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statistique, théorie et gestion de portefeuille - Docs at ISFA

statistique, théorie et gestion de portefeuille - Docs at ISFA

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µn=α of or<strong>de</strong>r n = 2, 4, 6 and 8. The efficient frontier is concave, as expected from the n<strong>at</strong>ure of the optimiz<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

problem (13). For a given value of the expected r<strong>et</strong>urn µ, we observe th<strong>at</strong> the amount of risk<br />

measured by µ 1/n<br />

n increases with n, so th<strong>at</strong> there is an additional price to pay for earning more: not only<br />

the µ2-risk increases, as usual according to Markowitz’s theory, but the large risks increases faster, the more<br />

so, the larger n is. This means th<strong>at</strong>, in this example, the large risks increases more rapidly than the small<br />

risks, as the required r<strong>et</strong>urn increases. This is an important empirical result th<strong>at</strong> has obvious implic<strong>at</strong>ions for<br />

portfolio selection and risk assessment. For instance, l<strong>et</strong> us consi<strong>de</strong>r an efficient portfolio whose expected<br />

(daily) r<strong>et</strong>urn equals 0.12%, which gives an annualized r<strong>et</strong>urn equal to 30%. We can see in table 1 th<strong>at</strong> the<br />

typical fluctu<strong>at</strong>ions around the expected r<strong>et</strong>urn are about twice larger when measured by µ6 compared with<br />

µ2 and th<strong>at</strong> they are 1.5 larger when measured with µ8 compared with µ4.<br />

3.2 Efficient frontier with a risk-free ass<strong>et</strong><br />

L<strong>et</strong> us now assume the existence of a risk-free ass<strong>et</strong> X0. The optimiz<strong>at</strong>ion problem with the same s<strong>et</strong> of<br />

constraints as previoulsy can be written as:<br />

⎧<br />

⎪⎨<br />

⎪⎩<br />

inf wi∈[0,1] ρα({wi})<br />

<br />

i≥0 wi = 1<br />

<br />

i≥0 wiµ(i) = µ ,<br />

wi ≥ 0, ∀i > 0,<br />

This optimiz<strong>at</strong>ion problem can be solved exactly. In<strong>de</strong>ed, due to existence of a risk-free ass<strong>et</strong>, the normaliz<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

condition wi = 1 is not-constraining since one can always adjust, by lending or borrowing money,<br />

the fraction w0 to a value s<strong>at</strong>isfying the normaliz<strong>at</strong>ion condition. Thus, as shown in appendix B, the efficient<br />

frontier is a straight line in the plane (µ, ρα 1/α ), with positive slope and whose intercept is given by the<br />

value of the risk-free interest r<strong>at</strong>e:<br />

µ = µ0 + ξ · ρα 1/α , (15)<br />

where ξ is a coefficient given explicitely below. This result is very n<strong>at</strong>ural when ρα <strong>de</strong>notes the variance,<br />

since it is then nothing but (Markovitz 1959)’s result. But in addition, it shows th<strong>at</strong> the mean-variance result<br />

can be generalized to every mean-ρα optimal portfolios.<br />

We present in figure 3 the results given by numerical simul<strong>at</strong>ions. The s<strong>et</strong> of ass<strong>et</strong>s is the same as before and<br />

the risk-free interest r<strong>at</strong>e has been s<strong>et</strong> to 5% a year. The optimiz<strong>at</strong>ion procedure has been performed using<br />

a gen<strong>et</strong>ic algorithm on the risk measure given by the centered moments µ2, µ4, µ6 and µ8. As expected,<br />

we observe three increasing straight lines, whose slopes monotonically <strong>de</strong>cay with the or<strong>de</strong>r of the centered<br />

moment un<strong>de</strong>r consi<strong>de</strong>r<strong>at</strong>ion. Below, we will discuss this property in gre<strong>at</strong>er d<strong>et</strong>ail.<br />

3.3 Two funds separ<strong>at</strong>ion theorem<br />

The two funds separ<strong>at</strong>ion theorem is a well-known result associ<strong>at</strong>ed with the mean-variance efficient portfolios.<br />

It results from the concavity of the Markovitz’s efficient frontier for portfolios ma<strong>de</strong> of risky ass<strong>et</strong>s<br />

only. It st<strong>at</strong>es th<strong>at</strong>, if the investors can choose b<strong>et</strong>ween a s<strong>et</strong> of risky ass<strong>et</strong>s and a risk-free ass<strong>et</strong>, they invest<br />

a fraction w0 of their wealth in the risk-free ass<strong>et</strong> and the fraction 1 − w0 in a portfolio composed only with<br />

risky ass<strong>et</strong>s. This risky portofolio is the same for all the investors and the fraction w0 of wealth invested<br />

in the risk-free ass<strong>et</strong> <strong>de</strong>pends on the risk aversion of the investor or on the amount of economic capital an<br />

institution must keep asi<strong>de</strong> due to the legal requirements insuring its solvency <strong>at</strong> a given confi<strong>de</strong>nce level.<br />

We shall see th<strong>at</strong> this result can be generalized to any mean-ρα efficient portfolio.<br />

9<br />

433<br />

(14)

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