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THE SAMPLE SIZE 101<br />

The sample size<br />

A question that often plagues novice researchers is<br />

just how large their samples for the research should<br />

be. There is no clear-cut answer, for the correct<br />

sample size depends on the purpose of the study<br />

and the nature of the population under scrutiny.<br />

However, it is possible to give some advice on this<br />

matter. Generally speaking, the larger the sample<br />

the better, as this not only gives greater reliability<br />

but also enables more sophisticated statistics to be<br />

used.<br />

Thus, a sample size of thirty is held by many<br />

to be the minimum number of cases if researchers<br />

plan to use some form of statistical analysis on<br />

their data, though this is a very small number<br />

and we would advise very considerably more.<br />

Researchers need to think out in advance of any<br />

data collection the sorts of relationships that they<br />

wish to explore within subgroups of their eventual<br />

sample. The number of variables researchers set<br />

out to control in their analysis and the types<br />

of statistical tests that they wish to make must<br />

inform their decisions about sample size prior<br />

to the actual research undertaking. Typically an<br />

anticipated minimum of thirty cases per variable<br />

should be used as a ‘rule of thumb’, i.e. one must<br />

be assured of having a minimum of thirty cases<br />

for each variable (of course, the thirty cases for<br />

variable one could also be the same thirty as for<br />

variable two), though this is a very low estimate<br />

indeed. This number rises rapidly if different<br />

subgroups of the population are included in the<br />

sample (discussed below), which is frequently the<br />

case.<br />

Further, depending on the kind of analysis to<br />

be performed, some statistical tests will require<br />

larger samples. For example, less us imagine that<br />

one wished to calculate the chi-square statistic,<br />

a commonly used test (discussed in Part Five)<br />

with cross-tabulated data, for example lo<strong>ok</strong>ing at<br />

two subgroups of stakeholders in a primary school<br />

containing sixty 10-year-old pupils and twenty<br />

teachers and their responses to a question on a<br />

5-point scale (see diagram below).<br />

Here one can notice that the sample size<br />

is eighty cases, an apparently reasonably sized<br />

sample. However, six of the ten cells of responses<br />

(60 per cent) contain fewer than five cases.<br />

The chi-square statistic requires there to be five<br />

cases or more in 80 per cent of the cells (i.e.<br />

eight out of the ten cells). In this example only<br />

40 per cent of the cells contained more than<br />

five cases, so even with a comparatively large<br />

sample, the statistical requirements for reliable<br />

data with a straightforward statistic such as chisquare<br />

have not been met. The message is clear,<br />

one needs to anticipate, as far as one is able,<br />

some possible distributions of the data and see if<br />

these will prevent appropriate statistical analysis;<br />

if the distributions lo<strong>ok</strong> unlikely to enable reliable<br />

statistics to be calculated then one should increase<br />

the sample size, or exercise great caution in<br />

interpreting the data because of problems of<br />

reliability, or not use particular statistics, or,<br />

indeed, consider abandoning the exercise if the<br />

increase in sample size cannot be achieved.<br />

The point here is that each variable may need<br />

to be ensured of a reasonably large sample size (a<br />

minimum of maybe six–ten cases). Indeed Gorard<br />

(2003: 63) suggests that one can start from the<br />

minimum number of cases required in each cell,<br />

multiply this by the number of cells, and then<br />

double the total. In the example above, with six<br />

cases in each cell, the minimum sample would be<br />

120 (6 × 10 × 2), though, to be on the safe side,<br />

to try to ensure ten cases in each cell, a minimum<br />

Chapter 4<br />

Variable: 10-year-old pupils should do one hour’s homework each weekday evening<br />

Strongly disagree Disagree Neither agree Agree Strongly agree<br />

nor disagree<br />

10-year-old pupils in the school 25 20 3 8 4<br />

Teachers in the school 6 4 2 4 4

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