352Enhancing Urban Safety and SecurityTABLE B.3Urbanization and Urban Slum DwellersLevel <strong>of</strong> urbanizationUrban slum dwellersEstimates and projections Rate <strong>of</strong> change Estimates and projections % <strong>of</strong> urban Slum projection(%) (%) (000) population Target 11 (000)1990 2000 2010 2020 1990- 2010- 1990 2001 2010 2020 1990 2001 2010 20202010 2020WORLD 43.0 46.7 50.8 55.1 0.83 0.82 714,972 912,918 1,115,002 1,392,416 … 31.6 1,070,494 1,292,065AFRICA 32.0 36.2 40.5 45.3 1.18 1.11 122,692 187,563 270,948 413,846 … 61.3 260,941 388,529Algeria 52.1 59.8 66.5 71.9 1.22 0.77 1,508 2,101 2,755 3,725 11.8 11.8 2,649 3,474Angola 37.1 50.0 56.6 62.7 2.10 1.02 2,193 3,918 6,300 10,677 83.1 83.1 6,077 10,075Benin 34.5 38.4 42.1 47.3 1.00 1.17 1,288 2,318 3,749 6,394 80.3 83.6 3,617 6,035Botswana 41.9 53.2 61.2 67.6 1.89 1.00 311 466 650 939 59.2 60.7 625 879Burkina Faso 13.8 16.5 20.3 25.7 1.94 2.33 987 1,528 2,185 3,250 80.9 76.5 2,104 3,047Burundi 6.3 8.6 11.6 15.6 3.09 2.96 294 394 501 653 83.3 65.3 481 608Cameroon 40.7 50.0 58.9 66.0 1.84 1.15 2,906 5,064 7,977 13,217 62.1 67.0 7,693 12,459Cape Verde 44.1 53.4 61.0 67.3 1.62 0.98 106 193 314 540 70.3 69.6 303 510Central African Republic 36.8 37.6 38.9 42.4 0.28 0.87 1,038 1,455 1,919 2,610 94.0 92.4 1,845 2,435Chad 20.8 23.4 27.6 33.9 1.42 2.05 1,218 1,947 2,856 4,373 99.3 99.1 2,751 4,106Comoros 28.2 33.8 40.4 47.7 1.81 1.66 91 151 228 361 61.7 61.2 220 340Congo 54.3 58.3 62.1 66.3 0.67 0.66 1,050 1,852 2,945 4,930 84.5 90.1 2,840 4,650Côte d’Ivoire 39.7 43.0 47.2 52.8 0.86 1.11 2,532 4,884 8,361 15,194 50.5 67.9 8,074 14,381Dem. Republic <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Congo 27.8 29.8 35.2 42.0 1.18 1.77 5,366 7,985 11,054 15,865 51.9 49.5 10,637 14,846Djibouti 76.0 83.3 88.1 90.6 0.74 0.28 … … … … … … … …Egypt 43.5 42.5 43.7 47.7 0.03 0.87 14,087 11,762 10,148 8,613 57.5 39.9 9,671 7,733Equatorial Guinea 34.8 38.8 39.7 43.3 0.66 0.86 112 201 323 547 89.1 86.5 311 516Eritrea 15.8 17.8 21.6 27.5 1.56 2.41 342 510 707 1,016 69.9 69.9 680 950Ethiopia 12.6 14.9 17.4 21.3 1.59 2.04 5,984 10,159 15,665 25,347 99.0 99.4 15,102 23,866Gabon 69.1 80.1 86.0 88.8 1.09 0.31 357 688 1,174 2,129 56.1 66.2 1,134 2,015Gambia 38.3 49.1 58.1 65.0 2.09 1.12 155 280 455 781 67.0 67.0 439 737Ghana 36.5 44.0 51.5 58.5 1.73 1.27 4,083 4,993 5,886 7,067 80.4 69.6 5,647 6,540Guinea 28.0 31.0 35.3 41.4 1.15 1.58 1,145 1,672 2,278 3,213 79.6 72.3 2,192 3,003Guinea-Bissau 28.1 29.7 30.0 32.8 0.32 0.90 210 371 591 990 93.4 93.4 570 934Kenya 18.2 19.7 22.2 26.6 0.98 1.81 3,985 7,605 12,905 23,223 70.4 70.7 12,460 21,972Lesotho 17.2 17.8 20.1 24.7 0.78 2.06 168 337 596 1,121 49.8 57.0 576 1,062Liberia 45.3 54.3 61.5 