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statistique, théorie et gestion de portefeuille - Docs at ISFA

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B Asymptotic distribution of the sum of Weibull variables with a Gaussian<br />

copula.<br />

We assume th<strong>at</strong> the marginal distributions are given by the modified Weibull distributions:<br />

Pi(xi) = 1<br />

2 √ π<br />

c<br />

χ c/2<br />

i<br />

|xi| c/2−1 e −|x i |<br />

χ ic<br />

413<br />

(149)<br />

and th<strong>at</strong> the χi’s are all equal to one, in or<strong>de</strong>r not to cumber the not<strong>at</strong>ion. As in the proof of corollary 2, it<br />

will be sufficient to replace wi by wiχi to reintroduce the scale factors.<br />

Un<strong>de</strong>r the Gaussian copula assumption, we obtain the following form for the multivari<strong>at</strong>e distribution :<br />

c<br />

P (x1, · · · , xN) =<br />

N<br />

2Nπ N/2√ N<br />

x<br />

d<strong>et</strong> V<br />

c/2−1<br />

⎡<br />

i exp ⎣− <br />

V −1<br />

ij xc/2<br />

i xc/2<br />

⎤<br />

⎦<br />

j . (150)<br />

L<strong>et</strong><br />

i=1<br />

f(x1, · · · , xN) = <br />

i,j<br />

i,j<br />

V −1<br />

ij xi c/2 xj c/2 . (151)<br />

We have to minimize f un<strong>de</strong>r the constraint wixi = S. As for the in<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nt case, we introduce a<br />

Lagrange multiplier λ which leads to<br />

c <br />

j<br />

V −1<br />

jk x∗ j c/2 x ∗ k c/2−1 = λwk . (152)<br />

The left-hand-si<strong>de</strong> of this equ<strong>at</strong>ion is a homogeneous function of <strong>de</strong>gree c − 1 in the x∗ i ’s, thus necessarily<br />

where the σi’s are solution of <br />

j<br />

x ∗ i =<br />

1<br />

λ c−1<br />

· σi, (153)<br />

c<br />

V −1<br />

jk σj c/2 σk c/2−1 = wk . (154)<br />

The s<strong>et</strong> of equ<strong>at</strong>ions (154) has a unique solution due to the convexity of the minimiz<strong>at</strong>ion problem. This<br />

s<strong>et</strong> of equ<strong>at</strong>ions can be easily solved by a numerical m<strong>et</strong>hod like Newton’s algorithm. It is convenient to<br />

simplify the problem and avoid the inversion of the m<strong>at</strong>rix V , by rewritting (154) as<br />

Using the constraint wix ∗ i<br />

so th<strong>at</strong><br />

<br />

k<br />

= S, we obtain<br />

Vjk wk σk 1−c/2 = σ c/2<br />

j . (155)<br />

1<br />

λ c−1<br />

c<br />

x ∗ i =<br />

=<br />

S<br />

, (156)<br />

wiσi<br />

σi<br />

· S. (157)<br />

wiσi<br />

25

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