344Enhancing Urban Safety and SecurityTABLE B.1Total Population Size and Rate <strong>of</strong> ChangeTotal populationPopulation densityEstimates and projections Rate <strong>of</strong> change (people/km 2 )(000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (%) (%) (%) (%)1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 1990– 2000– 2010– 2020– 2004 20302000 2010 2020 2030WORLD 5,279,519 6,085,572 6,842,923 7,577,889 8,199,104 1.42 1.17 1.02 0.79 49 63AFRICA 635,685 812,466 1,006,905 1,228,276 1,463,493 2.45 2.15 1.99 1.75Algeria 25,291 30,463 35,420 40,624 44,706 1.86 1.51 1.37 0.96 14 19Angola 10,532 13,841 18,327 23,777 30,050 2.73 2.81 2.60 2.34 11 21Benin 5,178 7,197 9,793 12,717 15,820 3.29 3.08 2.61 2.18 62 119Botswana 1,429 1,754 1,729 1,671 1,642 2.05 -0.14 -0.34 -0.17 3 3Burkina Faso 8,532 11,292 15,314 20,305 26,199 2.80 3.05 2.82 2.55 45 91Burundi 5,670 6,486 9,099 12,263 15,930 1.34 3.39 2.98 2.62 286 605Cameroon 11,651 14,856 17,685 20,361 22,821 2.43 1.74 1.41 1.14 35 50Cape Verde 355 451 567 690 808 2.38 2.29 1.96 1.58 119 200Central African Republic 3,000 3,777 4,333 4,960 5,572 2.31 1.37 1.35 1.16 6 8Chad 6,055 8,216 11,130 14,881 19,751 3.05 3.04 2.90 2.83 7 15Comoros 1 527 699 907 1,130 1,357 2.83 2.61 2.19 1.84 276 499Congo 2,484 3,438 4,633 6,363 8,551 3.25 2.98 3.17 2.96 11 24Côte d’Ivoire 12,657 16,735 19,777 23,339 26,883 2.79 1.67 1.66 1.41 54 81Dem. Republic <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Congo 37,764 50,052 67,129 90,022 117,494 2.82 2.94 2.93 2.66 24 50Djibouti 558 715 859 1,015 1,200 2.47 1.85 1.66 1.67 31 50Egypt 55,673 67,285 81,133 94,834 107,056 1.89 1.87 1.56 1.21 69 101Equatorial Guinea 353 449 563 693 836 2.40 2.26 2.07 1.88 18 32Eritrea 3,038 3,557 5,128 6,584 8,138 1.58 3.66 2.50 2.12 44 86Ethiopia 51,040 68,525 86,998 107,681 128,979 2.95 2.39 2.13 1.80 70 119Gabon 957 1,272 1,498 1,709 1,907 2.84 1.63 1.32 1.10 5 7Gambia 936 1,316 1,706 2,070 2,439 3.41 2.60 1.94 1.64 145 250Ghana 15,479 19,867 24,312 28,789 33,075 2.50 2.02 1.69 1.39 93 142Guinea 6,217 8,434 10,485 13,371 16,492 3.05 2.18 2.43 2.10 33 59Guinea-Bissau 1,016 1,366 1,835 2,479 3,317 2.96 2.96 3.01 2.91 55 123Kenya 23,430 30,689 38,956 49,563 60,606 2.70 2.39 2.41 2.01 57 102Lesotho 1,593 1,788 1,768 1,718 1,663 1.15 -0.11 -0.28 -0.33 60 56Liberia 2,136 3,065 3,800 5,042 6,655 3.61 2.15 2.83 2.78 171 350Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 4,334 5,306 6,439 7,538 8,345 2.02 1.93 1.58 1.02 3 4Madagascar 12,045 16,195 21,151 26,584 32,317 2.96 2.67 2.29 1.95 30 53Malawi 9,459 11,512 14,348 17,816 21,687 1.96 2.20 2.17 1.97 119 204Mali 8,894 11,647 15,617 20,904 27,413 2.70 2.93 2.92 2.71 10 21Mauritania 2,030 2,645 3,520 4,473 5,482 2.64 2.86 2.40 2.03 3 5Mauritius 2 1,057 1,186 1,298 1,384 1,443 1.15 0.91 0.64 0.41 842 1001Morocco 24,696 29,231 33,832 38,327 42,016 1.69 1.46 1.25 0.92 69 93Mozambique 13,429 17,911 21,620 25,508 29,604 2.88 1.88 1.65 1.49 24 37Namibia 1,398 1,894 2,132 2,384 2,641 3.04 1.18 1.12 1.02 2 3Niger 8,472 11,782 16,430 22,585 30,637 3.30 3.33 3.18 3.05 10 22Nigeria 90,557 117,608 145,991 175,798 204,465 2.61 2.16 1.86 1.51 