>of</strong>it from tighten<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> monetary policy<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicators. The different columns reported relate to different empirical approaches to Lerner <strong>in</strong>dex used:<br />

column 1 for conventional Lerner <strong>in</strong>dex, column 2 for fund<strong>in</strong>g-adjusted Lerner <strong>in</strong>dex and column 3 for<br />

efficiency-adjusted Lerner <strong>in</strong>dex. The results, <strong>in</strong> general, show that all <strong>the</strong> variables considered <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

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