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statistique, théorie et gestion de portefeuille - Docs at ISFA

statistique, théorie et gestion de portefeuille - Docs at ISFA

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452 14. Gestion <strong>de</strong> Portefeuilles multimoments <strong>et</strong> équilibre <strong>de</strong> marché<br />

assessment and optimiz<strong>at</strong>ion. We have shown th<strong>at</strong> these risk measures, which contain centered moments<br />

(and cumulants with some restriction) as particular examples, generalize them significantly. We have presented<br />

a generaliz<strong>at</strong>ion of previous generaliz<strong>at</strong>ions of the efficient frontiers and of the CAPM based on these<br />

risk measures in the cases of homogeneous and h<strong>et</strong>erogeneous agents. We have then proposed a simple but<br />

powerful specific von Mises represent<strong>at</strong>ion of multivari<strong>at</strong>e distribution of r<strong>et</strong>urns th<strong>at</strong> allowed us to obtain<br />

new analytical results on and empirical tests of a general framework for a portfolio theory of non-Gaussian<br />

risks with non-linear correl<strong>at</strong>ions. Quantit<strong>at</strong>ive tests have been presented on a bask<strong>et</strong> of seventeen stocks<br />

among the largest capitaliz<strong>at</strong>ion on the NYSE.<br />

This work opens several novel interesting avenues for research. One consists in extending the Gaussian copula<br />

assumption, for instance by using the maximum-entropy principle with non-extensive Tsallis entropies,<br />

known to be the correct m<strong>at</strong>hem<strong>at</strong>ical inform<strong>at</strong>ion-theor<strong>et</strong>ical represent<strong>at</strong>ion of power laws. A second line<br />

of research would be to extend the present framework to encompass simultaneously different time scales τ<br />

in the spirit of (Muzy <strong>et</strong> al. 2001) in the case of a casca<strong>de</strong> mo<strong>de</strong>l of vol<strong>at</strong>ilities.<br />

28

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