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Please note - Swinburne University of Technology

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presentation <strong>of</strong> statistical data;<br />

measures <strong>of</strong> central tendency and dispersion;<br />

probability theory and probability distributions;<br />

sampling theory and design;<br />

hypothosis testing<br />

statistical inference including estimation and confidence<br />

intervals;<br />

index numbers;<br />

time series analysis including correlation and regression;<br />

introduction to the mathematio <strong>of</strong> finance.<br />

Textbook<br />

Comprehensive student <strong>note</strong>s and references will be made available.<br />

BQ22O Business Forecasting<br />

No. <strong>of</strong> hours per week: three hours<br />

Prerequisites: BQ11 OE, BQ110, BQI 11,<br />

Quantitative Analysis<br />

Instruction: lecturehutorial<br />

Assessment: individual and syndicate assignments<br />

Subject aims and description<br />

This unit will provide students with an exposure to the first<br />

<strong>of</strong> many vital business modelling tools. The unit commences<br />

by providing students with an overview <strong>of</strong> forecasting<br />

techniques and approaches. Following on from this, the<br />

criteria for selection <strong>of</strong> an appropriate forecasting technique<br />

are examined and detailed consideration is giwn to the first<br />

<strong>of</strong> the three main forecasting categories - predictiw forecasting<br />

from a time series. These techniques are introduced<br />

via case studies based on a variety <strong>of</strong> product markets.<br />

The techniques considered range from the simple nonadaptive<br />

awraging methods through to an examination <strong>of</strong><br />

the need to use more complex approaches. After<br />

successfully completing this unit, students will be competent<br />

users <strong>of</strong> the main forecasting techniques. The approach<br />

taken in this unit is a practical one and therefore<br />

considerable use will be made <strong>of</strong> PC-based business<br />

modelling s<strong>of</strong>tware packages.<br />

Textbooks<br />

Makridakis, 5. Wheelwright, ST. and McGee, V.E. Forecasting<br />

Methods for Management. 4th ed, New York: Wiley, 1985<br />

ReSemnces<br />

Bowers, D.A. An Introduction to Business Cydes and Forecasting.<br />

Reading. Mass.: Addison Wesley, 1985<br />

Cryer, J.D. Time Series Analysis. Boston: PWS Publishing Co.. 1986<br />

Newbold. I? and Boss, T. htroductory Business Forecasting. South-<br />

Western Publishing Co., 1990<br />

BQ22l Marketing Data Management<br />

No. <strong>of</strong> hours per week: three hours<br />

Prerequisites: BQ111 Quantitative Analysis B<br />

(BQI 11 E + BQI 10) Quantitatiw Analysis A<br />

Instruction: lecturellaboratory<br />

Assessment: maintenance <strong>of</strong> laboratory logbook,<br />

syndicate assignment, examination<br />

Subject aims and description<br />

This unit forms an important part <strong>of</strong> the market analyst's<br />

tool kit. The unit has been designed to equip students with<br />

the techniques and skills required to access and analyse<br />

information relevant to the market research activities <strong>of</strong> both<br />

private and public companies. The approach taken in this<br />

unit is a practical one and therefore considerable use will be<br />

made <strong>of</strong> PC-based business modelling s<strong>of</strong>tware packages.<br />

This unit will:<br />

introduce students to a number <strong>of</strong> data archiws, public<br />

access databases and videotext-type information sources;<br />

develop the necessary skills to access information sources<br />

using data management and statistical sohare on<br />

micro-computer and in a mainframe computer<br />

environment;<br />

extend students' knowledge <strong>of</strong> the statistical methods<br />

that are necessary for the analysis <strong>of</strong> primary and<br />

secondary data.<br />

Textbook<br />

Norusis, N.M. SPSS/PC+ Studentware Plus for Business. SPSS Inc.,<br />

1991<br />

References<br />

Australian Bureau <strong>of</strong> Statistics, The 1991 Census Dictionary. Canberra:<br />

A.G.P.S., 1991<br />

SSDA Catalogue, Social Science Data Archie Australian National<br />

Univenity, 1991<br />

Supermap User Guide and Reference. SpacerTime Research,<br />

Melbourne, 1988<br />

BQ222 Quantitative Management Techniques<br />

Students intending to complete a major or minor<br />

in accounting are strongly recommended to<br />

include this unit as part <strong>of</strong> their studies<br />

No. <strong>of</strong> houn per week: three hours<br />

Prerequisites: BQ111 Quantitative Analysis B<br />

(BQ111 E -+ BQ110) Quantitative Analysis A<br />

Instruction: lectureltutorial<br />

Assessment: examinationlsyndicate assignment<br />

Subject aims and description<br />

This unit will provide students with an awareness <strong>of</strong> a range<br />

<strong>of</strong> business modelling techniques and their application to a<br />

variety <strong>of</strong> accounting and general business problems. As a<br />

result <strong>of</strong> this unit, students will gain an understanding <strong>of</strong><br />

the inter-relationships between business modelling<br />

techniques and the traditional accounting function in an<br />

organisation. In addition, this unit will form the basis for a<br />

more extensive study <strong>of</strong> the application <strong>of</strong> these techniques<br />

in subsequent units.<br />

The emphasis <strong>of</strong> this unit is on the practical solution <strong>of</strong><br />

specific business problems and, in particular, on the<br />

recognition, formulation and interpretation stages <strong>of</strong> a<br />

business modelling solution. In this unit considerable use will<br />

be made <strong>of</strong> PC-based business modelling s<strong>of</strong>tware packages.<br />

Areas <strong>of</strong> study will normally include:<br />

the general problem <strong>of</strong> resource allocation with an<br />

emphasis on linear programming, including an<br />

introduction to post-optimality analysis and the<br />

determination <strong>of</strong> transfer prices in a decentralised<br />

organisation;<br />

an introduction to qualitative and predictive business<br />

forecasting with particular emphasis on short-term<br />

product demand;<br />

the use <strong>of</strong> business modelling techniques to manage<br />

inventory;<br />

an introduction to general approaches to planning and<br />

decision-making;<br />

an introdudion to quality and control techniques using<br />

control charts and acceptance sampling, with applications<br />

in auditing.<br />

Textbook<br />

Render, B. and Stair, R.M. Quantitative Analysis for Management. 4th<br />

ed. Boston: London: Allyn and Bacon. 1991<br />

References<br />

Anderson, M.O. and Liwano, R.J. Quantitative Management - An<br />

Introduction. 2nd ed, Boston, Mass.: Kent, 1986<br />

Groebner, D.F. and Shannon, W. Introduction to Management<br />

Science. 1st ed, MacMillan, 1982

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