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526 QUANTITATIVE DATA ANALYSIS<br />

Box 24.21<br />

A2× 3contingencytableforchi-square<br />

Science Arts Humanities<br />

subjects subjects subjects<br />

7.6 8 8.4<br />

Males 14 4 6 24<br />

11.4 12 12.6<br />

Females 5 16 15 36<br />

19 20 21 60<br />

students opting for each of the particular subjects.<br />

The figure is arrived at by statistical computation,<br />

hence the decimal fractions for the figures. What<br />

is of interest to the researcher is whether the actual<br />

distribution of subject choice by males and females<br />

differs significantly from that which could occur<br />

by chance variation in the population of college<br />

entrants (Box 24.21).<br />

The researcher begins with the null hypothesis<br />

that there is no statistically significant difference<br />

between the actual results noted and what might<br />

be expected to occur by chance in the wider population.<br />

When the chi-square statistic is calculated,<br />

if the observed, actual distribution differs from that<br />

which might be expected to occur by chance alone,<br />

then the researcher has to determine whether that<br />

difference is statistically significant, i.e. not to<br />

support the null hypothesis.<br />

In our example of sixty students’ choices, the<br />

chi-square formula yields a final chi-square value<br />

of 14.64. This we refer to the tables of the<br />

distribution of chi-square (see Table 4 in The<br />

Appendices of Statistical Tables) to determine<br />

whether the derived chi-square value indicates a<br />

statistically significant difference from that occurring<br />

by chance. Part of the chi-square distribution<br />

table is shown here.<br />

Degrees of Level of significance<br />

freedom 0.05 0.01<br />

3 7.81 11.34<br />

4 9.49 13.28<br />

5 11.07 15.09<br />

6 12.59 16.81<br />

The researcher will see that the ‘degrees of<br />

freedom’ (a mathematical construct that is related<br />

to the number of restrictions that have been<br />

placed on the data) have to be identified. In<br />

many cases, to establish the degrees of freedom,<br />

one simply takes 1 away from the total number<br />

of rows of the contingency table and 1 away from<br />

the total number of columns and adds them; in<br />

this case it is (2 − 1) + (3 − 1) = 3degreesof<br />

freedom. Degrees of freedom are discussed in the<br />

next section. (Other formulae for ascertaining<br />

degrees of freedom hold that the number is<br />

the total number of cells minus one – this is<br />

the method set out later in this chapter.) The<br />

researcher lo<strong>ok</strong>s along the table from the entry<br />

for the three degrees of freedom and notes that<br />

the derived chi-square value calculated (14.64)<br />

is statistically significant at the 0.01 level, i.e.<br />

is higher than the required 11.34, indicating<br />

that the results obtained – the distributions of<br />

the actual data – could not have occurred simply<br />

by chance. The null hypothesis is not supported<br />

at the 0.01 level of significance. Interpreting<br />

the specific numbers of the contingency table<br />

(Box 24.21) in educational rather than statistical<br />

terms, noting the low incidence of females in the<br />

science subjects and the high incidence of females<br />

in the arts and humanities subjects, and the high<br />

incidence of males in the science subjects and the<br />

low incidence of males in the arts and humanities,<br />

the researcher would say that this distribution is<br />

statistically significant – suggesting, perhaps, that<br />

the college needs to consider action possibly to<br />

encourage females into science subjects and males<br />

into arts and humanities.<br />

The chi-square test is one of the most widely<br />

used tests, and is applicable to nominal data in<br />

particular. More powerful tests are available for<br />

ordinal, interval and ratio data, and we discuss<br />

these separately. However, one has to be cautious<br />

of the limitations of the chi-square test. Lo<strong>ok</strong> at<br />

the example in Box 24.22.<br />

If one were to perform the chi-square test on<br />

this table then one would have to be extremely<br />

cautious. The chi-square statistic assumes that no<br />

more than 20 per cent of the total number of<br />

cells contain fewer than five cases. In the example<br />

here we have one cell with four cases, another<br />

with three, and another with only one case, i.e.

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