67.9 1.53 0.99 632 788 943 1,153 70.2 55.7 905 1,068Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 78.6 83.1 86.3 88.4 0.47 0.24 1,242 1,674 2,138 2,806 35.2 35.2 2,055 2,612Madagascar 23.6 26.0 28.2 32.6 0.89 1.47 2,562 4,603 7,434 12,664 90.9 92.9 7,172 11,953Malawi 11.6 15.1 19.5 25.1 2.58 2.53 1,033 1,590 2,262 3,348 94.6 91.1 2,178 3,138Mali 23.3 27.9 33.3 40.0 1.79 1.81 1,968 3,361 5,208 8,474 94.1 93.2 5,022 7,981Mauritania 39.7 40.0 41.4 45.4 0.22 0.92 827 1,531 2,534 4,437 94.3 94.3 2,446 4,193Mauritius 43.9 42.7 42.8 46.1 -0.12 0.74 … … … … … … … …Morocco 48.4 55.1 61.9 67.8 1.23 0.90 4,457 5,579 6,705 8,223 37.4 32.7 6,435 7,621Mozambique 21.1 30.7 38.4 46.2 3.00 1.85 2,722 5,841 10,909 21,842 94.5 94.1 10,549 20,753Namibia 27.7 32.4 38.0 44.5 1.59 1.57 155 213 276 368 42.3 37.9 265 343Niger 15.4 16.2 17.8 21.3 0.73 1.77 1,191 2,277 3,869 6,972 96.0 96.2 3,736 6,597Nigeria 35.0 43.9 52.2 59.3 1.99 1.29 24,096 41,595 55,732 76,749 80.0 79.2 57,422 76,943Réunion 81.2 89.9 94.0 95.7 0.73 0.17 … … … … … … … …Rwanda 5.4 13.8 23.9 33.4 7.43 3.35 296 437 601 857 82.2 87.9 579 802Saint Helena 41.6 39.2 39.5 43.4 -0.25 0.94 – – … … … … … …São Tomé and Príncipe 43.6 53.4 62.2 69.0 1.77 1.04 – 1 … … … … … …Senegal 39.0 40.6 42.9 47.1 0.48 0.93 2,276 3,555 5,120 7,679 77.6 76.4 4,930 7,203Seychelles 49.3 51.0 55.3 61.1 0.58 0.99 – 1 … … … … … …Sierra Leone 30.1 37.0 44.4 52.0 1.94 1.58 1,107 1,642 2,266 3,243 90.9 95.8 2,181 3,034Somalia 29.7 33.3 37.5 43.0 1.17 1.39 1,670 2,482 3,433 4,923 96.3 97.1 3,304 4,606South Africa 52.0 56.9 61.7 66.6 0.85 0.76 8,207 8,376 8,517 8,677 46.2 33.2 8,147 7,930Sudan 26.6 36.1 45.2 53.2 2.65 1.62 5,708 10,107 16,131 27,118 86.4 85.7 15,560 25,580Swaziland 22.9 23.3 25.5 30.3 0.53 1.72 … … … … … … … …Togo 30.1 36.6 43.7 51.2 1.87 1.58 796 1,273 1,870 2,866 80.9 80.6 1,801 2,691Tunisia 59.6 63.4 67.2 71.1 0.60 0.57 425 234 144 84 9.0 3.7 136 71Uganda 11.1 12.1 13.3 16.0 0.93 1.82 1,806 3,241 5,231 8,904 93.8 93.0 5,047 8,403<strong>United</strong> Republic <strong>of</strong> Tanzania 18.9 22.3 26.4 31.8 1.67 1.86 5,601 11,031 19,205 35,561 99.1 92.1 18,551 33,685Western Sahara 88.5 91.2 92.0 92.8 0.19 0.09 – 5 … … … … … …Zambia 39.4 34.8 35.7 38.9 -0.49 0.87 2,284 3,136 4,065 5,423 72.0 74.0 3,907 5,053Zimbabwe 29.0 33.8 38.3 43.9 1.39 1.38 116 157 202 266 4.0 3.4 194 247ASIA 31.9 37.1 42.5 48.1 1.43 1.25 420,415 533,385 648,605 806,731 … … 622,664 748,388Afghanistan 18.3 21.3 24.8 29.7 1.52 1.80 2,458 4,945 8,760 16,536 98.5 98.5 8,464 15,676Armenia 67.5 65.1 63.7 65.2 -0.29 0.23 … … … … … … … …Azerbaijan 53.7 50.9 51.9 54.4 -0.18 0.48 … … … … … … … …Bahrain 88.1 94.6 97.6 98.5 0.51 0.09 0 12 … … … … … …Bangladesh 19.8 23.2 27.3 32.9 1.61 1.85 18,988 30,403 44,687 68,553 87.3 84.7 43,047 64,378Bhutan 7.2 9.6 12.8 17.0 2.90 2.83 61 70 78 88 70.0 44.1 75 81Brunei Darussalam 65.8 71.1 75.7 79.3 0.70 0.48 3 5 7 9 … … 6 9Cambodia 12.6 16.9 22.8 29.6 2.96 2.61 870 1,696 2,929 5,375 71.7 72.2 2,829 5,089China 27.4 35.8 44.9 53.2 2.47 1.69 137,929 178,256 219,878 277,616 43.6 37.8 211,141 257,793China, Hong Kong SAR 99.