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Policy responses to disaster risk211by streng<strong>the</strong>ning community understanding <strong>of</strong> risk, informationnetworks and disaster response <strong>of</strong> partners andcommunities. This is an example <strong>of</strong> an early warning projectembedded within a wider risk reduction programme. Itinvolved administrative representatives, health and educationstaff, local Red Cross representatives, and <strong>the</strong>sub-commissions for education and civil protection set up in<strong>the</strong> wake <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> volcanic eruption <strong>of</strong> 2002. 73Box 8.14 presents a success story <strong>of</strong> a people-centredearly warning experience from Honduras that built localresilience through early warning, even when national earlywarning systems failed.Effective early warning requires trust between thosegiving and receiving information. Some degree <strong>of</strong> coordinationcan give legitimacy to national early warning systems,although this is not always <strong>the</strong> case, especially where pastexperience <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> state has eroded local trust in its institutions.The experience <strong>of</strong> La Masica is not unique in showing<strong>the</strong> advantages <strong>of</strong> decentralized systems. Transparent andclear information flows can help to build trust by constrainingopportunities for <strong>the</strong> concealment <strong>of</strong> imminent hazards.Local and national governments have sometimes kept <strong>the</strong>public in <strong>the</strong> dark when receiving technical information onimminent threats to prevent unease among investors,especially in tourist economies. There are also cases where<strong>the</strong> public may refuse to heed early warnings from authorities.In both cases, clear and balanced information is critical,even when some level <strong>of</strong> uncertainty remains. 74Communicating risk to <strong>the</strong> public is less problematicin urban than rural areas because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> high density <strong>of</strong>communication infrastructure and social networks. This maynot hold true for smaller, isolated and informal settlementsor slums. Maintaining early warning communication systemswhere hazards are infrequent but potentially capable <strong>of</strong>delivering a high impact is especially difficult. Communicationinfrastructure may not be tested regularly andsocial contacts might be lost over time. One way around thisis to build early warning communication systems on top <strong>of</strong>everyday communication networks. For instance, wheremobile phones are common, <strong>the</strong>y <strong>of</strong>fer a potential networkfor spreading early warning and preparedness advice.Response capacityMore difficult in cities is <strong>the</strong> coordination <strong>of</strong> action inresponse to alerts and early warnings. Pre-planning and clearcommunication with <strong>the</strong> public are needed to preventinappropriate action or panic. In Lagos (Nigeria), a citywhere trust in <strong>of</strong>ficials is strained, more than 1000 peoplewere killed in 2002, most by drowning, while fleeing inpanic from an explosion in an army barrack. 75 This contrastswith Hong Kong, where tropical cyclone bulletins includepractical advice on securing homes and businesses and howto access more information. 76In congested cities with overburdened transportnetworks, evacuation can be challenging. Cuba has perhaps<strong>the</strong> best track record on urban evacuation with a wellmanagedand frequently practised evacuation strategy as part<strong>of</strong> its risk reduction system (see Box 8.15). Clear lines <strong>of</strong>Box 8.14 People-centred early warning: La Masica, HondurasThe experience <strong>of</strong> La Masica in Honduras shows that small urban centres can successfully build<strong>the</strong>ir own resilience to disaster risk through people-centred early warning. The system developedin La Masica is relatively low cost and operates independently <strong>of</strong> outside information flowsor resources, thus increasing its robustness during times <strong>of</strong> emergency.La Masica’s early warning system was put to <strong>the</strong> test during Hurricane Mitch in 1998.Hurricane Mitch killed over 20,000 people in Nicaragua and Honduras. In La Masica, despiteflooding and economic damage caused by <strong>the</strong> nearby River Lean, none <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> municipality’s25,000 residents was killed.The early warning system had been initiated a few years before Hurricane Mitch, with<strong>the</strong> full involvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> municipality’s residents. The area had suffered in 1974 fromHurricane Fifi, and from smaller flooding incidents. Recognition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> community’s highexposure to hazard catalysed <strong>the</strong> local early warning and preparedness programme. Theprogramme included participatory risk assessments with local people observing river flow, <strong>the</strong>establishment <strong>of</strong> a local risk management organization, and <strong>the</strong> drawing-up <strong>of</strong> emergency plansfor responding to rising water levels. Many <strong>of</strong> those involved in <strong>the</strong> programme were women.The success <strong>of</strong> La Masica’s local early warning system contrasts with <strong>the</strong> national floodwarning system, which was disabled by flood waters and technical difficulties with satellite data.In this case, local organization based on simple technology provided greater resilience than <strong>the</strong>national high-tech alternative.Source: Lavell, 2005, in Wisner et al, 2005authority and cultural acceptance <strong>of</strong> large-scale public evacuationare elements in this success. In 2004, HurricaneCharley severely damaged 70,000 houses, but killed onlyfour people thanks, in part, to <strong>the</strong> evacuation <strong>of</strong> over 2million people. 77 The Cuban system contrasts with that <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> US, which has increasingly relied on individuals to takeresponsibility for <strong>the</strong>ir own evacuation and safety followingan early warning. Huge numbers <strong>of</strong> people successfully dothis. Over 2.5 million people were evacuated from Floridafollowing an early warning in advance <strong>of</strong> HurricaneCharley. 78 But, as was seen in 2005 during HurricaneKatrina, <strong>the</strong>re will always be a sizeable urban population wholacks access to private transportation and will rely upon awell-organized public evacuation service.FINANCING URBAN RISKMANAGEMENTCity authorities seldom generate sufficient funds to meet all<strong>the</strong>ir development and risk reduction needs. Thus, <strong>the</strong>y face<strong>the</strong> twin challenge <strong>of</strong> attracting finance and balancing <strong>the</strong>conditionalities that come with this support against localpriorities and strategies for disaster risk management.Inefficient or inadequate fiscal decentralization fur<strong>the</strong>rreduces <strong>the</strong> financial capacity <strong>of</strong> local governments. This isespecially <strong>the</strong> case in poorer or rapidly expanding citieswhere <strong>the</strong> proportion <strong>of</strong> residents and organizations whocontribute to <strong>the</strong> city revenue can be low.National governments finance urban infrastructureworks through project grants or line financing throughministries with responsibility for infrastructure in <strong>the</strong> urbansector. In Guyana, central government is responsible for seadefence and land drainage work, which none<strong>the</strong>less protectsEffective earlywarning requirestrust between thosegiving and receivinginformation

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