History of Natto and Its Relatives (1405-2012 - SoyInfo Center

death rate from stomach cancer, stroke, and sclerosis of the
liver.
1981 Nov.–The Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry
announces JAS (Japanese Agricultural Standards) for
soymilk. The soymilk boom starts. The total yen value of
the soymilk by all major Japanese manufacturers is 5,000
million yen.
1982–There are now 77 registered varieties of soybeans
cultivated in Japan. Two of these (Norin 1-go and Norin
5-go) have a Norin [Ministry of Agriculture] number, and 25
have various place names.
1982–Production of soybeans in Japan this year is
226,300 tonnes, and soybean imports are 4,344,000 tonnes–
which is only 5% self suffi ciency.
1982–Per capita consumption of soy oil rises to 5.1 kg,
topping 5 kg for the fi rst time. It is 3 times higher than it was
3 years ago.
1982–Production of defatted soybean meal reaches
2,800,000 tonnes–up 38% over the last 10 years.
1983–Production of soymilk in Japan rises to 116,724
tonnes, topping 100,000 tonnes for the fi rst time. It has risen
71% during the past year.
1983–Per capita consumption of soybeans in Japan is
5.8 kg, up 3.6% during the past year.
1984–The use of soymilk as a beverage is declining in
Japan. The movement to use more soymilk as an ingredient
in foods (such as noodles, breads, ice creams, and creamy
soups) is becoming more active.
1984–Soybean yields in Japan reach 1,770 kg/ha, an
all-time record. The old record was 1,540 kg/ha in 1982.
Address: Norin Suisansho, Tokei Johobu, Norin Tokeika
Kacho Hosa.
1067. Sharpe, Dennis B. 1984. Project 2002: Planning the
future of soybeans. St. Louis, Missouri: American Soybean
Assoc. iv + 78 p. 27 cm.
• Summary: This report is a joint project of the American
Soybean Association and the Elanco Products Company.
Contents: Preface. Introduction. Key issues identifi ed.
Synopsis of results and recommendations. Blue ribbon panel
members (20 men). Advisory panel members (21 men).
Demand, production & acreage projections. Project 2002
survey results: Economic survey, soybean yield survey,
soil erosion policy survey, genetic engineering survey,
soy protein market potential survey. Assessment of major
competition. Appendix I–Project 2002 survey respondents:
Economic survey, soybean yield survey, soil erosion policy,
soy protein market potential survey (24 people), genetic
engineering survey. Appendix II–Genetic engineering
glossary of terms: Biotechnology, callus, cell fusion,
chromosomes, cultivar, DNA (deoxyribonucleic acid), DNA
vector, enzyme, gene, gene expression, genetic code, genetic
engineering, gene mapping, genome, germ cell, hybrid, in
vitro, meristem, mutants, mutation, phenotype, plasmid,
© Copyright Soyinfo Center 2012
HISTORY OF NATTO AND ITS RELATIVES 343
protein, protoplast, protoplast fusion, recombinant DNA,
RNA (ribonucleic acid), somatic cell, tissue culture, vector.
Pages 50-54 give a very interesting “Soy Protein Market
Potential Survey.” This survey polled leaders in the U.S.
processing and research area. The results indicated “the
market for U.S.-produced edible soy protein should rise
to nearly 1,900 million pounds (50% fl our equivalent) by
the year 2002. This is nearly a three fold increase from the
estimated 650 million pounds produced in 1982. While
this represents a large increase, it is considerably more
conservative than estimates made in the mid-1970s.
“The fastest growing segment of the edible soy protein
market is soy isolate. Isolate production was projected to
grow at a 7% compound annual rate versus 4.5% for soy
fl our and 5.4% for all products combined.” Specifi cally, soy
fl our was projected to grow from an estimated 400 million
lb in 1982 to 958 million lb in 2002, a compound annual
growth rate of 4.5%. Soy protein concentrate was projected
to grow from an estimated 80 million lb in 1982 to 251
million lb in 2002, a compound annual growth rate of 5.9%.
Note: Three respondents estimated the 1982 concentrate
fi gure to be 100 million lb and two others estimated 90
million lb.
Soy protein isolate was projected to grow from an
estimated 80 million lb in 1982 to 308 million lb in 2002,
a compound annual growth rate of 7.0%. Note: Two
respondents estimated the 1982 isolate fi gure to be 100
million lb, and three others estimated 110 million, 75 million,
and 50 million lb respectively. Pet foods and specialty feeds
(such as calf milk replacers) were projected to grow from
an estimated 1,500 million lb in 1982 to 2752 million lb in
2002, a compound annual growth rate of 3.1%. Note: Several
respondents estimated the 1982 fi gure to be 500-700 million
lb, and one respondent estimated it to be only 200 million lb.
“The pet food and specialty feeds market is the single
largest market for soy protein other than bulk soybean
meal for livestock and poultry. Some of the respondents
took major exception to the 1982 estimate of 1,500 million
pounds of soy protein utilized in pet foods and specialty
feeds. In fact one respondent cut the estimate to only 200
million pounds. The 1,500 million pound estimate was
derived from data based on the Selling Areas Market
[Marketing], Inc. (SAMI) report of pet food tonnage that
assumed an average protein content of 24% with 35% of the
protein provided by soy ingredients. The SAMI fi gures were
factored up 10% to allow for sales by rural feed stores and
sales direct to kennels. The disparity in pet food estimates
of actual sales highlights what seems to be a considerable
amount of uncertainty about the actual size of the soy protein
market, exclusive of bulk soybean meal.
“While growth rates for food and pet food use of soy
protein are impressive, the total volume is expected to
remain only a small fraction of projected U.S. soybean
production–about 3% of the same as 1982. The greatest