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.02 0.00 113 139 163 196 … … 156 181China, Macao SAR 99.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.01 0.00 7 9 10 12 … … 10 11Cyprus 66.8 68.6 70.3 73.0 0.26 0.38 … … … … … … … …Dem. People’s Republic <strong>of</strong> Korea 58.4 60.2 63.4 67.8 0.41 0.68 117 95 80 67 … … 77 60Georgia 55.2 52.7 52.7 55.4 -0.23 0.51 … … … … … … … …India 25.5 27.7 30.1 34.4 0.82 1.32 131,174 158,418 184,868 219,466 60.8 55.5 177,332 202,950Indonesia 30.6 42.0 53.7 62.6 2.81 1.53 17,964 20,877 23,608 27,064 32.2 23.1 22,632 24,965Iran (Islamic Republic <strong>of</strong>) 56.3 64.2 69.5 74.0 1.05 0.63 17,094 20,406 23,587 27,707 51.9 44.2 22,621 25,603Iraq 69.7 67.8 66.6 67.8 -0.23 0.18 6,825 9,026 11,346 14,630 56.7 56.7 10,899 13,604
Data tables353TABLE B.3continuedLevel <strong>of</strong> urbanizationUrban slum dwellersEstimates and projections Rate <strong>of</strong> change Estimates and projections % <strong>of</strong> urban Slum projection(%) (%) (000) population Target 11 (000)1990 2000 2010 2020 1990- 2010- 1990 2001 2010 2020 1990 2001 2010 20202010 2020Israel 90.4 91.4 91.7 92.2 0.07 0.06 81 113 148 199 … … 142 186Japan 63.1 65.2 66.8 69.8 0.29 0.44 … … … … … … … …Jordan 72.2 80.4 83.9 86.5 0.75 0.31 388 623 920 1,416 16.5 15.7 886 1,330Kazakhstan 56.3 56.3 58.6 62.2 0.20 0.59 … … … … … … … …Kuwait 98.0 98.2 98.4 98.6 0.02 0.02 60 56 53 50 … … 51 45Kyrgyzstan 37.8 35.4 36.6 40.1 -0.15 0.91 … … … … … … … …Lao People’s Dem. Republic 15.4 18.9 22.6 27.6 1.91 1.99 422 705 1,073 1,711 … … 1,034 1,610Lebanon 83.1 86.0 87.2 88.6 0.24 0.16 1,142 1,602 2,112 2,872 66.1 66.1 2,031 2,679Malaysia 49.8 61.8 71.8 78.1 1.83 0.84 177 262 361 515 50.0 50.0 347 482Maldives 25.8 27.5 32.1 38.0 1.08 1.70 – – – – … … … …Mongolia 57.0 56.6 57.5 60.7 0.04 0.55 866 940 1,006 1,084 68.5 64.9 963 995Myanmar 24.9 28.0 33.9 41.0 1.55 1.89 3,105 3,596 4,056 4,635 31.1 26.4 3,888 4,275Nepal 8.9 13.4 18.2 23.9 3.61 2.72 1,574 2,656 4,077 6,562 96.9 92.4 3,930 6,177Occupied Palestinian Territory 67.9 71.5 72.1 74.1 0.30 0.28 – 1,333 … … – 60.0 … …Oman 65.4 71.6 71.7 73.3 0.46 0.23 671 1,214 1,972 3,379 60.5 60.5 1,902 3,190Pakistan 30.6 33.1 37.0 42.7 0.96 1.44 26,416 35,627 45,507 59,730 78.7 73.6 43,728 55,602Philippines 48.8 58.5 66.4 72.3 1.54 0.85 16,346 20,183 23,984 29,053 54.9 44.1 23,015 