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16 THE NATURE OF INQUIRY<br />

warrant’’ of its findings, showing the match or<br />

fit between its statements and what is happening<br />

or has happened in the world’ (Cuff and Payne<br />

1979: 4). These standards and procedures we<br />

will call for convenience ‘the scientific method’,<br />

though this can be somewhat misleading for<br />

the following reason: the combination of the<br />

definite article, adjective and singular noun<br />

conjures up in the minds of some people a<br />

single invariant approach to problem-solving, an<br />

approach frequently involving atoms or rats, and<br />

taking place within the confines of a laboratory.<br />

Yet there is much more to it than this. The<br />

term in fact cloaks a number of methods which<br />

vary in their degree of sophistication depending<br />

on their function and the particular stage of<br />

development a science has reached. Box 1.5 sets<br />

out the sequence of stages through which a science<br />

normally passes in its development or, perhaps<br />

more realistically, that are constantly present in<br />

its progress and on which scientists may draw<br />

depending on the kind of information they seek<br />

or the kind of problem confronting them. Of<br />

particular interest in our efforts to elucidate the<br />

term ‘scientific method’ are stages 2, 3 and 4.<br />

Stage 2 is a relatively uncomplicated point at<br />

which the researcher is content to observe and<br />

record facts and possibly arrive at some system<br />

of classification. Much research in the field of<br />

education, especially at classroom and school<br />

level, is conducted in this way, e.g. surveys and<br />

case studies. Stage 3 introduces a note of added<br />

sophistication as attempts are made to establish<br />

relationships between variables within a loose<br />

framework of inchoate theory. Stage 4 is the<br />

most sophisticated stage and often the one that<br />

many people equate exclusively with the scientific<br />

method. In order to arrive at causality, as distinct<br />

from mere measures of association, researchers here<br />

design experimental situations in which variables<br />

are manipulated to test their chosen hypotheses.<br />

This process moves from early, inchoate ideas,<br />

to more rigorous hypotheses, to empirical testing<br />

of those hypotheses, thence to confirmation or<br />

modification of the hypotheses (Kerlinger 1970).<br />

With stages 3 and 4 of Box 1.5 in mind,<br />

we may say that the scientific method begins<br />

Box 1.5<br />

Stages in the development of a science<br />

1 Definition of the science and identification of the<br />

phenomena that are to be subsumed under it.<br />

2 Observational stage at which the relevant factors,<br />

variables or items are identified and labelled, and at<br />

which categories and taxonomies are developed.<br />

3 Correlational research in which variables and<br />

parameters are related to one another and<br />

information is systematically integrated as theories<br />

begin to develop.<br />

4 The systematic and controlled manipulation of<br />

variables to see if experiments will produce<br />

expected results, thus moving from correlation to<br />

causality.<br />

5 The firm establishment of a body of theory as the<br />

outcomes of the earlier stages are accumulated.<br />

Depending on the nature of the phenomena under<br />

scrutiny, laws may be formulated and systematized.<br />

6 The use of the established body of theory in the<br />

resolution of problems or as asourceoffurther<br />

hypotheses.<br />

consciously and deliberately by selecting from the<br />

total number of elements in a given situation. More<br />

recently Hitchcock and Hughes (1995: 23) suggest<br />

an eight-stage model of the scientific method that<br />

echoes Kerlinger. This is represented in Box 1.6.<br />

The elements the researchers fasten on to will<br />

naturally be suitable for scientific formulation; this<br />

means simply that they will possess quantitative<br />

Box 1.6<br />

An eight-stage model of the scientific method<br />

Stage 1: Hypotheses, hunches and guesses<br />

Stage 2: Experiment designed; samples taken;<br />

variables isolated<br />

Stage 3: Correlations observed; patterns identified<br />

Stage 4: Hypotheses formed to explain regularities<br />

Stage 5: Explanations and predictions tested;<br />

falsifiability<br />

Stage 6: Laws developed or disconfirmation<br />

(hypothesis rejected)<br />

Stage 7: Generalizations made<br />

Stage 8: New theories.

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