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7CHAPTERDISASTER RISK: CONDITIONS,TRENDS AND IMPACTSDisasters in urban areas are experienced when life supportsystems fail in <strong>the</strong> face <strong>of</strong> pressure from external stress,resulting in loss <strong>of</strong> life, damage to property and <strong>the</strong> undermining<strong>of</strong> livelihoods. However, <strong>the</strong>y are not natural eventsor ‘acts <strong>of</strong> God’, but products <strong>of</strong> failed development. For <strong>the</strong>majority <strong>of</strong> people at risk, loss to disaster is determined moreby processes and experiences <strong>of</strong> urban development andgovernance than by <strong>the</strong> physical processes that shape naturalor human-made hazards.This chapter presents an overview <strong>of</strong> global trends in<strong>the</strong> incidence and impacts on cities <strong>of</strong> disasters associatedwith natural and human-made hazards. In this context,natural hazards include earthquakes, hurricanes, tsunamis,tornadoes, landslides, floods, volcanic eruptions andwindstorms, while human-made hazards encompass explosionsand chemical releases. However, <strong>the</strong> conceptualdistinction between disasters associated with natural andhuman-made hazards is increasingly becoming blurred, asmany human actions and practices, such as <strong>the</strong> construction<strong>of</strong> human settlements in flood-prone areas or on <strong>the</strong> slopes<strong>of</strong> active volcanoes, exacerbate human-made hazards. While<strong>the</strong> focus here is primarily on large-scale disasters that registerdirect impacts at <strong>the</strong> community level and above, <strong>the</strong>characteristics <strong>of</strong> small-scale disasters whose impacts arelargely felt at <strong>the</strong> individual or household levels arereviewed.Epidemic diseases and environmental health are notdiscussed herewith, nor are acts <strong>of</strong> war. This is becausewhile <strong>the</strong>se forms <strong>of</strong> stress impact upon <strong>the</strong> built environment,human health and political systems, <strong>the</strong> balance <strong>of</strong>impact is different in each case. It is natural and humanmadehazards that most frequently threaten urbansustainability through damage to buildings and critical infrastructure.The focus on natural and human-made disastersalso responds to global trends in increasing numbers <strong>of</strong> suchevents, in people affected and made homeless by disaster,and in <strong>the</strong> economic impacts <strong>of</strong> disaster, especially on <strong>the</strong>poor and marginalized.An overview <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relationships between urbanizationand disaster risk, human vulnerability and loss (oroutcome) is presented below, once key disaster terms aredefined. This is followed by a detailed discussion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>distribution <strong>of</strong> disaster loss associated with natural andhuman-made hazards worldwide and across cities. Theeconomic and social outcomes, or impacts, <strong>of</strong> disasters,including <strong>the</strong> disproportionate impacts on <strong>the</strong> poor andmarginalized, <strong>the</strong> aged, <strong>the</strong> very young and women, are <strong>the</strong>nreviewed. Subsequently, factors generating urban disasterrisk and contributing to human vulnerability, includingmodification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> urban environment, planning andconstruction techniques, urban finance and poverty, areexamined. Finally, a regional comparison illustrates variationin conditions, trends and impacts <strong>of</strong> urban disaster riskglobally.DISASTER TERMINOLOGYIn addition to <strong>the</strong> terms introduced in Chapters 1 and 2,terminology specific to disaster risk is first presented here toidentify what a disaster is and its component parts, and <strong>the</strong>nto identify elements <strong>of</strong> disaster risk management (see Box7.1). It is important not to confuse <strong>the</strong> definition <strong>of</strong> termshere with meanings attributed to <strong>the</strong>se terms in sister disciplines.For example, in <strong>the</strong> international developmentcommunity, ‘vulnerability’ is commonly used in reference toeconomic poverty, whereas here vulnerability refers toexposure and susceptibility to harm from natural or humanmadehazards, also referred to as ‘risky events’ in <strong>the</strong>conceptual framework presented in Chapter 2.A disaster is understood here to be <strong>the</strong> outcome <strong>of</strong> avulnerable individual or society being hit by a human-madeor natural hazard. The vulnerability <strong>of</strong> an individual orsociety is reduced through short-term coping and longertermadaptation that adjust human actions to minimize riskimpacts or outcomes.Disaster management is seen as best undertakenthrough a disaster risk reduction approach. Here, disasterrisk is addressed at a number <strong>of</strong> stages. Before hazards occur,underlying physical and technological processes can becontained through mitigation. Unfortunately, in mostsocieties, mitigation is not sufficient and residual hazardremains. Reducing risk from residual hazard requirespreparedness, including education, risk assessment and earlywarning and evacuation planning. Disaster response takesplace in <strong>the</strong> first hours and days after a disaster and

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