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292 EXPERIMENTS AND META-ANALYSIS<br />

effect size, that is to say, in terms of how much<br />

difference they make rather than only in terms<br />

of whether or not the effects are statistically<br />

significant at some arbitrary level such as 5 per<br />

cent. Because, with effect sizes, it becomes easier to<br />

concentrate on the educational significance of a<br />

finding rather than trying to assess its importance<br />

by its statistical significance, we may finally see<br />

statistical significance kept in its place as just one<br />

of many possible threats to internal validity. The<br />

move towards elevating effect size over significance<br />

levels is very important (see also Chapter 24), and<br />

signals an emphasis on ‘fitness for purpose’ (the<br />

size of the effect having to be suitable for the<br />

researcher’s purposes) over arbitrary cut-off points<br />

in significance levels as determinants of utility.<br />

The term ‘meta-analysis’ originated in<br />

1976 (Glass 1976) and early forms of meta-analysis<br />

used calculations of combined probabilities and<br />

frequencies with which results fell into defined<br />

categories (e.g. statistically significant at given<br />

levels), although problems of different sample sizes<br />

confounded rigour (e.g. large samples would yield<br />

significance in trivial effects, while important data<br />

from small samples would not be discovered because<br />

they failed to reach statistical significance)<br />

(Light and Smith 1971; Glass et al. 1981;McGaw<br />

1997: 371). Glass (1976) and Glass et al. (1981)<br />

suggested three levels of analysis:<br />

primary analysis of the data<br />

secondary analysis, a re-analysis using different<br />

statistics<br />

meta-analysis analysing results of several<br />

studies statistically in order to integrate the<br />

findings.<br />

Glass et al.(1981)andHunteret al. (1982) suggest<br />

eight steps in the procedure:<br />

1 Identify the variables for focus (independent<br />

and dependent).<br />

2 Identify all the studies which feature the<br />

variables in which the researcher is interested.<br />

3 Code each study for those characteristics<br />

that might be predictors of outcomes and<br />

effect sizes. (e.g. age of participants, gender,<br />

ethnicity, duration of the intervention).<br />

4 Estimate the effect sizes through calculation<br />

for each pair of variables (dependent<br />

and independent variable) (see Glass 1977),<br />

weighting the effect-size by the sample size.<br />

5 Calculate the mean and the standard<br />

deviation of effect-sizes across the studies, i.e.<br />

the variance across the studies.<br />

6 Determine the effects of sampling errors,<br />

measurement errors and range of restriction.<br />

7 If a large proportion of the variance is<br />

attributable to the issues in Step 6, then<br />

the average effect-size can be considered an<br />

accurate estimate of relationships between<br />

variables.<br />

8 If a large proportion of the variance is not<br />

attributable to the issues in Step 6, then<br />

review those characteristics of interest which<br />

correlate with the study effects.<br />

Co<strong>ok</strong> et al. (1992:7–12)setoutafivestep<br />

model for an integrative review as a research<br />

process, covering:<br />

1 Problem formulation, where a high quality<br />

meta-analysis must be rigorous in its attention<br />

to the design, conduct and analysis of the<br />

review.<br />

2 Datacollection,wheresamplingofstudiesfor<br />

review has to demonstrate fitness for purpose.<br />

3 Data retrieval and analysis, where threats<br />

to validity in non-experimental research – of<br />

which integrative review is an example – are<br />

addressed. Validity here must demonstrate<br />

fitness for purpose, reliability in coding, and<br />

attention to the methodological rigour of the<br />

original pieces of research.<br />

4 Analysis and interpretation, where the<br />

accumulated findings of several pieces of<br />

research should be regarded as complex<br />

data points that have to be interpreted by<br />

meticulous statistical analysis.<br />

Fitz-Gibbon (1984: 141–2) sets out four steps<br />

in conducting a meta-analysis:<br />

1 Finding studies (e.g. published, unpublished,<br />

reviews) from which effect sizes can be<br />

computed.

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