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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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Economics 3 I 7<br />

to imag<strong>in</strong>e that it wil ever be possible to elim<strong>in</strong>ate value judgements from <strong>the</strong><br />

choices <strong>and</strong> compromises that ultimately add up <strong>in</strong>to a plan.<br />

Econometric verification <strong>of</strong> growth <strong>the</strong>ories is also needed. The purpose is not<br />

to confirm <strong>the</strong>ir validity, as an econometric test, <strong>in</strong> that case, could, at best, serve<br />

to reject a <strong>the</strong>ory. Normally, econometric verification is employed to improve<br />

our knowledge <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> variability <strong>of</strong> parameters <strong>and</strong> suggest <strong>the</strong> modifications <strong>in</strong><br />

this respect that should be made to <strong>the</strong> m0del.~4<br />

2. Many models, based on <strong>the</strong> same <strong>the</strong>ory, can be elaborated. In particular,<br />

various comprehensive models <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> national economy can be elaborated on <strong>the</strong><br />

same <strong>the</strong>oretical premises. Rem<strong>in</strong>iscent <strong>of</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matical <strong>the</strong>ories <strong>of</strong> economic<br />

equilibrium, <strong>the</strong>se models consist <strong>of</strong> a system <strong>of</strong> equations, <strong>and</strong> seek to provide<br />

an optimum general solution. Attempts to construct <strong>the</strong>m, however, can hardly<br />

be described as satisfactory because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> difficulty, already mentioned, <strong>of</strong><br />

establish<strong>in</strong>g a uniform function, which can be maximized (or m<strong>in</strong>imized), for all<br />

<strong>the</strong> objectives <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy. Here, once aga<strong>in</strong>, we comeup aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>the</strong> familiar<br />

difficulties <strong>of</strong> aggregation <strong>and</strong> measurement, but <strong>in</strong> a slightly different form,<br />

deriv<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong> multiplicity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> objectives <strong>in</strong>herent <strong>in</strong> economic activity.<br />

Yet, l<strong>in</strong>ear programm<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r algorithms whose purpose is to achieve partial<br />

optimization may be succesfully used whenever it is possible to determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong><br />

goal function. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> whole burden <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> problems which growth <strong>the</strong>o-<br />

ries are <strong>in</strong>tended to deal with is transferred to <strong>the</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> constra<strong>in</strong>ts<br />

recorded as equations. In this respect, comprehensive models do not add to our<br />

knowledge. They may even lose <strong>the</strong>ir respectability if <strong>the</strong>y fail to resist <strong>the</strong><br />

temptation to use <strong>the</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g algorithms to solve <strong>the</strong> sets <strong>of</strong> equations on <strong>the</strong><br />

computer, without first tak<strong>in</strong>g sufficient care <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> elaboration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> parameters.<br />

3. Quite obviously, models which refer explicitly to a market economy wil<br />

differ <strong>in</strong> several characteristics from models which refer to a <strong>social</strong>ist economy,<br />

e.g. <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> emphasis <strong>the</strong>y place on effective dem<strong>and</strong>, or State <strong>in</strong>tervention. How-<br />

ever, <strong>the</strong> methods used will not differ significantly from those <strong>in</strong>dicated above.<br />

A planned capitalist economy comes somewhere between a market economy <strong>and</strong><br />

a <strong>social</strong>ist economy, <strong>and</strong> dem<strong>and</strong>s appropriate modifications <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> assumptions.<br />

But models which do not <strong>in</strong>dicate <strong>the</strong> type <strong>of</strong> economy for which <strong>the</strong>y are <strong>in</strong>-<br />

tended tend to be suspended <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> void, exercises <strong>in</strong> logic <strong>and</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matics that<br />

are <strong>in</strong>adequately related to reality. To prove this, it is not even necessary to<br />

resort to empirical verification; it need only be recalled, on formally logical<br />

grounds, that such models are <strong>in</strong>complete because <strong>the</strong>y neglect <strong>the</strong> socio-econom-<br />

ic dimension that is an essential feature <strong>of</strong> political economy.<br />

4. Many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> assumptions used <strong>in</strong> growth <strong>the</strong>ory are based on results ob-<br />

ta<strong>in</strong>ed through <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> development <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> function<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> economy, <strong>and</strong> through <strong>the</strong>m, on results <strong>of</strong> <strong>research</strong> <strong>in</strong> history, anthropol-<br />

ogy, sociology, psychology, <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> organization, <strong>and</strong> so on. This situa-<br />

tion is typical <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>human</strong> sciences: <strong>the</strong> parameters used for <strong>the</strong> purposes <strong>of</strong><br />

growth <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>and</strong> taken as given for <strong>the</strong> purpose <strong>of</strong> argument are really <strong>the</strong><br />

subject <strong>of</strong> <strong>research</strong> by o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>ories, or even discipl<strong>in</strong>es. This provides a useful<br />

<strong>in</strong>dication <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> purpose <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terdiscipl<strong>in</strong>ary approach <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>human</strong> scien-<br />

ces, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> way <strong>in</strong> which it must be utilized. Round-table meet<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> represen-

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