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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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The place <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sciences <strong>of</strong> man <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> system <strong>of</strong> sciences 29<br />

that <strong>of</strong> a journey.” What is more - much more - <strong>the</strong> measurement <strong>of</strong> a resultant<br />

tells us noth<strong>in</strong>g yet about <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ner mechanisms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> observed reaction, <strong>and</strong><br />

it is precisely those mechanisms which should be measured. It is, <strong>of</strong> course,<br />

possible to arrive - through a system <strong>of</strong> correlation raised to <strong>the</strong> second power -<br />

at a so-called factorial analysis, but we know nei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> nature <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ‘factors’<br />

thus disclosed nor <strong>the</strong>ir mode <strong>of</strong> action, so that <strong>the</strong>y rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> fact entirely related<br />

to <strong>the</strong> tests utilized, <strong>and</strong> thus to <strong>the</strong>resultants or performances, <strong>and</strong> bear no<br />

direct relationship to <strong>the</strong> formative mechanisms. Briefly, <strong>the</strong>n, <strong>the</strong> metrical<br />

procedures <strong>of</strong> psychology do provide data which are useful <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> step-by-step<br />

comparison <strong>of</strong> details concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> various mental operations, but<br />

because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> absence <strong>of</strong> any system <strong>of</strong> units permitt<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> passage from<br />

effects back to <strong>the</strong> causal mechanism, those operations rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>accessible.<br />

But <strong>the</strong> situation is by no means hopeless, or even disquiet<strong>in</strong>g, for <strong>the</strong>re are<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r logico-ma<strong>the</strong>matical structures besides those which are numerical or<br />

metric, <strong>and</strong> whilst number may be a particularly practical tool <strong>in</strong> processes <strong>of</strong><br />

comparison, <strong>the</strong>re are many o<strong>the</strong>r forms <strong>of</strong> isomorphism besides numerical<br />

correspondence. The difficulty <strong>in</strong> creat<strong>in</strong>g systems <strong>of</strong> units may thus spr<strong>in</strong>g<br />

from <strong>the</strong> nature <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> biological, mental or biological-mental structures <strong>the</strong>mselves,<br />

<strong>in</strong> which case such structures might lend <strong>the</strong>mselves to topological or<br />

qualitative algebraic treatment, ra<strong>the</strong>r than to processes <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g numerical<br />

‘groups’, ‘r<strong>in</strong>gs’, or ‘bodies’. Philosophers have <strong>of</strong>ten speculated on this resistance<br />

to measurement <strong>in</strong> psychology. Psychologists, more prudently, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

first place refuse to consider <strong>the</strong> matter as settled, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> meantime make use<br />

<strong>of</strong> broader <strong>and</strong> more flexible logico-ma<strong>the</strong>matical <strong>in</strong>struments <strong>and</strong> structures,<br />

rang<strong>in</strong>g from one extreme (<strong>the</strong> many probabilistic models) to <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r (<strong>the</strong> models<br />

<strong>of</strong> algebraic logic) without, <strong>of</strong> course, neglect<strong>in</strong>g cybernetic models. Thus,<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> sphere <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>telligence, qualitative algebraic structures permit <strong>the</strong> description<br />

<strong>of</strong> operations <strong>the</strong>mselves <strong>and</strong> not merely <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir products <strong>and</strong> resultants -<br />

which are all that can be measured at <strong>the</strong> present time. Moreover, <strong>the</strong>se operations<br />

may be analysed as perfectly-balanced products <strong>of</strong> numerous genetically<br />

anterior determ<strong>in</strong>ations which <strong>the</strong>n derive from cybernetic models (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

those related to <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> decisions or <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> games). In all questions<br />

<strong>of</strong> development, where measurement, properly speak<strong>in</strong>g, is <strong>of</strong> no assistance, at<br />

least at <strong>the</strong> present time, it is still possible to turn for assistance to scales <strong>of</strong><br />

hierarchic ord<strong>in</strong>ation (such as those <strong>of</strong> Guttman); <strong>and</strong> Suppes has described a<br />

whole range <strong>of</strong> scales between nom<strong>in</strong>al <strong>and</strong> metrical classification : mention<br />

may be made <strong>in</strong> particular <strong>of</strong> ‘hyperord<strong>in</strong>al’ scales, where <strong>in</strong>tervals between one<br />

value <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> next cannot be reduced to unitary factors (equivalent between<br />

<strong>the</strong>mselves), but may already be evaluated as greater or lesser than one ano<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

Thanks to <strong>the</strong>se different models, psychology, even though it has not yet<br />

overcome <strong>the</strong> problem <strong>of</strong> measurement <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> sense <strong>of</strong> an absolute reduction to<br />

number <strong>and</strong> to unit systems, is <strong>in</strong> possession <strong>of</strong> statistical data <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> qualitative<br />

logico-ma<strong>the</strong>matical structures which are sufficient to permit, <strong>in</strong> many cases, a<br />

certa<strong>in</strong> degree <strong>of</strong> prediction <strong>of</strong> phenomena (for example <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> fields <strong>of</strong> perception<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>telligence) <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> particular <strong>the</strong> beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> some form <strong>of</strong> explanation<br />

(see below, under 7).

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