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ICRISAT Archival Report 2006 - The seedlings of success in the ...

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9A.4 Simulat<strong>in</strong>g Cereal Legume Rotations <strong>in</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa<br />

Bongani Ncube, John P Dimes, Mark T van Wijk, Steve J Twomlow; Ken E Giller – <strong>ICRISAT</strong> and Wagen<strong>in</strong>gnen<br />

Agricultural University<br />

6000<br />

Total Biomass<br />

a) 2002/03<br />

2500<br />

Gra<strong>in</strong><br />

a) 2002/03<br />

5000<br />

2000<br />

4000<br />

1500<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

0<br />

6000<br />

b) 2003/04<br />

2500<br />

b) 2003/04<br />

Total biomass yield (kg ha -1 )<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

0<br />

Gra<strong>in</strong> yied (kg ha -1 )<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

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0<br />

6000<br />

c) 2004/05<br />

2500<br />

c) 2004/05<br />

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3000<br />

2000<br />

Observed TBM<br />

Predicted TBM<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

Observed gra<strong>in</strong><br />

Predicted gra<strong>in</strong><br />

1000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

ICPL<br />

87091<br />

ICEAP<br />

00535<br />

86D 719 CBC1 Natal<br />

Common<br />

Nyanda<br />

Sorghum<br />

0<br />

ICPL<br />

87091<br />

ICEAP<br />

00535<br />

86D 719 CBC1 Natal<br />

Common<br />

Nyanda<br />

Sorghum<br />

Figure 9A.5. Observed and predicted total biomass and gra<strong>in</strong> yield <strong>of</strong> legumes across three cropp<strong>in</strong>g seasons at Lucydale.<br />

Error bars represent standard errors <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> means <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> yields. Sorghum failed to establish <strong>in</strong> 2003/2004.<br />

We assessed how accurately <strong>the</strong> APSIM model can predict observed legume and rotation sorghum yield and how <strong>the</strong><br />

model can assist <strong>in</strong> expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> mechanism <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> residual benefit <strong>of</strong> legumes to sorghum under dry semi-arid<br />

conditions. <strong>The</strong> model was used to simulate <strong>the</strong> measured soil and plant responses <strong>in</strong> a legume-sorghum rotation<br />

experiment conducted at Lucydale, Matopos Research Station <strong>in</strong> south-western Zimbabwe, between 2002 and 2005<br />

Local climate, measured soil m<strong>in</strong>eral N, soil organic matter (SOC) and water data were used as <strong>in</strong>puts to <strong>the</strong> model.<br />

Sequences <strong>of</strong> cowpea (Vigna unguiculata (L.) Walp), pigeonpea (Cajanus cajan (L.) Millsp.), groundnut (Arachis<br />

hypogaea L.) and sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench) were used to simulate <strong>the</strong> rotations. Exist<strong>in</strong>g parameters<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> model for cowpea, pigeonpea and sorghum were found to capture <strong>the</strong> observed phenology and gra<strong>in</strong><br />

partition<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> experimental cultivars reasonably well. In <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> groundnut, new cultivar parameters were<br />

constructed and calibrated us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> observed harvest <strong>in</strong>dex and flower<strong>in</strong>g data. APSIM predicted total biomass and<br />

gra<strong>in</strong> yields <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> legume phase well. Sorghum yield was also predicted well <strong>in</strong> rotation after cowpea and<br />

groundnut, but <strong>the</strong> model under-predicted sorghum yield after pigeonpea and after sorghum <strong>in</strong> 2004/05 (Figure<br />

9A.5). <strong>The</strong> under-predictions were probably due to <strong>the</strong> exclusion <strong>of</strong> leaf fall <strong>in</strong> pigeonpea, and an under-estimation<br />

<strong>of</strong> soil N m<strong>in</strong>eralization <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> sorghum. Model output on sorghum N and water stresses <strong>in</strong>dicated that <strong>the</strong><br />

legume-cereal rotation is more driven by soil nitrogen availability than water availability even under semi-arid<br />

325

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