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PROBABILITY SAMPLES 111<br />

subjects for the sample. This can be done by<br />

drawing names out of a container until the required<br />

number is reached, or by using a table of<br />

random numbers set out in matrix form (these<br />

are reproduced in many bo<strong>ok</strong>s on quantitative<br />

research methods and statistics), and allocating<br />

these random numbers to participants or cases<br />

(e.g. Hopkins et al. 1996: 148–9). Because of<br />

probability and chance, the sample should contain<br />

subjects with characteristics similar to the<br />

population as a whole; some old, some young,<br />

some tall, some short, some fit, some unfit,<br />

some rich, some poor etc. One problem associated<br />

with this particular sampling method<br />

is that a complete list of the population is<br />

needed and this is not always readily available<br />

(see http://www.routledge.com/textbo<strong>ok</strong>s/<br />

9780415368780 – Chapter 4, file 4.7.ppt).<br />

Systematic sampling<br />

This method is a modified form of simple random<br />

sampling. It involves selecting subjects from a<br />

population list in a systematic rather than a<br />

random fashion. For example, if from a population<br />

of, say, 2,000, a sample of 100 is required,<br />

then every twentieth person can be selected.<br />

The starting point for the selection is chosen at<br />

random (see http://www.routledge.com/textbo<strong>ok</strong>s/<br />

9780415368780 – Chapter 4, file 4.8.ppt).<br />

One can decide how frequently to make<br />

systematic sampling by a simple statistic – the total<br />

number of the wider population being represented<br />

divided by the sample size required:<br />

f = N sn<br />

f = frequency interval<br />

N = the total number of the wider population<br />

sn = the required number in the sample.<br />

Let us say that the researcher is working with a<br />

school of 1,400 students; by lo<strong>ok</strong>ing at the table<br />

of sample size (Box 4.1) required for a random<br />

sample of these 1,400 students we see that 302<br />

students are required to be in the sample. Hence<br />

the frequency interval (f) is:<br />

1, 400<br />

= 4.635 (which rounds up to 5.0)<br />

302<br />

Hence the researcher would pick out every fifth<br />

name on the list of cases.<br />

Such a process, of course, assumes that the<br />

names on the list themselves have been listed in a<br />

random order. A list of females and males might<br />

list all the females first, before listing all the males;<br />

if there were 200 females on the list, the researcher<br />

might have reached the desired sample size before<br />

reaching that stage of the list which contained<br />

males, thereby distorting (skewing) the sample.<br />

Another example might be where the researcher<br />

decides to select every thirtieth person identified<br />

from a list of school students, but it happens that:<br />

(a) the school has just over thirty students in each<br />

class; (b) each class is listed from high ability to<br />

low ability students; (c) the school listing identifies<br />

the students by class.<br />

In this case, although the sample is drawn<br />

from each class, it is not fairly representing the<br />

whole school population since it is drawing almost<br />

exclusively on the lower ability students. This is<br />

the issue of periodicity (Calder 1979). Not only is<br />

there the question of the order in which names<br />

are listed in systematic sampling, but also there<br />

is the issue that this process may violate one of<br />

the fundamental premises of probability sampling,<br />

namely that every person has an equal chance<br />

of being included in the sample. In the example<br />

above where every fifth name is selected, this<br />

guarantees that names 1–4, 6–9 etc. will be<br />

excluded, i.e. everybody does not have an equal<br />

chance to be chosen. The ways to minimize this<br />

problem are to ensure that the initial listing is<br />

selected randomly and that the starting point for<br />

systematic sampling is similarly selected randomly.<br />

Stratified sampling<br />

Stratified sampling involves dividing the population<br />

into homogenous groups, each group<br />

containing subjects with similar characteristics.<br />

For example, group A might contain males and<br />

group B, females. In order to obtain a sample<br />

representative of the whole population in<br />

Chapter 4

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