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Please note - Swinburne University of Technology

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Measuring demographic phenomenon<br />

fertility<br />

mortality<br />

internal and international migration<br />

Population estimates and projections<br />

Cohort analysis<br />

Demographics <strong>of</strong> enterprises and industries<br />

labour force<br />

* skills<br />

markets<br />

International demographic trends<br />

Geodemographic s<strong>of</strong>tware<br />

Psychographics.<br />

Textbooks<br />

Pollard, A.H., Yusuf, F. and Pollard, G.N. Demographic T~hnique. 3rd<br />

edn, Sydney, Pergamon Press, 1990<br />

~ ~ 6 0 7 Market Modelling 2<br />

No. <strong>of</strong> hours per week: two hours<br />

Prerequisites: nil<br />

Instruction: lecture/tutorial<br />

Assessment: individual and syndicate<br />

assignments<br />

Subject aims<br />

This subject aims to familiarise participants with three<br />

forecasting techniques which have not been covered in detail<br />

previously, namely, the qualitative, causal and Markovian<br />

approaches. Emphasis will be on using a range <strong>of</strong> techniques<br />

to build market demand models.<br />

Note that throughout this course use will be made <strong>of</strong><br />

computer s<strong>of</strong>tware packages.<br />

Subject description<br />

Incorporating qualitative techniques including delphi, group<br />

consensus scenario, and historical analogy into demand<br />

models.<br />

Causal approaches to forecasting, including a broad range <strong>of</strong><br />

regression techniques.<br />

Model fitting and evaluation.<br />

Markov process theory.<br />

Textbook<br />

Makridakis, S., Wheelwright, S.C. and McGee, V.E. Forecasting<br />

Methods and Applications. 2nd edn, New York, Wiley, 1985<br />

~ ~ 7 0 3 Technological Forecasting<br />

Prerequisites: Completion <strong>of</strong> the Graduate<br />

Diploma in Management Systems or equivalent<br />

Assessment: Pass/fail only. Major case study<br />

submitted in form <strong>of</strong> management report<br />

Subject aims and description<br />

identify the appropriate approach to adopt for a<br />

forecasting problem (i.e. differentiate between the<br />

approaches <strong>of</strong> predictive, casual and more importantly<br />

(for users and workers in the field <strong>of</strong> information<br />

technology) qualitative forecasting (specifically<br />

technological forecasting);<br />

for selected situations, choose the appropriate approach<br />

for the problem and be aware <strong>of</strong> the caveats associated<br />

with that choice;<br />

be able to carry out a full scale technological forecasting<br />

exercise and then, via the medium <strong>of</strong> a management<br />

report, communicate the findings to the appropriate<br />

people;<br />

Topics include general introduction to forecasting<br />

approaches; time based forecasting techniques; technological<br />

forecasting; scenario analysis; latest developments in IT.<br />

References<br />

Bails, D.G. and Peppers, L.C. Business Fluctuations: Forecasting<br />

MethodsandApplications. Englewood Cliffs, N.J., Prentice Hall, 1982<br />

Makridakis, S.and Wheelright, S.C. Forecasting Methods for<br />

Management. 5th edn, New York, Wiley, 1989<br />

BTI 10 lnformation <strong>Technology</strong><br />

No. <strong>of</strong> hours per week: four hours<br />

Prerequisites: nil<br />

Instruction: lecture, tutorial, laboratory<br />

Assessment: examinationlassignment<br />

Subject aims and description<br />

An understanding <strong>of</strong> information technology is essential for a<br />

successful career in business (and most other areas <strong>of</strong><br />

employment). This subject develops an awareness <strong>of</strong> how<br />

computers are used to solve business problems, and gives the<br />

student strong practical skills in current microcomputer<br />

s<strong>of</strong>tware.<br />

Objectives:<br />

to give students a broad understanding <strong>of</strong> information<br />

technology in the business environment;<br />

to endow students with computer skills which will be <strong>of</strong><br />

immediate benefit in other subjects, and <strong>of</strong> later use In<br />

their careers.<br />

Content:<br />

fundamentals <strong>of</strong> computing<br />

microcomputers and large systems<br />

data communications<br />

systems development<br />

data concepts<br />

structured programming<br />

word processing<br />

spreadsheets (Micros<strong>of</strong>t Excel or Lotus 1-2-3)<br />

data base (dBASE 111 + or IV)<br />

basic DOS<br />

windows<br />

Textbooks<br />

To be advised<br />

References<br />

Stern, N. B. and Stern, R. A. Computing in the Information Age, New<br />

York, Wiley, 1993<br />

Other current introductory books on information technology<br />

<strong>Swinburne</strong>-produced guides on word processing, Word for Windows,<br />

Excel, Lotus 1-2-3, and dBASE 111 + and DOS

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