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Thinking and Deciding

Thinking and Deciding

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THE UTILITY OF MONEY 253<br />

Figure 10.2: Graph illustrating the fact that the expected utility of a fair bet is less<br />

than the utility of not betting when the utility function is concave.<br />

the utility of the expected value (3.16) because the slope of the curve is decreasing.<br />

In other words, the curve is concave (as seen from the bottom; convex curves bow<br />

in the other direction). Such concavity of the utility curve explains why, in general,<br />

people are averse to taking risks. This desire to avoid risks is called risk aversion.<br />

Although we shall see in Chapter 17 that there are other causes of risk aversion aside<br />

from the concavity of the utility curve, some concavity is present.<br />

The idea of declining marginal utility makes sense if we think of utility in terms<br />

of goal achievement, as we are doing. If you are poor, you should use money in the<br />

most efficient ways possible to achieve your goals. To do this, you will buy essential<br />

food, clothing, housing, <strong>and</strong> medical care. If you have much more money, you will<br />

have enough of these things. You will look for ways to use money to achieve other<br />

goals. You may spend money on entertainment, <strong>and</strong> your expenditures on clothing<br />

<strong>and</strong> food may be based on fashion <strong>and</strong> taste rather than survival. These things are<br />

not as important to you per dollar spent as were the other things, or else you would<br />

have bought them first. With still more money, you will find yourself looking harder<br />

for ways to spend the money to achieve your goals. You may have to develop new<br />

goals, such as a taste for expensive wine or philanthropy. Again, if these things were<br />

as important per dollar as other things, you would have bought them first.<br />

Note, though, that the use of declining marginal utility to explain risk aversion<br />

— the aversion to “fair” bets — is a descriptive theory that might not be the whole<br />

story. People may behave as though their decisions were determined by expected<br />

utility, but the “utility” involved in this case is a hypothetical influence on decisions,<br />

not necessarily a true measure of future goal achievement. This kind of “decision

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