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TRADICIÓN E INNOVACIÓN S.A. de C.V. 11.1 Simulación del los estados proforma para la alternativa ESTADOS PROFORMA FLUJO DE EFECTIVO PAGO A CAPTL. PAGO A CAPTL. FLUJO AÑO UTILIDAD NETA DyA REFACCIONARIO AVIO EFECTIVO TIR 2005 -$3,087,656.45 67% 2006 $1,163,994,28 $811,458.65 $93,945.08 $146,136.79 $1,735,371.06 2007 $1,425,952.13 $373,957.85 $93,945.08 $146,136.79 $1,559,828.11 2008 $2,271,567.60 $373,957.85 $93,945.08 $146,136.79 $2,405,443.58 2009 $2,332,619.77 $373,957.85 $93,945.08 $0.00 $2,612,632.54 2010 $2,428,459.07 $272,779.85 $93,945.08 $0.00 $2,607,293.84 2011 $3,565,740.87 $272.779.85 $93,945.08 $0.00 $3,744,575.64 2012 $3.621.256.83 $272,779.85 $93,945.08 $0.00 $3,800,091.59 2013 $3,666,883.84 $272,779.85 $0.00 $0.00 $3,939,663.69 2014 $3,694,065.63 $272,779.85 $0.00 $0.00 $3,966,845.48 2015 $4,885,040.81 $272,779.85 $0.00 $0.00 $5,157,820.66 *De la tabla podemos interpretar que al optar por la maquila de la operación de secado la TIR se incrementa en un 23% aparentemente. 447
TRADICIÓN E INNOVACIÓN S.A. de C.V. 11.2 Simulación del flujo neto de efectivo para la alternativa SALDO ($) $5,000,000.00 $4,000,000.00 $3,000,000.00 $2,000,000.00 $1,000,000.00 $- -$1,000,000.00 -$2,000,000.00 -$3,000,000.00 -$4,000,000.00 FLUJO NETO DE EFECTIVO FLUJO NETO DE EFECTIVO 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 HORIZONTE DE PLA NEA CIÓN (A ÑOS) 448 SALDO *De la grafica podemos interpretar que al no adquirir el secador por aspersión como parte de la Inversión Fija, el Periodo de Retorno de Inversión se reduce de a mediados del 5to. año de operaciones (caso anterior) a principios del 3er. año, aparentemente. 11.3 Conclusiones para la alternativa En resumen, esta alternativa resulta económicamente más atractiva y queda como una opción bastante viable, sobre todo si se decide ajustarse al monto de Inversión Fija original del proyecto (aproximadamente $1,100,000.00 de los $2,000,000.00 propuestos). Sin embargo, es importante remarcar que habría que reconsiderar la factibilidad técnica y logística de la planta, pues al mandar a maquilar la principal y la más delicada operación unitaria del proceso que es el secado por aspersión, este paso saldría de nuestro total control y supervisión.
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CAPÍTULO UNO

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