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International Trade in Services.pdf - DSpace at Khazar University

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Build<strong>in</strong>g Empires Overseas 187<br />

The current global economic downturn is, <strong>in</strong> the short term, likely to result <strong>in</strong> a<br />

significant setback <strong>in</strong> the expansion of trade <strong>in</strong> construction services. In the<br />

mediumandlongterm,theprospectsforgrowthwillbecomemorepositiveasthe<br />

global economy starts to pick up aga<strong>in</strong>. Interest r<strong>at</strong>es around the world have fallen<br />

to historically low levels <strong>in</strong> many countries. The reduced cost of capital should<br />

have a positive impact on priv<strong>at</strong>e sector <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> construction projects, particularly<br />

when banks are ready to return to bus<strong>in</strong>ess as usual. Fiscal expansion programs<br />

<strong>in</strong> some of the world largest economies, such as Ch<strong>in</strong>a, Japan, the United<br />

St<strong>at</strong>es, and the European Union, will also result <strong>in</strong> large <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />

projects. The expansion of the Ch<strong>in</strong>ese construction sector <strong>in</strong>to foreign markets<br />

has ga<strong>in</strong>ed momentum <strong>in</strong> the last decade and is expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue. Prices<br />

for oil, gas, and many other n<strong>at</strong>ural resources have recently come down as a result<br />

of the economic turmoil. This has caused many projects to be put on hold and<br />

guest workers to go back to their home countries. However, if the emerg<strong>in</strong>g markets<br />

around the world were to return to the positive growth p<strong>at</strong>h they enjoyed<br />

prior to the economic turmoil, there is reason to expect th<strong>at</strong> trade <strong>in</strong> construction<br />

services would recover to the rel<strong>at</strong>ively steady growth it once experienced.<br />

Wh<strong>at</strong> Can Be Done to Harness <strong>Trade</strong><br />

Opportunities<br />

Policy makers <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries may have significant scope to facilit<strong>at</strong>e<br />

trade <strong>in</strong> construction services. The sector is hampered by poor productivity<br />

growth <strong>in</strong> a number of countries, not least with<strong>in</strong> developed-country markets,<br />

and effective competition would gener<strong>at</strong>e ga<strong>in</strong>s by clients and suppliers. This<br />

section identifies three broad areas where countries may want to focus their <strong>at</strong>tention.<br />

The first set of <strong>in</strong>iti<strong>at</strong>ives would <strong>in</strong>volve reviews of domestic regul<strong>at</strong>ions to<br />

highlight reform needs. Improv<strong>in</strong>g the adm<strong>in</strong>istr<strong>at</strong>ion of construction permits<br />

and the management of government procurement could gre<strong>at</strong>ly facilit<strong>at</strong>e <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

<strong>in</strong> construction projects. However, while effective reforms may require<br />

limited commitments <strong>in</strong> terms of government capacity, they are likely to consume<br />

significant political capital given the sector’s political <strong>in</strong>fluence (more on this<br />

below).<br />

The second set of <strong>in</strong>iti<strong>at</strong>ives would seek to remove rules and regul<strong>at</strong>ions th<strong>at</strong><br />

are more trade restrictive than necessary. This would allow companies to take<br />

advantage of the economic benefits stemm<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>in</strong>tern<strong>at</strong>ional exchange.<br />

Movement toward more open access to domestic construction markets will<br />

stimul<strong>at</strong>e competition, save government resources, and improve the choice for<br />

local <strong>in</strong>vestors. Seek<strong>in</strong>g improved market access for Mode 3 and Mode 4 transactions<br />

<strong>in</strong> major trad<strong>in</strong>g partners could also help <strong>in</strong>crease exports to countries with

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