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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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378 Jean Bourgeois-Pichat<br />

rate, <strong>the</strong> fluctuations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> latter also have <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>fluence on <strong>the</strong> economy.<br />

Someth<strong>in</strong>g resembl<strong>in</strong>g a perpetual series <strong>of</strong> oscillations could even result,<br />

economy <strong>and</strong> fertility rate vary<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>def<strong>in</strong>itely, changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> one giv<strong>in</strong>g rise to<br />

variations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r. A whole new behavioural science lies here ready to be<br />

created <strong>in</strong> which sociology, political economy <strong>and</strong> demography should help<br />

each o<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

IV. DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH AND HUMAN ECOLOGY<br />

74. In order to exercise his functions as a consumer <strong>and</strong> producer, <strong>and</strong> to pre-<br />

pare himself for <strong>the</strong> same, to start a family, have children, make arrangements<br />

for his old age, <strong>and</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ally, die, man settles down <strong>in</strong> his outer environment<br />

through a process <strong>of</strong> mutual adaptation, modify<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> environment <strong>and</strong> at <strong>the</strong><br />

same time accept<strong>in</strong>g certa<strong>in</strong> aspects <strong>of</strong> it. Human ecology is <strong>the</strong> study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se<br />

relations between man <strong>and</strong> his environment.<br />

Migrations<br />

75. We have already referred to <strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> migratory movements, <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>y traditionally form part <strong>of</strong> demographic <strong>research</strong>. The <strong>research</strong>er aims at<br />

gett<strong>in</strong>g to know <strong>the</strong>ir scope, direction <strong>and</strong> motivation, but <strong>the</strong>se aims, it must<br />

be admitted, have rema<strong>in</strong>ed very far ahead <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> results so far achieved. We can<br />

learn a lot from population censuses about <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> population <strong>in</strong> a<br />

given territory <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> various localities, but <strong>the</strong>y tell us noth<strong>in</strong>g<br />

about <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ner dynamics <strong>of</strong> such movements. All <strong>the</strong>se localities appear to be<br />

<strong>the</strong> scene <strong>of</strong> powerful go<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> com<strong>in</strong>gmovements. Annual <strong>in</strong>take <strong>and</strong> exit rates<br />

<strong>of</strong> around 40 per 1,000 are by no means uncommon, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> positive or negative<br />

balance <strong>of</strong> 4 to 5 per 1,000 revealed by <strong>the</strong> census seems to leave out <strong>of</strong> account<br />

<strong>the</strong> essential aspect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> matter. From <strong>the</strong> po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> view <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>habitants <strong>of</strong> a<br />

locality, <strong>the</strong>re is not much difference between a situation <strong>in</strong> which <strong>the</strong> arrival<br />

rate is 40 per 1,000 <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> departure rate 30 per 1,000 <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> reverse situation:<br />

arrival rate 30 per 1,000 <strong>and</strong> departure rate 40 per 1,000. In each case <strong>the</strong> local-<br />

ity witnesses <strong>the</strong> departure <strong>of</strong> an important section <strong>of</strong> its <strong>in</strong>habitants <strong>and</strong> has to<br />

extend a welcome to about <strong>the</strong> same number <strong>of</strong> new arrivals. One can hardly<br />

believe that <strong>the</strong> newcomers take <strong>the</strong> place <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> leavers.<br />

In fact, such movements are <strong>in</strong>variably accompanied by changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

demographic, economic, <strong>social</strong> <strong>and</strong> cultural structure, <strong>and</strong> if a town with a<br />

surplus <strong>of</strong> leavers has a little less difficulty <strong>in</strong> absorb<strong>in</strong>g arrivals than has one with<br />

a surplus <strong>of</strong> arrivals, <strong>the</strong> two problems do not differ essentially. What can be<br />

described as <strong>the</strong> ‘float<strong>in</strong>g population’, composed <strong>of</strong> those who decided to go <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>of</strong> those who came to stay, represents just about <strong>the</strong> same number <strong>in</strong> each case.<br />

The importance <strong>of</strong> such go<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g movements is obvious. That new<br />

science concerned with ‘<strong>the</strong> organization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> territory’ (am<strong>in</strong>agement du<br />

territoire) requires that we should know about <strong>the</strong>m if we want to be able to<br />

channel <strong>the</strong>m. Research <strong>in</strong> this connexion has been begun <strong>in</strong> a good many<br />

places. The process<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> data collected by population censuses with <strong>the</strong> aid <strong>of</strong>

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