26,904Qatar 92.2 94.9 95.8 96.5 0.19 0.07 8 11 13 17 … … 13 16Republic <strong>of</strong> Korea 73.8 79.6 81.9 84.2 0.52 0.27 11,728 14,385 17,002 20,470 37.0 37.0 16,313 18,948Saudi Arabia 76.6 79.8 82.1 84.2 0.35 0.26 2,385 3,609 5,066 7,382 19.8 19.8 4,876 6,914Singapore 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.00 0.00 – – – – … … … …Sri Lanka 17.2 15.7 15.1 16.9 -0.64 1.11 899 597 428 295 24.8 13.6 406 258Syrian Arab Republic 48.9 50.1 51.7 55.5 0.28 0.70 629 892 1,187 1,630 10.4 10.4 1,141 1,522Tajikistan 31.5 25.9 24.2 25.9 -1.32 0.65 … … … … … … … …Thailand 29.4 31.1 34.0 38.9 0.72 1.36 1,998 253 47 7 19.5 2.0 42 2Timor-Leste 20.8 24.5 28.7 34.0 1.60 1.71 1 7 28 140 … … 28 136Turkey 59.2 64.7 69.6 74.0 0.81 0.60 7,997 8,011 8,022 8,035 23.3 17.9 7,671 7,332Turkmenistan 45.1 45.1 48.1 53.9 0.33 1.12 … … … … … … … …<strong>United</strong> Arab Emirates 79.1 77.4 76.9 78.2 -0.14 0.17 32 46 62 86 … … 59 80Uzbekistan 40.1 37.3 36.9 40.0 -0.41 0.80 … … … … … … … …Viet Nam 20.3 24.3 28.8 34.7 1.77 1.84 8,100 9,197 10,204 11,453 60.5 47.4 9,779 10,548Yemen 20.9 25.4 29.4 34.8 1.70 1.68 1,787 3,110 4,892 8,092 67.5 65.1 4,717 7,628EUROPE 70.6 71.7 72.9 75.1 0.16 0.31 … … … … … … … …Albania 36.4 41.8 49.1 56.2 1.49 1.35 … … … … … … … …Andorra 94.8 92.3 89.0 87.2 -0.31 -0.20 … … … … … … … …Austria 65.8 65.8 66.6 69.2 0.06 0.38 … … … … … … … …Belarus 66.4 70.0 74.6 78.6 0.58 0.52 … … … … … … … …Belgium 96.4 97.1 97.3 97.6 0.05 0.02 … … … … … … … …Bosnia and Herzegovina 39.2 43.2 48.6 55.2 1.07 1.26 … … … … … … … …Bulgaria 66.4 68.9 71.3 74.4 0.36 0.42 … … … … … … … …Channel Islands 31.4 30.5 30.8 32.7 -0.10 0.61 … … … … … … … …Croatia 54.0 55.6 57.8 61.6 0.33 0.64 … … … … … … … …Czech Republic 75.2 74.0 73.5 75.0 -0.11 0.20 … … … … … … … …Denmark 84.8 85.1 86.2 87.6 0.08 0.16 … … … … … … … …Estonia 71.1 69.4 69.3 71.4 -0.13 0.29 … … … … … … … …Faeroe Islands 30.6 36.3 39.9 43.6 1.33 0.89 … … … … … … … …Finland 61.4 61.1 61.6 64.4 0.02 0.43 … … … … … … … …France 74.1 75.8 77.8 80.2 0.25 0.31 … … … … … … … …Germany 73.4 75.1 75.6 77.3 0.15 0.22 … … … … … … … …Gibraltar 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.00 0.00 … … … … … … … …Greece 58.8 58.8 59.7 62.7 0.07 0.50 … … … … … … … …Hungary 65.8 64.6 68.3 72.3 0.18 0.56 … … … … … … … …Iceland 90.8 92.3 93.2 94.0 0.13 0.08 … … … … … … … …Ireland 56.9 59.1 62.0 65.9 0.43 0.60 … … … … … … … …Isle <strong>of</strong> Man 51.7 51.8 52.1 53.9 0.03 0.34 … … … … … … … …Italy 66.7 67.2 68.4 70.9 0.12 0.37 … … … … … … … …Latvia 69.3 68.1 68.2 70.1 -0.08 0.28 … … … … … … … …Liechtenstein 16.9 15.1 14.4 15.6 -0.81 0.83 … … … … … … … …Lithuania 67.6 67.0 66.4 67.8 -0.09 0.20 … … … … … … … …Luxembourg 80.9 83.8 82.2 82.4 0.08 0.02 … … … … … … … …Malta 90.4 93.4 96.5 97.7 0.33 0.12 … … … … … … … …Monaco 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.00 0.00 … … … … … … … …Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands 68.7 76.8 82.9 86.5 0.94 0.43 … … … … … … … …Norway 72.0 76.1 77.9 79.5 0.39 0.21 … … … … … … … …Poland 61.3 61.7 62.8 65.7 0.13 0.45 … … … … … … … …Portugal 47.9 54.4 60.7 66.4 1.18 0.90 … … … … … … … …Republic <strong>of</strong> Moldova 46.8 46.1 48.0 52.7 0.13 0.95 … … … … … … … …Romania 54.3 54.6 54.6 58.1 0.03 0.61 … … … … … … … …Russian Federation 73.4 73.4 72.6 73.2 -0.06 0.08 … … … … … … … …San Marino 90.1 93.5 98.7 99.6 0.46 0.09 … … … … … … … …Serbia and Montenegro 50.9 51.6 53.4 57.3 0.24 0.71 … … … … … … … …Slovakia 56.5 56.3 56.8 59.8 0.03 0.51 … … … … … … … …Slovenia 50.4 50.8 51.9 55.3 0.15 0.63 … … … … … … … …Spain 75.4 76.3 77.4 79.4 0.13 0.25 … … … … … … … …Sweden 83.1 84.0 84.5 85.8 0.09 0.14 … … … … … … … …Switzerland 68.4 73.1 77.0 80.3 0.59 0.42 … … … … … … … …TFYR Macedonia 57.8 64.9 72.3 77.5 1.12 0.70 … … … … … … … …
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ENHANCING URBAN SAFETYAND SECURITY
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First published by Earthscan in the
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INTRODUCTIONEnhancing Urban Safety
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSThe preparation of
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xEnhancing Urban Safety and Securit
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LIST OF FIGURES, BOXES ANDTABLESFIG
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4Understanding Urban Safety and Sec
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1CHAPTERCURRENT THREATS TO URBANSAF
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Current threats to urban safety and
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2CHAPTERVULNERABILITY, RISK ANDRESI
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Vulnerability, risk and resilience:
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46Urban crime and violenceBox II.1
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48Urban crime and violenceit has mu
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50Urban crime and violenceFormal an
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52Urban crime and violenceContact c
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54Urban crime and violencePer 100,0
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56Urban crime and violenceBurglary
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58Urban crime and violencePercentag
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60Urban crime and violenceFigure 3.