154 244Réunion 604 724 838 931 1,007 1.82 1.46 1.05 0.79 … …Rwanda 7,096 8,025 10,125 12,352 14,368 1.23 2.33 1.99 1.51 341 553Saint Helena 3 5 5 5 6 6 -0.99 0.58 0.92 0.62 … …São Tomé and Príncipe 117 140 174 209 241 1.80 2.22 1.80 1.44 167 271Senegal 7,977 10,343 13,082 15,970 18,678 2.60 2.35 2.00 1.57 54 88Seychelles 72 77 84 91 97 0.69 0.87 0.81 0.56 188 229Sierra Leone 4,078 4,509 6,132 7,740 9,650 1.00 3.08 2.33 2.21 76 142Somalia 6,674 7,012 9,590 12,336 15,304 0.49 3.13 2.52 2.16 16 32South Africa 36,877 45,610 47,819 48,100 48,405 2.13 0.47 0.06 0.06 38 40Sudan 26,066 32,902 40,254 47,536 54,511 2.33 2.02 1.66 1.37 14 21Swaziland 865 1,023 1,010 983 973 1.67 -0.12 -0.28 -0.10 187 179Togo 3,961 5,364 6,977 8,731 10,486 3.03 2.63 2.24 1.83 91 159Tunisia 8,219 9,563 10,639 11,604 12,379 1.51 1.07 0.87 0.65 64 79Uganda 17,758 24,309 34,569 50,572 72,078 3.14 3.52 3.80 3.54 132 335<strong>United</strong> Republic <strong>of</strong> Tanzania 26,231 34,763 41,838 49,265 56,178 2.82 1.85 1.63 1.31 41 61Western Sahara 218 300 429 627 728 3.16 3.60 3.78 1.49 … …Zambia 8,377 10,702 12,673 15,128 17,706 2.45 1.69 1.77 1.57 14 22Zimbabwe 10,565 12,595 13,402 14,144 14,700 1.76 0.62 0.54 0.39 34 39ASIA 3,168,616 3,675,799 4,130,383 4,553,791 4,872,472 1.48 1.17 0.98 0.68Afghanistan 14,606 23,735 35,642 48,032 63,424 4.85 4.07 2.98 2.78 … …Armenia 3,545 3,082 2,981 2,952 2,843 -1.40 -0.33 -0.10 -0.38 108 101Azerbaijan 7,212 8,143 8,741 9,384 9,713 1.21 0.71 0.71 0.34 100 116Bahrain 493 672 791 910 1,016 3.10 1.63 1.40 1.11 1022 1479Bangladesh 104,047 128,916 154,960 181,180 205,641 2.14 1.84 1.56 1.27 1079 1592Bhutan 1,642 1,938 2,414 2,950 3,460 1.66 2.20 2.00 1.59 19 32Brunei Darussalam 257 333 414 491 561 2.60 2.17 1.70 1.34 69 109Cambodia 9,738 12,744 15,530 18,580 21,313 2.69 1.98 1.79 1.37 77 118China 4 1,155,305 1,273,979 1,354,533 1,423,939 1,446,453 0.98 0.61 0.50 0.16 139 154China, Hong Kong SAR 5 5,704 6,637 7,416 8,080 8,610 1.51 1.11 0.86 0.64 6569 8140China, Macao SAR 6 372 444 476 509 531 1.75 0.71 0.67 0.41 265 311Cyprus 681 786 881 972 1,051 1.44 1.14 0.98 0.78 84 109Dem. People’s Republic <strong>of</strong> Korea 19,690 21,862 22,907 23,722 24,375 1.05 0.47 0.35 0.27 189 208Georgia 5,460 4,720 4,299 4,059 3,755 -1.46 -0.93 -0.58 -0.78 65 54India 849,415 1,021,084 1,183,293 1,332,032 1,449,078 1.84 1.47 1.18 0.84 363 484Indonesia 181,414 209,174 235,755 255,853 270,844 1.42 1.20 0.82 0.57 120 148Iran (Islamic Republic <strong>of</strong>) 56,674 66,365 74,283 85,036 92,253 1.58 1.13 1.35 0.81 41 54
Data tables345TABLE B.1continuedTotal populationPopulation densityEstimates and projections Rate <strong>of</strong> change (people/km 2 )(000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (%) (%) (%) (%)1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 1990– 2000– 2010– 2020– 2004 20302000 2010 2020 2030Iraq 18,515 25,075 32,534 40,522 48,797 3.03 2.60 2.20 1.86 58 105Israel 4,514 6,084 7,315 8,296 9,156 2.99 1.84 1.26 0.99 313 436Japan 123,537 127,034 128,457 126,713 122,566 0.28 0.11 -0.14 -0.33 351 337Jordan 3,254 4,972 6,338 7,556 8,672 4.24 2.43 1.76 1.38 61 96Kazakhstan 16,500 