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Please note - Swinburne University of Technology

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Advanced forecasting<br />

The Box-Jenkins methodolpgy, differencing <strong>of</strong> time series,<br />

sample autocorrelation and sample partial autocorrelation<br />

(SAC and SPAC), checking stationarity <strong>of</strong> time series using<br />

SAC and SPAC, autoregressive models; moving average<br />

models; general ARMA models, autoregressive integrated<br />

moving average models (ARIMA). general ARIMA with<br />

seasonality, use <strong>of</strong> computer packages such as SASIETS.<br />

Decision analysis<br />

lntroduction to decision problems, deterministic decision<br />

problem vs stochastic single criterion decision tree analysis<br />

and related topics, financial comparisons <strong>of</strong> projects, multiple<br />

criteria decision methods. Use <strong>of</strong> computer packages such as<br />

PROPS and EC.<br />

sM526 Applied Statistics 5<br />

TI<br />

(U<br />

n<br />

10.0 credit points<br />

C_ -+ No. <strong>of</strong> hours per week: three hours<br />

Y<br />

Assessment: testslexamination and assignments<br />

' A third-year subject <strong>of</strong> the degree course in mathematics<br />

8 and computer science.<br />

o_<br />

m' Subject description<br />

Q Sampling methods for sample surveys<br />

VI<br />

9. Basic designs for sample surveys: simple random sampling,<br />

stratified sampling and systematic sampling.<br />

;d Estimators for means, totals and proportions; variance<br />

estimation. The design effect; sample size determination;<br />

EPSEM samples. Practical issues and methods: questionnaire<br />

design.<br />

lntroduction to multivariate methods<br />

An informal introduction to sampling from multivariate<br />

populations. The variance-covariance matrix, the multivariate<br />

normal distribution, multi-variate means, Hotelling's T 2<br />

statistic, the multivariate anal~is <strong>of</strong> variance. Wilk's lambda.<br />

An introduction to principal components analysis, factor<br />

analysis and cluster analysis.<br />

SM581 Discrete Mathematics<br />

10.0 credit points<br />

No. <strong>of</strong> hours per week: three hours<br />

Prerequisite: SM 180<br />

Assessment: testslexamination and assignments<br />

A third-year subject <strong>of</strong> the degree courses in mathematics<br />

and computer science and applied and industrial<br />

mathematics.<br />

Subject description<br />

Set theory and relations: review <strong>of</strong> formal set theory;<br />

operations on sets; ordered sets; Cartesian product.<br />

Relations: binary relations, especially equivalence relations<br />

and partitions; ordering and partial ordering; functions.<br />

Logic: introduction to propositional calculus and to predicate<br />

calculus; traditional and modern symbolic logic.<br />

The nature <strong>of</strong> formal (pure) mathematics: mathematical<br />

pro<strong>of</strong> and theorems; necessaly and sufficient conditions;<br />

types <strong>of</strong> pro<strong>of</strong>, including mathematical induction.<br />

Boolean algebra: review <strong>of</strong> algebraic structures; rules <strong>of</strong><br />

Boolean algrebra, with examples; simplification <strong>of</strong> Boolean<br />

expressions. Boolean functions: truth tables and Karnaugh<br />

maps, normal and minimal forms.<br />

Combinatorial analysis: systematic techniques <strong>of</strong> listing and<br />

<strong>of</strong> counting for arrangements, selections, partitions etc. Use<br />

<strong>of</strong> recurrence relations and series. Applications to selected<br />

problems. Use <strong>of</strong> generating functions.<br />

Elementary number theory: division in integers; greatest<br />

common divisors; congruence; computer applications.<br />

Selected applications <strong>of</strong> discrete mathematics (e.g. graph<br />

theory). Selective introduction to other areas <strong>of</strong> pure<br />

mathematics (e.g. abstract algebra).<br />

Textbooks and References<br />

Albertson. M. and Hutchinson, J. Discrete Mathematics with<br />

Algorithms. New York: Wiley. 1988<br />

Gersting. 1. Mathematical Structures for Computer Science. 2nd ed,<br />

New York: Freeman, 1987<br />

Mathematics Department <strong>note</strong>s<br />

Skvarcius, R. and Robinson, W. Discrete Mathematics with Computer<br />

Science Applications. Menlo Park, Calif.: BenjaminlCummings. 1986<br />

SM584<br />

Multivariate Statistical Methods<br />

10.0 credit points<br />

No. <strong>of</strong> hours per week: three hours<br />

Prerequisite: SM484<br />

Assessment: testslexamination and assignments<br />

A third-year subject <strong>of</strong> the degree courses in mathematics<br />

and computer science and applied and industrial<br />

mathematics.<br />

Subject description<br />

Sampling from multivariate populations, the variancecovariance<br />

matrix, the multivariate normal distribution,<br />

multivariate means, Hotelling's T2 statistic, the multivariate<br />

analysis <strong>of</strong> variance, Wilk's lambda.<br />

An introduction to principal components analysis and factor<br />

analysis.<br />

Classification methods: cluster analysis, linear discriminant<br />

analysis.<br />

Multidimensional scaling<br />

Computer packages such as Minitab and SA5 may be used.<br />

Textbooks and References<br />

Aldenderfer, M.S. and Blashfield, R.K. Cluster Analysis. Beverley Hills:<br />

Saae. 1984<br />

~ilron, W.R. and Goldstein, M. Multivariate Analysis. New York: Wiley,<br />

1984<br />

Everitt, 6.5. and Dunn, G. Advanced Methods <strong>of</strong> Data Exploration<br />

and Modelling. London: Heinemann, 1983<br />

Johnson, R.A. and Wichern, D.W. Applied Multivariare Statistical<br />

Analysis. 2nd ed, Englewood Cliffs: Prentice Hall, 1982<br />

Kruskal, J.B. and Wish, M. Multidimensional Scaling. Beverley Hills:<br />

Sage, 1978<br />

SM585 Sample Survey Design<br />

10.0 credit points<br />

No. <strong>of</strong> hours per week: three hours<br />

Prerequisite: SM484<br />

Assessment: testslexamination and assignments<br />

A third-year subject <strong>of</strong> the degree courses in mathematics<br />

and computer science and applied and industrial<br />

mathematics.<br />

Subject description<br />

The basic designs for sample surveys: simple random<br />

sampling, stratified sampling, systematic sampling and cluster<br />

sampling.<br />

Estimators for the mean total and proportion for simple<br />

random samplies and stratified samples; variance estimation<br />

for these two sample designs.<br />

The design effect; sample size determination; EPSEM<br />

samples.<br />

Ratio estimation; cluster sampling, multi-stage sampling, PP5<br />

sampling.<br />

Practical issues and methods; questionnaire design; pilot<br />

surveys, mail, interviewer-based and telephone surveys; nonsampling<br />

errors; weighting.

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