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62Urban crime and violenceTable 3.3
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64Urban crime and violenceYouth gan
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66Urban crime and violenceTable 3.4
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68Urban crime and violenceType of v
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72Urban crime and violenceOne viole
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74Urban crime and violenceHigh homi
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76Urban crime and violenceAbused ch
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78Urban crime and violenceGenerally
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80Urban crime and violenceTable 3.6
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86Urban crime and violenceUN-Habita
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88Urban crime and violenceBox 4.2 T
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90Urban crime and violenceBox 4.4 T
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92Urban crime and violenceLegislati
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94Urban crime and violenceabove wha
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96Urban crime and violenceCampaigns
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98Urban crime and violenceAvailable
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100Urban crime and violenceBox 4.7
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102Urban crime and violenceIn some
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104Urban crime and violenceInitiati
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106Urban crime and violenceThe most
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108Urban crime and violenceVandersc
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112Security of tenureBox III.1 Secu
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5CHAPTERSECURITY OF TENURE:CONDITIO
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116Security of tenureTable 5.1A gen
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118Security of tenureFully legalDeg
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120Security of tenureBox 5.4 Securi
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122Security of tenureUrban tenurein
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124Security of tenureAt least 2 mil
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126Security of tenureMarket-basedev
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128Security of tenureBox 5.11 Urban
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130Security of tenureOperationMuram
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132Security of tenureControl of lan
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134Security of tenureBox 5.18 Secur
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136Security of tenureNOTES1 Habitat
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140Security of tenureIt would be fo
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142Security of tenureBox 6.7 Land t
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144Security of tenureBox 6.10 What
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146Security of tenureBox 6.12 Evict
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148Security of tenureBox 6.15 Const
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150Security of tenureBox 6.18 Viola
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152Security of tenureThe GlobalCamp
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154Security of tenureBox 6.24 Land-
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156Security of tenureThe state is o
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158Security of tenureHousing rights
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Over the last three decades, natura
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Introduction165One of the key trend
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7CHAPTERDISASTER RISK: CONDITIONS,T
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Disaster risk: Conditions, trends a
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8CHAPTERPOLICY RESPONSES TODISASTER
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Policy responses to disaster risk19
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220Natural and human-made disasters
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222Natural and human-made disasters
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224Natural and human-made disasters
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226Natural and human-made disasters
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228Natural and human-made disasters
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230Natural and human-made disasters
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232Natural and human-made disasters
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11CHAPTERENHANCING TENURE SECURITYA
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276Enhancing Urban Safety and Secur
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12CHAPTERMITIGATING THE IMPACTS OFD
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- Page 364 and 365: 330Statistical annexIslands, Micron
- Page 366 and 367: 332Statistical annexNOMENCLATURE AN
- Page 368 and 369: 334Statistical annexPopulation, urb
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404Enhancing Urban Safety and Secur
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410TABLE C.7continuedEnhancing Urba
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430Enhancing Urban Safety and Secur
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INDEXACHR (Asian Coalition for Hous
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Index435security of tenure 134confl
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Index437domestic abuse see intimate
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Index439hazard management 169hazard
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Index441Kosovo, security of tenure
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Index443participation 38, 296-299pa
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Index445individual 34-35municipal f
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Index447gun ownership 78Homeless Pe