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ICRISAT Archival Report 2006 - The seedlings of success in the ...

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Figure 9A.3 Varietal adaptation maps for cultivars CSM335 (a) and CSM63 (b) and for<br />

<strong>the</strong> 1971-2000 period (cont<strong>in</strong>ental CILSS countries). Here, adaptation is def<strong>in</strong>ed based<br />

on phenology, i.e. when <strong>the</strong> average flower<strong>in</strong>g date occurs 20 (±10) days before end <strong>of</strong><br />

season. End <strong>of</strong> season occurs when a mov<strong>in</strong>g 10-day average <strong>of</strong> daily ra<strong>in</strong>fall drops<br />

below <strong>the</strong> ETP l<strong>in</strong>e (~end <strong>of</strong> humid period, adapted from Cochemé and Franqu<strong>in</strong>,<br />

1967). <strong>The</strong> two plant<strong>in</strong>g periods: optimal (shortly after onset <strong>of</strong> humid period) and<br />

delayed reflect <strong>the</strong> traditional spread <strong>of</strong> sow<strong>in</strong>g dates. <strong>The</strong> adaptation strip for earlymatur<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

non-PP sensitive CSM63 is th<strong>in</strong>ner than that <strong>of</strong> late-matur<strong>in</strong>g, PP sensitive<br />

CSM335 on any given date. It rapidly migrates southwards for delayed sow<strong>in</strong>g, with<br />

relatively small latitud<strong>in</strong>al overlap for a 15-day delay, <strong>in</strong> contrast to CSM335. CSM63<br />

can be seen as a variety <strong>of</strong> large geographic adaptation if, and only if, <strong>the</strong>re is a shift <strong>in</strong><br />

sow<strong>in</strong>g dates. CSM335 demonstrates both large temporal adaptation (small latitud<strong>in</strong>al<br />

shift, large overlap) and large geographic coverage. PP <strong>in</strong>sensitive germplasm (like<br />

CSM63) is more likely to benefit from improved climate forecasts, but PP sensitive<br />

cultivars could rema<strong>in</strong> very competitive.<br />

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