15,033 14,802 14,883 14,556 -0.93 -0.16 0.05 -0.22 6 6Kuwait 2,143 2,230 3,047 3,698 4,296 0.40 3.12 1.94 1.50 138 232Kyrgyzstan 4,395 4,952 5,567 6,094 6,431 1.19 1.17 0.90 0.54 27 33Lao People’s Dem. Republic 4,132 5,279 6,604 8,014 9,389 2.45 2.24 1.94 1.58 25 40Lebanon 2,741 3,398 3,773 4,140 4,428 2.15 1.05 0.93 0.67 445 555Malaysia 17,845 22,997 27,532 31,474 34,720 2.54 1.80 1.34 0.98 77 108Maldives 216 290 371 461 547 2.97 2.47 2.17 1.70 998 1759Mongolia 2,216 2,497 2,813 3,137 3,381 1.19 1.19 1.09 0.75 2 3Myanmar 40,753 47,724 52,801 57,054 60,629 1.58 1.01 0.77 0.61 76 94Nepal 19,114 24,431 29,891 35,679 41,424 2.45 2.02 1.77 1.49 176 274Occupied Palestinian Territory 2,154 3,150 4,330 5,694 7,171 3.80 3.18 2.74 2.31 564 1117Oman 1,843 2,442 2,863 3,481 4,053 2.81 1.59 1.96 1.52 9 14Pakistan 111,698 142,648 175,178 211,703 246,322 2.45 2.05 1.89 1.51 197 312Philippines 61,104 75,766 90,048 103,266 114,080 2.15 1.73 1.37 1.00 278 389Qatar 467 606 894 1,036 1,158 2.60 3.88 1.47 1.11 58 99Republic <strong>of</strong> Korea 42,869 46,779 48,566 49,393 49,161 0.87 0.37 0.17 -0.05 488 505Saudi Arabia 16,379 21,484 27,664 34,024 40,132 2.71 2.53 2.07 1.65 11 18Singapore 3,016 4,017 4,590 4,986 5,265 2.87 1.33 0.83 0.55 6470 8022Sri Lanka 17,786 19,848 21,557 22,902 23,667 1.10 0.83 0.61 0.33 301 347Syrian Arab Republic 12,843 16,813 21,432 26,029 29,983 2.69 2.43 1.94 1.41 97 156Tajikistan 5,303 6,159 6,992 8,216 9,237 1.50 1.27 1.61 1.17 46 65Thailand 54,639 61,438 66,785 71,044 73,827 1.17 0.83 0.62 0.38 122 142Timor-Leste 740 722 1,244 1,713 2,173 -0.25 5.44 3.20 2.38 62 158Turkey 57,300 68,234 78,081 86,774 93,876 1.75 1.35 1.06 0.79 93 121Turkmenistan 3,668 4,502 5,163 5,811 6,270 2.05 1.37 1.18 0.76 10 13<strong>United</strong> Arab Emirates 1,868 3,247 5,035 6,144 7,225 5.53 4.39 1.99 1.62 51 100Uzbekistan 20,515 24,724 28,578 32,515 35,329 1.87 1.45 1.29 0.83 63 85Viet Nam 66,206 78,671 89,718 99,928 108,128 1.73 1.31 1.08 0.79 252 328Yemen 12,086 17,937 24,502 32,733 41,499 3.95 3.12 2.90 2.37 37 75EUROPE 721,390 728,463 725,786 714,959 698,140 0.10 -0.04 -0.15 -0.24Albania 3,289 3,062 3,216 3,420 3,512 -0.72 0.49 0.61 0.27 116 130Andorra 52 66 68 67 66 2.31 0.26 -0.09 -0.24 136 134Austria 7,729 8,096 8,248 8,320 8,333 0.46 0.19 0.09 0.01 98 100Belarus 10,266 10,029 9,484 8,939 8,314 -0.23 -0.56 -0.59 -0.73 47 40Belgium 9,967 10,304 10,495 10,573 10,588 0.33 0.18 0.07 0.01 344 351Bosnia and Herzegovina 4,308 3,847 3,935 3,827 3,639 -1.13 0.23 -0.28 -0.50 75 70Bulgaria 8,718 7,997 7,446 6,859 6,243 -0.86 -0.71 -0.82 -0.94 70 56Channel Islands 7 142 147 152 158 164 0.33 0.36 0.36 0.37 745 823Croatia 4,517 4,505 4,532 4,367 4,164 -0.03 0.06 -0.37 -0.48 81 75Czech Republic 10,306 10,267 10,158 9,932 9,525 -0.04 -0.11 -0.23 -0.42 132 123Denmark 5,140 5,340 5,502 5,624 5,752 0.38 0.30 0.22 0.23 127 135Estonia 1,584 1,367 1,309 1,272 1,221 -1.47 -0.43 -0.29 -0.41 32 29Faeroe Islands 47 46 49 51 54 -0.39 0.62 0.60 0.39 34 39Finland 8 4,986 5,177 5,307 5,409 5,453 0.37 0.25 0.19 0.08 17 18France 56,735 59,278 61,535 62,954 63,712 0.44 0.37 0.23 0.12 109 115Germany 79,433 82,344 82,701 82,283 81,512 0.36 