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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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Demography 355<br />

accumulation; so much so that history is as much <strong>the</strong> future as it is <strong>the</strong> past.<br />

Certa<strong>in</strong>ly, for <strong>the</strong> liv<strong>in</strong>g be<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> present is not separated from <strong>the</strong> past, but he<br />

wants to be also a creation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> future. This quality, <strong>in</strong> a rudimentary stage <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> primitive liv<strong>in</strong>g be<strong>in</strong>gs, is def<strong>in</strong>itely developed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> man who, no<br />

longer prepared to undergo his existence, <strong>in</strong>sists on build<strong>in</strong>g it up.<br />

No doubt it would be as well to recall here what we were say<strong>in</strong>g just now<br />

about <strong>the</strong> evolution <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>animate matter <strong>and</strong> that <strong>of</strong> liv<strong>in</strong>g matter. Essence <strong>and</strong><br />

existence are probably to be found <strong>in</strong> all phenomena. But it is with man that<br />

<strong>the</strong> difference between ‘be<strong>in</strong>g’ <strong>and</strong> ‘exist<strong>in</strong>g’ takes on its full mean<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>and</strong> that<br />

alone gives <strong>research</strong> <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> <strong>human</strong> sciences a special orientation <strong>of</strong> its own.<br />

I I. Now, if it is true that every demographic event is a moment <strong>in</strong> a given life<br />

<strong>and</strong> can only be understood when re-<strong>in</strong>serted <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> totality <strong>of</strong> that life, it is<br />

equally true that every such event is also subject to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> condi-<br />

tions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> time. For <strong>in</strong>stance, <strong>the</strong> death <strong>of</strong> a person depends certa<strong>in</strong>ly on his<br />

past life, but also on <strong>the</strong> sanitary conditions exist<strong>in</strong>g at <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> his decease.<br />

If he goes through some area where an epidemic is rag<strong>in</strong>g, he runs a far greater<br />

risk <strong>of</strong> dy<strong>in</strong>g than if he stays somewhere which is free from contagious disease.<br />

It is for demographic analysis to disclose <strong>and</strong> gauge <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> condi-<br />

tions prevail<strong>in</strong>g at <strong>the</strong> time. Instantaneous behaviour <strong>the</strong>n appears as <strong>the</strong> result<br />

<strong>of</strong> two sets <strong>of</strong> factors: those which only have a mean<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> a specific<br />

history, <strong>and</strong> those <strong>the</strong> existence <strong>of</strong> which is determ<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> environmental<br />

conditions prevail<strong>in</strong>g. It is essential to draw a careful dist<strong>in</strong>ction between <strong>the</strong>m,<br />

for <strong>the</strong>re is a great temptation to confuse <strong>the</strong> two. A lower<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fertility<br />

rate due, for <strong>in</strong>stance, to an economic crisis does not necessarily mean any<br />

last<strong>in</strong>g change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> behaviour <strong>of</strong> married couples. More <strong>of</strong>ten than not, <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

desires will not have changed at all. They will merely be putt<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong>f <strong>the</strong> birth <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>ir children to a later date when <strong>the</strong> crisis has disappeared.<br />

12. The variety <strong>of</strong> phenomena brought <strong>in</strong>to play by demographic events gives<br />

an all-embrac<strong>in</strong>g scientificcharacter to demographic <strong>research</strong>. Of all <strong>the</strong> <strong>human</strong><br />

sciences, demography is <strong>the</strong> one that can least afford to do without <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

sciences. We have already mentioned biology, sociology <strong>and</strong> psychology, but<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r discipl<strong>in</strong>es should be added: political economy <strong>in</strong>asmuch as <strong>the</strong> <strong>human</strong><br />

be<strong>in</strong>g is a producer dur<strong>in</strong>g a part <strong>of</strong> his life <strong>and</strong> a consumer dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> whole <strong>of</strong><br />

it; ethnology <strong>in</strong>asmuch as behaviour attitudes are determ<strong>in</strong>ed by cultural fac-<br />

tors; ecology <strong>in</strong>asmuch as man lives <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> midst <strong>of</strong> nature <strong>and</strong> is <strong>the</strong>refore oblig-<br />

ed to enter <strong>in</strong>to a k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>of</strong> symbiosis with her, <strong>and</strong> philosophy <strong>in</strong>asmuch as demo-<br />

graphic events possess a clear ontological significance. Then <strong>the</strong>re are ma<strong>the</strong>-<br />

matics <strong>and</strong> statistics which provide demography with its analytical tools, <strong>and</strong><br />

technology which, through modify<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> environment, gives rise to new types<br />

<strong>of</strong> behaviour. Geography, medic<strong>in</strong>e, history, law <strong>and</strong> crim<strong>in</strong>ology, <strong>the</strong>ology,<br />

ethics, political sciences, educational science - all <strong>the</strong>se are brought <strong>in</strong>to touch<br />

at one time or ano<strong>the</strong>r with demography. One can say that progress <strong>in</strong> any one<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se sciences has immediate bear<strong>in</strong>gs on demographic <strong>research</strong>.5 This close<br />

l<strong>in</strong>k with all <strong>the</strong> sciences is brought out <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> language, as witness <strong>the</strong> various

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