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182Natural and human-made disastersTable 7.8Natural disasters andsocio-political changeSource: Pelling, 2003; except *:Dill and Pelling, 2006City (country) Date <strong>of</strong> disaster Disaster trigger Socio-political reactionLice (Turkey) 1972 Earthquake Discrimination against <strong>the</strong> minority Kurdish population was blamed for inadequate preparedness before,and relief aid after, <strong>the</strong> earthquake. Complaints were made by a Kurdish member <strong>of</strong> parliament to <strong>the</strong>Turkish Parliament.Managua (Nicaragua) 1972 Earthquake The scale <strong>of</strong> corruption by <strong>the</strong> Somoza dictatorship united workers, intellectuals, <strong>the</strong> business communityand international popular opinion fuelling a popular revolution that eventually led to a change in regime.Guatemala City (Guatemala) 1976 Earthquake Described as a ‘classquake’ because <strong>of</strong> its high impact among slum dwellers, this event stimulatedpopular mobilization and land invasions, which reshaped <strong>the</strong> geography <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> city.(Chile, nationwide) 1985 Earthquake A traditional civilian response threatened to undermine a weak dictatorship. The response wasdemobilized through repression and <strong>the</strong> state took over.Mexico City (Mexico) 1985 Earthquake Inadequate state response. A highly organized civil society-led reconstruction programme emerged,unique in Mexico’s modern history <strong>of</strong> authoritarian state control.Miami (US) 1992 Hurricane Broad interest coalitions formed, assisting in <strong>the</strong> rebuilding <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> city. These coalitions have not persistedbut have created <strong>the</strong> potential for cooperation in local politics.Marmara * (Turkey) 1999 Earthquake A conspicuous failure in state oversight <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> construction industry led to riots and political lobbying forpolicy change.…political relationsat <strong>the</strong> local level willbe tested by disasterevents …space. It may be possible to assess how disaster risk reduction,<strong>the</strong> hazard events <strong>the</strong>mselves and <strong>the</strong>ir aftermath openor close political space. In o<strong>the</strong>r words, do <strong>the</strong> activitiesconducted during <strong>the</strong>se periods <strong>of</strong> disaster managementprovide an opportunity for inclusive governance? Disasterscan act as catalysts highlighting underlying inequality, corruptionand incompetence that fuels popular unrest; but <strong>the</strong>ycan also close political space. More authoritarian politicalregimes whose legitimacy is built on <strong>the</strong> control <strong>of</strong> politicalpower in a national state are likely to feel threatened by anyopening <strong>of</strong> political space through disaster, and so may beexpected to act to restrain emerging civil society voices.Entrenched political systems are difficult to change and singledisaster events rarely achieve significant political movement,unless this was already entrained before <strong>the</strong> event.Table 7.8 presents information from studies <strong>of</strong> disastersthat have had a mainly urban impact and were triggeredby a natural hazard. In many cases, it was <strong>the</strong> capital city thatwas hit, with political consequences for <strong>the</strong> nation as awhole. In cases where <strong>the</strong> formal state response has beenpolitically biased (Turkey in 1972) or inadequate (MexicoCity in 1985; Turkey in 1999), civil society responses haveemerged or even come to dominate disaster relief, recovery(Chile in 1985; Mexico City in 1985) and reconstruction(Guatemala City in 1976). In many cases, civil society effortscan become formalized when interest groups have createdcoalitions with <strong>the</strong> state (Miami in 1992; Mexico City in1985; Turkey in 1999) or protested through formal politicalor legislative channels (Turkey in 1972). Where politicaldifferences between <strong>the</strong> cooperating groups are too large,collaboration may not last long beyond <strong>the</strong> disaster reconstructionperiod (Miami in 1992); but even here <strong>the</strong>experience is likely to have built up new trust between civilsociety groups within <strong>the</strong> city.State elites can benefit from disaster when, forexample, <strong>the</strong> political function <strong>of</strong> party networks is adaptedfor relief distribution or institutional weaknesses allowcorruption (Managua in 1972), thus streng<strong>the</strong>ning ‘clientalism’in society. This suggests that it can be in <strong>the</strong> interest <strong>of</strong>parasitic governing elites to allow degeneration in <strong>the</strong> institutionsoverseeing disaster response (providing a space forcorruption), while investing in state control over local disasterresponse strategies (to prevent <strong>the</strong> emergence <strong>of</strong>potentially critical civil society organizations). Where statesdo not benefit from disaster, astute politicians can controlpotential damage. In 1966, despite having made decisionsthat directly led to increased vulnerability to flooding in NewOrleans, <strong>the</strong> incumbent mayor was successfully re-elected,having demonstrated leadership in reconstruction. 47Beyond <strong>the</strong> national level, political relations at <strong>the</strong>local level will be tested by disaster events and also by riskreduction and reconstruction interventions. If disaster riskreduction is to be effective in changing <strong>the</strong> root causes <strong>of</strong>risk, <strong>the</strong>n change in local social and political relations –between gender, economic class, cast, and ethnic andreligious groups – is a legitimate target for action. Even wherechange is not intended, this may <strong>of</strong>ten be an unplannedoutcome <strong>of</strong> interventions, with positive and negative consequencesfor those affected. For all disaster types at <strong>the</strong> locallevel, periods <strong>of</strong> disaster and emergency response – especiallyif <strong>the</strong>se are prolonged – can result in dislocations in <strong>the</strong>authority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> state and <strong>the</strong> emergence <strong>of</strong>, if only temporarily,alternative forms <strong>of</strong> social organization. Disasters can alsolead to more positive social bonding and <strong>the</strong> building <strong>of</strong> trustbetween people forced toge<strong>the</strong>r by adversity.Cultural impacts <strong>of</strong> disasterUrban areas concentrate cultural assets, including architecturallysignificant buildings and urban landscapes, but alsoartworks housed in urban centres. The Jahrhundertflut flood<strong>of</strong> August 2002 that affected <strong>the</strong> Czech Republic, Germanyand Hungary, is one recent example where cultural assetswere at risk. The World Heritage towns <strong>of</strong> Cesky Krumlov andPrague were damaged and large galleries in Dresden andPrague were flooded. In Prague, flooding in <strong>the</strong> NationalMuseum and Prague University <strong>of</strong> Technology caused damageto books, including an archive on Czech architecture. Thevulnerability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> historic city <strong>of</strong> Genoa (Italy) fur<strong>the</strong>r illustrates<strong>the</strong> cultural impacts <strong>of</strong> disasters (see Box 7.7).The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Educational, Scientific andCultural Organization (UNESCO) World Heritage Listincludes 644 cultural and 24 mixed cultural and naturalproperties (including an additional 162 natural properties,such as nature parks). Many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se sites are located inearthquake-risk hotspots in Central America and Central Asia

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