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statistique, théorie et gestion de portefeuille - Docs at ISFA

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This property is verified for all cumulants while is not true for centered moments. In addition, as seen from<br />

their <strong>de</strong>finition in terms of the characteristic function (63), cumulants of or<strong>de</strong>r larger than 2 quantify <strong>de</strong>vi<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

from the Gaussian law, and thus large risks beyond the variance (equal to the second-or<strong>de</strong>r cumulant).<br />

Thus, centered moments of even or<strong>de</strong>rs possess all the minimal properties required for a suitable portfolio<br />

risk measure. Cumulants fulfill these requirement only for well behaved distributions, but have an additional<br />

advantage compared to the centered moments, th<strong>at</strong> is, they fulfill the condition (9). For these reasons, we<br />

shall consi<strong>de</strong>r below both the centered moments and the cumulants.<br />

In fact, we can be more general. In<strong>de</strong>ed, as we have written, the centered moments or the cumulants of or<strong>de</strong>r<br />

n are homogeneous functions of or<strong>de</strong>r n, and due to the positivity requirement, we have to restrict ourselves<br />

to even or<strong>de</strong>r centered moments and cumulants. Thus, only homogeneous functions of or<strong>de</strong>r 2n can be<br />

consi<strong>de</strong>red. Actually, this restrictive constraint can be relaxed by recalling th<strong>at</strong>, given any homogeneous<br />

function f(·) of or<strong>de</strong>r p, the function f(·) q is also homogeneous of or<strong>de</strong>r p · q. This allows us to <strong>de</strong>couple<br />

the or<strong>de</strong>r of the moments to consi<strong>de</strong>r, which quantifies the impact of the large fluctu<strong>at</strong>ions, from the influence<br />

of the size of the positions held, measured by the <strong>de</strong>gres of homogeneity of ρ. Thus, consi<strong>de</strong>ring any even<br />

or<strong>de</strong>r centered moments, we can build a risk measure ρ(X) = E (X − E[X]) 2n α/2n which account for<br />

the fluctu<strong>at</strong>ions measured by the centered moment of or<strong>de</strong>r 2n but with a <strong>de</strong>gree of homogeneity equal to α.<br />

A further generaliz<strong>at</strong>ion is possible to odd-or<strong>de</strong>r moments. In<strong>de</strong>ed, the absolute centered moments s<strong>at</strong>isfy<br />

our three axioms for any odd or even or<strong>de</strong>r. We can go one step further and use non-integer or<strong>de</strong>r absolute<br />

centered moments, and <strong>de</strong>fine the more general risk measure<br />

where γ <strong>de</strong>notes any positve real number.<br />

431<br />

ρ(X) = E [|X − E[X]| γ ] α/γ , (10)<br />

These s<strong>et</strong> of risk measures are very interesting since, due to the Minkowsky inegality, they are convex for<br />

any α and γ larger than 1 :<br />

ρ(u · X + (1 − u) · Y ) ≤ u · ρ(X) + (1 − u) · ρ(Y ), (11)<br />

which ensures th<strong>at</strong> aggreg<strong>at</strong>ing two risky ass<strong>et</strong>s lead to diversify their risk. In fact, in the special case γ = 1,<br />

these measures enjoy the stronger sub-additivity property.<br />

Finally, we should stress th<strong>at</strong> any discr<strong>et</strong>e or continuous (positive) sum of these risk measures, with the same<br />

<strong>de</strong>gree of homogeneity is again a risk measure. This allows us to <strong>de</strong>fine “spectral measures of fluctu<strong>at</strong>ions”<br />

in the same spirit as in (Acerbi 2002):<br />

<br />

ρ(X) = dγ φ(γ) E [(X − E[X]) γ ] α/γ , (12)<br />

where φ is a positive real valued function <strong>de</strong>fined on any subinterval of [1, ∞) such th<strong>at</strong> the integral in<br />

(12) remains finite. It is interesting to restrict oneself to the functions φ whose integral sums up to one:<br />

dγ φ(γ) = 1, which is always possible, up to a renormaliz<strong>at</strong>ion. In<strong>de</strong>ed, in such a case, φ(γ) represents<br />

the rel<strong>at</strong>ive weight <strong>at</strong>tributed to the fluctu<strong>at</strong>ions measured by a given moment or<strong>de</strong>r. Thus, the function φ<br />

can be consi<strong>de</strong>red as a measure of the risk aversion of the risk manager with respect to the large fluctu<strong>at</strong>ions.<br />

L<strong>et</strong> us stress th<strong>at</strong> the variance, originally used in (Markovitz 1959)’s portfolio theory, is nothing but the<br />

second centered moment, also equal to the second or<strong>de</strong>r cumulant (the three first cumulants and centered<br />

moments are equal). Therefore, a portfolio theory based on the centered moments or on the cumulants<br />

autom<strong>at</strong>ically contain (Markovitz 1959)’s theory as a special case, and thus offers a n<strong>at</strong>ural generaliz<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

emcompassing large risks of this masterpiece of the financial science. It also embodies several other generaliz<strong>at</strong>ions<br />

where homogeneous measures of risks are consi<strong>de</strong>red, a for instance in (Hwang and S<strong>at</strong>chell 1999).<br />

7

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