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Thinking and Deciding

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290 CHOICE UNDER CERTAINTY<br />

if his comm<strong>and</strong>er tells him to kill innocent people); a good scholar must seek <strong>and</strong><br />

publish the truth (even if someone will use it to promote racist doctrine); a good<br />

politician must defend the interests of her constituents (even if she must trample on<br />

the interests of others); a lawyer’s duty is to his client (even if he must help his client<br />

commit perjury). This is not to say that a good soldier should not obey his comm<strong>and</strong>er,<br />

<strong>and</strong> so forth: It is to say that in doing so he ought to be aware of what goals he<br />

may be sacrificing. Soldiers, scholars, politicians, <strong>and</strong> lawyers are people, <strong>and</strong> they<br />

have goals other than those associated with their roles. On some occasions, these<br />

other goals may outweigh the goal stemming from the work role. Single-minded<br />

focus on a work goal reflects insufficient search for goals, or neglect of goals even<br />

after they are found.<br />

An interesting practical example of the effect of single-mindedness comes from<br />

a study by Gardiner <strong>and</strong> Edwards (1975). In California, proposals for “developing”<br />

the Pacific coastline (housing developments, for example) are controversial. Some<br />

Californians favor them, focusing on the economic advantages of increased employment<br />

<strong>and</strong> the like. Others oppose them, focusing on the environmental disadvantages<br />

of increased dem<strong>and</strong>s on resources <strong>and</strong> physical unattractiveness. The California<br />

Coastal Commission, which had the task of approving or disapproving such proposals,<br />

was often completely polarized, with members who held these opposite views<br />

constantly at each other’s throats. Gardiner <strong>and</strong> Edwards were aware that each proposal<br />

could be ranked as better or worse on the two dimensions. Some proposals had<br />

relatively great economic advantages combined with relatively little environmental<br />

disadvantages, <strong>and</strong> these proposals, they felt, clearly ought to be given priority.<br />

Gardiner <strong>and</strong> Edwards asked twelve knowledgeable subjects, including two members<br />

of the Coastal Commission, to rank order several proposals like the ones the<br />

commission normally considered. The subjects, like the commission, fell into two<br />

groups — prodevelopment <strong>and</strong> proenvironment. These holistic ratings showed very<br />

little agreement between the two groups of subjects. Members of each group were<br />

paying attention only to the dimension that was most important to them. Then the<br />

researchers asked subjects to carry out a MAUT (multiattribute) analysis (p. 341, in<br />

which subjects individually rated each proposal on each of the major dimensions <strong>and</strong><br />

then assigned a weight to each dimension. Of course, the prodevelopment subjects<br />

gave greater importance to the economic dimensions, <strong>and</strong> the proenvironment subjects<br />

gave greater importance to the environmental dimensions. Nonetheless, each<br />

group now gave some weight to the other group’s favored dimension. When new<br />

rankings were calculated from these analyses, there was now very good agreement<br />

between the two groups. Some proposals apparently were fairly satisfying to both<br />

groups. This became readily apparent only when the decision procedure forced attention<br />

to dimensions that each group had considered unimportant, as well as those<br />

that it initially considered important.<br />

We conclude that attention to a single, dominant dimension can lead both to<br />

unnecessary disagreement between groups <strong>and</strong> to violation of each individual’s true<br />

preferences. Making tradeoffs helps — when we have the time to do it.<br />

The tendency to neglect goals that seem less important may be at work in the

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