10.12.2012 Views

Challenges in the Era of Globalization - iaabd

Challenges in the Era of Globalization - iaabd

Challenges in the Era of Globalization - iaabd

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Proceed<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 12th Annual Conference © 2011 IAABD<br />

Statement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> research problem<br />

Although at first <strong>the</strong> Government wanted people to believe o<strong>the</strong>rwise, <strong>the</strong> negative effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> crisis was<br />

almost obvious as, for example, some companies were forced to retrench staff due to decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g sales.<br />

Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> crisis what rema<strong>in</strong>ed elusive was <strong>the</strong> extent to which <strong>the</strong> Tanzanian economy was<br />

affected and “how do we monitor and address <strong>the</strong> impact on our economy result<strong>in</strong>g from this economic<br />

downturn?”<br />

Research objectives and questions<br />

Given <strong>the</strong> research problem <strong>the</strong> study had <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g specific objectives to achieve.<br />

1. To identify and analyze <strong>the</strong> economic effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis on Tanzania’s economy;<br />

2. To identify and analyze whe<strong>the</strong>r any specific efforts have been taken by <strong>the</strong> Tanzanian government <strong>in</strong><br />

try<strong>in</strong>g to address <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis.<br />

Literature Review<br />

Causes <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial Crises<br />

The f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis that unfolded around mid 2007 was not <strong>the</strong> first one <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> world’s economic history.<br />

It was just one <strong>of</strong> many <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> 1930 crisis and <strong>the</strong> Eastern Asia countries crisis <strong>of</strong> 1997-98 (Liu,<br />

2000). F<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis has been def<strong>in</strong>ed as a “disturbance to <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial markets that disrupts <strong>the</strong> market<br />

capacity to allocate capital to f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>termediation and hence <strong>in</strong>vestments come to a halt” (Portes,<br />

1998). The f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis may disrupt f<strong>in</strong>ancial markets <strong>in</strong> various forms <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g foreign exchange<br />

market disruptions, bank<strong>in</strong>g system disruptions or a debt crisis (Portes, 1998). Portes also stipulates that<br />

although historically <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial crises have orig<strong>in</strong>ated from <strong>the</strong> bank<strong>in</strong>g system, <strong>the</strong> true causes<br />

(sources) are normally too complex to establish. In this va<strong>in</strong>, Portes’ (1998) statement reflects <strong>the</strong> cyclic<br />

causation and relationship among many drivers.<br />

The causes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> crises have been determ<strong>in</strong>ed through research around <strong>the</strong> world to <strong>in</strong>clude (but not<br />

limited to):<br />

• Maturity mismatch between borrow<strong>in</strong>gs and lend<strong>in</strong>g (Portes,1998; Liu, 2000).<br />

• Poor regulations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial sector (Liu, 2000; Portes, 1998; Eiteman et al, 2008; World bank<br />

1998 <strong>in</strong> Liu, 2000).<br />

• World f<strong>in</strong>ancial markets <strong>in</strong>efficiencies (Portes, 1998; Eiteman et al, 2008)<br />

• Sub-prime mortgages’ markets failures (McCulloch, 2008; Blundel-Wignall et al, 2008).<br />

• Excessive foreign reserves <strong>in</strong> some countries specifically Ch<strong>in</strong>a and Middle East (McCulloch, 2008;<br />

Blundel-Wignall et al, 2008).<br />

• Expansionary monetary policy <strong>in</strong> OECD countries and macroeconomic policies failures (McCulloch,<br />

2008; Blundel-Wignall et al, (2008).<br />

• General regulatory and policy failures (Blundel-Wignall et al, 2008; Saunders, 2008).<br />

• Corporate governance failure (Blundel-Wignall et al, 2008; (Blundell-Wignall and Atk<strong>in</strong>son, 2008;<br />

Saunders, 2008).<br />

Theoretical and empirical literature, <strong>the</strong>refore, underscore <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> causes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis<br />

orig<strong>in</strong>ate from extreme and unsusta<strong>in</strong>able economic growth, poor regulations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial markets and<br />

<strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> policy changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> “networked” global economy.<br />

Effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis<br />

The f<strong>in</strong>ancial crises affect <strong>the</strong> world economies differently, depend<strong>in</strong>g on how each country is l<strong>in</strong>ked to<br />

<strong>the</strong> world economy particularly <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial sector. These effects are usually reflected on:<br />

• Value <strong>of</strong> assets (Liu, 2000; Portes, 1998; McCulloch, 2008; AFDB, 2009).<br />

52

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!