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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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Sociology 69<br />

vot<strong>in</strong>g turnout than women. Obviously this statement comes about by sort<strong>in</strong>g<br />

a sample <strong>of</strong> people first by status <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n cross-tabulations for each subset <strong>and</strong><br />

vot<strong>in</strong>g turnout.<br />

One might suspect that such ‘variate language’ becomes ra<strong>the</strong>r monotonous.<br />

This however is not <strong>the</strong> case, because <strong>the</strong> variates <strong>the</strong>mselves can be <strong>of</strong> very<br />

different k<strong>in</strong>ds. They might characterize collectives as well as <strong>in</strong>dividuals, be<br />

taken at different time periods, refer to behaviour as well as to reports on ‘<strong>in</strong>ner’<br />

experiences, etc. By comb<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> formalism <strong>of</strong> cross-tabulations with an<br />

appropriate classification <strong>of</strong> k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> variates, one arrives at a typology <strong>of</strong><br />

propositions <strong>in</strong> variate language which has far-reach<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tellectual implica-<br />

tions.<br />

I have selected three terms which play a considerable role <strong>in</strong> sociological<br />

discussion: process, context <strong>and</strong> typology. I shall advance a concrete example<br />

for each, to show that <strong>the</strong>se three notions, usually <strong>in</strong>troduced ra<strong>the</strong>r vaguely, can<br />

have a precise representation <strong>in</strong> variate language. It is not claimed that all <strong>the</strong><br />

nuances which a series <strong>of</strong> writers essay with <strong>the</strong>se terms are captured this way.<br />

It would be more correct to say that variate language expresses a m<strong>in</strong>imum<br />

common content which is implied <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> various applications. But such a trans-<br />

lation has a double advantage. First, <strong>in</strong> each special case one can test whe<strong>the</strong>r<br />

<strong>the</strong> term used satisfies a core criterion. Secondly, if <strong>the</strong>re is surplus mean<strong>in</strong>g<br />

one wil be <strong>in</strong> a much better position to br<strong>in</strong>g it to light.<br />

The concrete examples drawn from a variety <strong>of</strong> <strong>research</strong> areas will, I hope,<br />

make <strong>the</strong> discussion more vivid. No importance is attached to <strong>the</strong>ir specific<br />

content. The reader wil easily th<strong>in</strong>k <strong>of</strong> similar cases <strong>in</strong> his own field <strong>of</strong> experience.<br />

Social process<br />

It is not necessary to engage <strong>in</strong> a complicated discussion <strong>of</strong> causality <strong>in</strong> order<br />

to reach a po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> general agreement: <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> study <strong>of</strong> <strong>social</strong> processes, one<br />

cannot talk easily about one factor caus<strong>in</strong>g ano<strong>the</strong>r or apply a simple stimulus-<br />

response model. Any <strong>in</strong>stitutional change has consequences for people’s<br />

attitudes, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>se, <strong>in</strong> turn, create <strong>the</strong> need for fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>stitutional changes.<br />

For example, a majority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> populace elects a government; <strong>the</strong> actions <strong>of</strong><br />

this government create public op<strong>in</strong>ion which is quite different <strong>in</strong> its distribution,<br />

than that which existed orig<strong>in</strong>ally; <strong>the</strong> will<strong>in</strong>gness <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> populace to support<br />

<strong>the</strong> government is <strong>the</strong>n different than what it was <strong>in</strong>itially. Some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se changes<br />

come about ra<strong>the</strong>r quickly; o<strong>the</strong>rs, over a considerable time, <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong>ten, through<br />

long cha<strong>in</strong>s <strong>of</strong> mediat<strong>in</strong>g factors, br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>the</strong>m unanticipated consequen-<br />

ces. In o<strong>the</strong>r words, <strong>the</strong> range <strong>of</strong> factors <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> such <strong>social</strong> processes, <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> immediacy <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir occurrence, may vary greatly.<br />

The image <strong>of</strong> such a process is best captured <strong>in</strong> a diagram which, <strong>in</strong> itself, has<br />

an <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g history. It was orig<strong>in</strong>ally used by <strong>the</strong> Dutch economist, T<strong>in</strong>bergen,<br />

to expla<strong>in</strong> modern bus<strong>in</strong>ess cycle analysis; it was <strong>the</strong>n applied to sociological<br />

problems by <strong>the</strong> present author; still later, it was used by <strong>the</strong> psychologist,<br />

Hovl<strong>and</strong>, to discuss <strong>the</strong> differences between laboratory experiments <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

study <strong>of</strong> ‘natural’ changes.

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