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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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536 Raymond Boudon<br />

lation-spread <strong>and</strong> migration from 1945 to 1955, along with a proportion <strong>of</strong><br />

efficacious analytical <strong>and</strong> stochastic models, also <strong>of</strong>fers us a whole collection <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>research</strong>es associated notably with <strong>the</strong> names <strong>of</strong> Dodd <strong>and</strong> Zipf, which resolute-<br />

ly held to <strong>the</strong> tradition <strong>of</strong> curve-fitt<strong>in</strong>g models. Later on, we shall i<strong>in</strong>d Zipf,<br />

work<strong>in</strong>g on shakily developed hypo<strong>the</strong>ses, endeavour<strong>in</strong>g to apply <strong>the</strong> Newtonian<br />

law <strong>of</strong> attraction to migratory phenomena.<br />

II. THE MAJOR TRENDS CHARACTERIZING THE APPLICATIONS OF MATHEMATICAL<br />

METHODS AND MODELS IN THE HUMAN SCIENCES<br />

Before go<strong>in</strong>g on to exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> greater detail <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matical models <strong>and</strong><br />

methods utilized by <strong>the</strong> <strong>human</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>social</strong> sciences, it will be useful to recall <strong>the</strong><br />

ma<strong>in</strong> traits <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matical methodology as <strong>the</strong>y seem to have been tak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

shape <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> last few years.<br />

A. The quantitative <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matical models<br />

Here we have what is <strong>the</strong> most superficial but also <strong>the</strong> most strik<strong>in</strong>g feature <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> situation: all discipl<strong>in</strong>es have now reached <strong>the</strong> po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> heavy reliance on<br />

ma<strong>the</strong>matical <strong>in</strong>strumentation, <strong>and</strong> what was true <strong>of</strong> economics alone before<br />

<strong>the</strong> second world war is now equally true <strong>of</strong> psychology, sociology, anthropol-<br />

ogy <strong>and</strong> l<strong>in</strong>guistics, not to mention demography.<br />

Without enlarg<strong>in</strong>g on this, it is enough to po<strong>in</strong>t out that collected papers <strong>and</strong><br />

textbooks with ‘ma<strong>the</strong>matical psychology’ or ‘ma<strong>the</strong>matical sociology’ <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

titles are becom<strong>in</strong>g more <strong>and</strong> more common. As regards psychology, we have<br />

Developments <strong>in</strong> Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Psychology, published <strong>in</strong> 1960 under <strong>the</strong> general<br />

editorship <strong>of</strong> Luce, <strong>the</strong> three-volume H<strong>and</strong>book <strong>of</strong> Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Psychology,<br />

published <strong>in</strong> 1963 under <strong>the</strong> editorship <strong>of</strong> Luce, Bush <strong>and</strong> Galanter, Contribu-<br />

tions to Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Psychology, published <strong>in</strong> 1964 with Gulliksen as editor.<br />

In sociology, <strong>the</strong>re is Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Social Sciences, published<br />

<strong>in</strong> 1954 under <strong>the</strong> direction <strong>of</strong> Lazarsfeld, Coleman’s recent Introduction to<br />

Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Sociology, which came out <strong>in</strong> 1964, <strong>and</strong> Alker’s Ma<strong>the</strong>matics <strong>and</strong><br />

Politics, which appeared <strong>in</strong> 1965. There is also Kemeny <strong>and</strong> Snell’s pluridisci-<br />

pl<strong>in</strong>ary Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Models <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Social Sciences, published <strong>in</strong> 1962. This<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> textbooks <strong>and</strong> collected writ<strong>in</strong>gs on ma<strong>the</strong>matical methodology is<br />

important, as it is <strong>in</strong>dicative <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> effort undertaken to provide an <strong>in</strong>troduction<br />

to this methodology at student level.<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r sign <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> general trend to ma<strong>the</strong>maticization is <strong>the</strong> proliferation <strong>of</strong><br />

new journals devoted specifically to methodological problems : <strong>the</strong>re is, for<br />

<strong>in</strong>stance, <strong>the</strong> bullet<strong>in</strong> Mathtmatiques et sciences huma<strong>in</strong>es, founded <strong>in</strong> 1963, <strong>the</strong><br />

Journal <strong>of</strong> Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Psychology, <strong>the</strong> Journal <strong>of</strong> Multivariate Methods, <strong>and</strong><br />

Quality <strong>and</strong> Quantity, all founded quite lately, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> recently rechristened<br />

British Journal<strong>of</strong> SfatisticaZ<strong>and</strong>Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Psychology. In addition, journals<br />

are be<strong>in</strong>g published like Behavioral Science which transcend <strong>the</strong> limits <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual discipl<strong>in</strong>es, <strong>and</strong> study <strong>the</strong> problems attach<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> a

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