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freakonomics - o lado oculto e inesperado de tudo que ... - Ipcp.org.br

freakonomics - o lado oculto e inesperado de tudo que ... - Ipcp.org.br

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<strong>de</strong> 2003./ 136 Derrubada a teoria so<strong>br</strong>e armas <strong>de</strong> Lott: vi<strong>de</strong><<strong>br</strong> />

"Shooting Down the `More Guns, Less Crime's Hypothesis"', <strong>de</strong><<strong>br</strong> />

Ian Ayeres e John J. Donohue III, Stanford Law Review 55(2003),<<strong>br</strong> />

p. 1193-1312 e "More Guns, More Crimes", <strong>de</strong> Mark Duggan,<<strong>br</strong> />

Journal of Political Economy 109, no. 5 (2001), p. 1086-1114.<<strong>br</strong> />

136-37 O ESTOURO DA BOLHA DO CRACK: para uma abordagem da história<<strong>br</strong> />

do crack e suas peculiarida<strong>de</strong>s, vi<strong>de</strong> "The Impact of Crack Cocaine<<strong>br</strong> />

" , <strong>de</strong> Roland G. Fryer Jr., Paul Heaton, Steven Levitt e Kevin<<strong>br</strong> />

Murphy, tese da Universida<strong>de</strong> <strong>de</strong> Chicago, 2005./ 136 25 por<<strong>br</strong> />

cento <strong>de</strong> homicídios: vi<strong>de</strong> " Crack and Homici<strong>de</strong> in New York<<strong>br</strong> />

City: A Case Study in the Epi<strong>de</strong>miology of Violence", <strong>de</strong> Paul J.<<strong>br</strong> />

Gldstein, Henry H. Brownstein, Patrick J. Ryan e Patricia A. Bellucci,<<strong>br</strong> />

em Crack in America: Demon Drugs and Social justice, ed.<<strong>br</strong> />

Craig Reinarman e Harry G. Levine (Berkeley: University of California<<strong>br</strong> />

Press, 1997), pgs. 113-30.<<strong>br</strong> />

138-39 A TEORIA DO "ENVELHECIMENTO DA POPULAÇÃO": vi<strong>de</strong> " The<<strong>br</strong> />

Limited Role of Changing Age Structure in Explaining Aggregate<<strong>br</strong> />

Crime Rates " , <strong>de</strong> Steven D. Levitt, Criminology 37 n. 3 (1999), pgs.<<strong>br</strong> />

581-99. Embora a teoria do envelhecimento esteja atual-mente<<strong>br</strong> />

<strong>de</strong>scartada, estudiosos <strong>de</strong> renome continuam a circulá-la. Vi<strong>de</strong><<strong>br</strong> />

"Most Crimes of Violence and Property Hover at 30-Year Low",<<strong>br</strong> />

<strong>de</strong> Matthew L. Wald, lhe New York Times, 13 <strong>de</strong> setem<strong>br</strong>o <strong>de</strong><<strong>br</strong> />

2004, em <strong>que</strong> Lawrence A. Greenfield, diretor do Bureau of<<strong>br</strong> />

Justice Statistics, diz: "É provável <strong>que</strong> não exista um fator iso<strong>lado</strong><<strong>br</strong> />

<strong>que</strong> expli<strong>que</strong> por <strong>que</strong> os índices <strong>de</strong> criminalida<strong>de</strong> vêm caindo ao<<strong>br</strong> />

longo <strong>de</strong> todos esses anos, cncontrando-se atualmente em seu nível<<strong>br</strong> />

mais baixo <strong>de</strong>s<strong>de</strong> <strong>que</strong> começamos a mensurá-los em 1973. Isso<<strong>br</strong> />

<strong>de</strong>ve ter relação com o elemento <strong>de</strong>mográfico e, muito<<strong>br</strong> />

provavelmente, com o fato <strong>de</strong> muitos infratores contumazes<<strong>br</strong> />

estarem presos. " / 138 "Uma nuvem à espreita " : vi<strong>de</strong> " Crime and<<strong>br</strong> />

Public Policy", <strong>de</strong> James Q. Wilson, em Crime, ed. James Q.<<strong>br</strong> />

Wilson e Joan Petersilia (São Francisco: ICS Press, 1995), p. 507.<<strong>br</strong> />

138-47 O VÍNCULO ABORTO-CRIMINALIDADE: para urna noção<<strong>br</strong> />

geral, vi<strong>de</strong> "The Impact of Legalized Abortion on Crime", <strong>de</strong> John<<strong>br</strong> />

J. Donohue III e Steven D. Levitt, Quarterly , Journal

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