0.04 -0.05 -0.09 237 234Gibraltar 27 28 28 28 28 0.30 0.13 0.03 -0.09 … …Greece 10,160 10,975 11,205 11,217 11,119 0.77 0.21 0.01 -0.09 86 86Holy See 9 1 1 1 1 1 0.22 -0.03 0.00 -0.26 … …Hungary 10,365 10,226 9,961 9,628 9,221 -0.14 -0.26 -0.34 -0.43 109 99Iceland 255 281 307 330 349 0.99 0.88 0.71 0.58 125 152Ireland 3,515 3,801 4,422 4,893 5,249 0.78 1.51 1.01 0.70 58 75Isle <strong>of</strong> Man 70 77 76 75 74 0.89 -0.07 -0.10 -0.16 135 131Italy 56,719 57,715 58,176 57,132 55,423 0.17 0.08 -0.18 -0.30 196 188Latvia 2,713 2,373 2,248 2,129 1,981 -1.34 -0.54 -0.54 -0.72 37 32Liechtenstein 29 33 36 39 41 1.25 0.92 0.73 0.61 213 260Lithuania 3,698 3,500 3,358 3,214 3,029 -0.55 -0.41 -0.44 -0.59 55 48Luxembourg 378 435 494 552 612 1.42 1.27 1.11 1.04 174 236Malta 360 392 411 426 434 0.84 0.47 0.37 0.18 400 437Monaco 30 33 37 42 46 1.02 1.12 1.14 1.01 159 214Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands 14,952 15,898 16,592 17,007 17,303 0.61 0.43 0.25 0.17 480 513Norway 10 4,241 4,502 4,730 4,960 5,190 0.60 0.49 0.47 0.45 15 17Poland 38,111 38,649 38,359 37,712 36,254 0.14 -0.08 -0.17 -0.39 125 118Portugal 9,983 10,225 10,712 10,902 10,933 0.24 0.47 0.18 0.03 114 120Republic <strong>of</strong> Moldova 4,364 4,275 4,160 4,054 3,856 -0.21 -0.27 -0.26 -0.50 128 117Romania 23,207 22,117 21,287 20,396 19,285 -0.48 -0.38 -0.43 -0.56 95 84Russian Federation 148,370 146,560 140,028 133,101 125,325 -0.12 -0.46 -0.51 -0.60 8 7San Marino 24 27 29 30 31 1.09 0.79 0.35 0.13 463 515Serbia and Montenegro 10,156 10,545 10,478 10,335 10,114 0.38 -0.06 -0.14 -0.22 80 77Slovakia 5,256 5,400 5,400 5,350 5,189 0.27 -0.00 -0.09 -0.31 110 106Slovenia 1,926 1,967 1,959 1,917 1,842 0.21 -0.04 -0.22 -0.40 99 93Spain 39,303 40,717 43,993 44,419 44,008 0.35 0.77 0.10 -0.09 83 87Sweden 8,559 8,877 9,168 9,488 9,769 0.37 0.32 0.34 0.29 22 24
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ENHANCING URBAN SAFETYAND SECURITY
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First published by Earthscan in the
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INTRODUCTIONEnhancing Urban Safety
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSThe preparation of
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1CHAPTERCURRENT THREATS TO URBANSAF
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- Page 364 and 365: 330Statistical annexIslands, Micron
- Page 366 and 367: 332Statistical annexNOMENCLATURE AN
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INDEXACHR (Asian Coalition for Hous
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Index435security of tenure 134confl
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Index437domestic abuse see intimate
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Index439hazard management 169hazard
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Index441Kosovo, security of tenure
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Index443participation 38, 296-299pa
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Index445individual 34-35municipal f
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Index447gun ownership 78Homeless Pe