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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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Demography 407<br />

173. This practical aspect <strong>of</strong> demographic <strong>research</strong> is not entirely to its advantage.<br />

Observ<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>the</strong> demographers’ areas <strong>of</strong> <strong>research</strong> are so closely<br />

ak<strong>in</strong> to his own preoccupations, <strong>the</strong> man-<strong>in</strong>-<strong>the</strong>-street may be tempted to th<strong>in</strong>k<br />

that <strong>the</strong>re is no need to be a specialist to discuss <strong>the</strong>se problems. Whereas no one<br />

would dream <strong>of</strong> cast<strong>in</strong>g doubt on <strong>the</strong> assertions <strong>of</strong> an astrophysicist expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong> his observations on <strong>the</strong> sun, for example, it is not unusual to see <strong>the</strong><br />

conclusions <strong>of</strong> demographic <strong>research</strong> called <strong>in</strong> question by persons who have no<br />

authority <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> matter. S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>se conclusions are generally based on ‘probabilities’,<br />

it is, by def<strong>in</strong>ition, always possible to quote particular cases which<br />

contradict <strong>the</strong>m. The would-be demographer is bound to be led <strong>in</strong>to such misconceptions.<br />

174. One way <strong>of</strong> remedy<strong>in</strong>g this unfortunate situation would be to give demo-<br />

graphic tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g a place <strong>of</strong> its own <strong>in</strong> education. So far, this tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g has never<br />

been very well <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> various educational systems, <strong>and</strong> it is under-<br />

st<strong>and</strong>able that public op<strong>in</strong>ion should not take with all due seriousness <strong>the</strong> results<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>research</strong> which even <strong>the</strong> universities long regarded as unworthy <strong>of</strong> be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

taught as a separate subject <strong>in</strong> its own right. Considerable progress has been<br />

made <strong>in</strong> this direction over <strong>the</strong> past few years, but much still rema<strong>in</strong>s to be done.<br />

175. S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> subjects <strong>of</strong> demographic <strong>research</strong> are closely related to actual<br />

situations, <strong>the</strong>ir variety necessitates, as a rule, a choice <strong>in</strong>fluenced by <strong>the</strong> condi-<br />

tions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> moment. Moreover, it is <strong>of</strong>ten at this price that it is possible to<br />

obta<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> necessary funds for <strong>research</strong>. For <strong>in</strong>stance, a team <strong>of</strong> demographers<br />

work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Asia wil not direct its <strong>research</strong> along <strong>the</strong> same l<strong>in</strong>es as ano<strong>the</strong>r<br />

team work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Europe. The first team wil tend to concern itself with prob-<br />

lems raised by <strong>the</strong> very high fertility rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> countries <strong>in</strong> which it is liv<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

while <strong>the</strong> second wil ra<strong>the</strong>r study those raised by <strong>the</strong> decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> fertility<br />

rate such, for example, as <strong>the</strong> age<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> populations.<br />

This diversity <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terests might lead to a belief <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> existence, among demog-<br />

raphers, <strong>of</strong> different schools <strong>of</strong> thought throughout <strong>the</strong> world. In fact, this<br />

diversity does no more than <strong>in</strong>dicate differences <strong>in</strong> demographic situations <strong>and</strong>,<br />

contrary to what may be observed <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>human</strong> sciences, demographers all<br />

agree on <strong>the</strong> content <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir science.<br />

NOTES<br />

I. We are referr<strong>in</strong>g here to sexual reproduction, with <strong>the</strong> marriage <strong>in</strong>stitution as a<br />

natural consequence.<br />

2. We have here an essential difference between <strong>human</strong> sciences <strong>and</strong> those concerned<br />

with <strong>in</strong>animate matter. With <strong>the</strong> latter, you cannot descend below a certa<strong>in</strong> ‘quan-<br />

tum’ <strong>of</strong> action. Of course, it is not impossible that one day we shall discover that<br />

<strong>human</strong> science phenomena are, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir turn, ‘quantified’.<br />

3. Conversely, it can be asked if population censuses have not been used sometimes<br />

to change <strong>the</strong> way <strong>of</strong> th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population concerned, for <strong>in</strong>stance, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

case <strong>of</strong> a new nation. The fact <strong>of</strong> be<strong>in</strong>g counted creates a bond between <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>habi-

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