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Challenges in the Era of Globalization - iaabd

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Proceed<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 12th Annual Conference © 2011 IAABD<br />

• Full dollarization can improve <strong>the</strong> global economy by allow<strong>in</strong>g for easier <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>of</strong><br />

economies <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> world’s market.<br />

Economic Conditions lead<strong>in</strong>g to Dollarization<br />

Zimbabwe has a population <strong>of</strong> about 13 million people <strong>of</strong> which 37% is urban population and 73 % is<br />

rural. Between 2000 and 2008 <strong>the</strong> economy cont<strong>in</strong>ued to slide down as depicted <strong>in</strong> table 1 below.<br />

Zimbabwe Gross Domestic Product –real growth rate<br />

YEAR GDP-growth rate Percent<br />

2003 -12.10<br />

2004 -13.60<br />

2005 -8.20<br />

2006 -7.70<br />

2007 -4.40<br />

2008 -5.50<br />

2009 -14.10<br />

2010 -1.30<br />

Table 1 (World Fact book 2010)<br />

Year 2009 marked <strong>the</strong> dollarization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Zimbabwe economy under <strong>the</strong> Government <strong>of</strong> National Unity<br />

(GPU) that was formed February 13, 2009. With <strong>the</strong> dollarization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy GDP for 2009<br />

improved to m<strong>in</strong>us 1.3% from an estimated m<strong>in</strong>us 14.4% <strong>in</strong> 2008; <strong>the</strong> estimation for 2010 was 4.1%. The<br />

dollarization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy became necessary to facilitate trade because <strong>the</strong> Zimbabwe dollar had<br />

become valueless as <strong>in</strong>dicated <strong>in</strong> Table 2 below.<br />

Exchange rate History <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Zimbabwean Dollars to one US Dollar<br />

Month ZWD Rate per USD<br />

Sept 2008 1 000<br />

Oct 2008 90 000<br />

Nov 2008 1 200 000<br />

Mid Dec 2008 60 000 000<br />

End Dec 2008 2 000 000 000<br />

Mid Jan 2009 1 000 000 000 000<br />

2 Feb 2009 300 000 000 000 000<br />

Table 2 (World Fact book 2010)<br />

It is <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g to note that <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> era <strong>of</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> Zimbabwe’s economy had come to a stand- still.<br />

However, <strong>the</strong> dollarization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy has been received with mixed feel<strong>in</strong>gs especially by <strong>the</strong> 94%<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population that is not ga<strong>in</strong>fully employed especially <strong>the</strong> rural people where about 80% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

population is found and are not earn<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> dollar. Inevitably, <strong>the</strong> rural people and some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

unemployed urban people have resorted to barter system to survive <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> era <strong>of</strong> dollarization.<br />

The dollarization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> currency benefited <strong>the</strong> ga<strong>in</strong>fully employed people and left <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

population with no source <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>come. As <strong>of</strong> 2009 Zimbabwe unemployment rate stood at 94%. Given <strong>the</strong><br />

high unemployment rate it means that even some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> urban population is unemployed. Faced with that<br />

k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>of</strong> hardships <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> people reverted to barter system. In <strong>the</strong> short-run <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> Zimbabwe people suffered as <strong>the</strong>y failed to pay for such services as health s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>y had to have <strong>the</strong><br />

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