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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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322 Economics<br />

a. They serve to test <strong>the</strong> sensitivity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy to changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividual<br />

variables <strong>and</strong> parameters.<br />

6. They provide a means <strong>of</strong> rapidly illustrat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> general consequences that<br />

would result from adopt<strong>in</strong>g various alternative assumptions made dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

prelim<strong>in</strong>ary discussions about <strong>the</strong> major options; <strong>and</strong> several efficient <strong>in</strong>itial<br />

alternatives can be submitted for <strong>the</strong> policy-maker’s choice.<br />

c. They force <strong>the</strong> teams <strong>of</strong> planners to rationalize <strong>and</strong> to make explicit (sub-<br />

sequently if necessary) all <strong>the</strong> assumptions <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>ses <strong>the</strong>y have <strong>in</strong>cor-<br />

porated by more conventional methods <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> plan. This has considerable<br />

educational value, all <strong>the</strong> more so as, from <strong>the</strong> practical po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> view, we are<br />

more concerned with plann<strong>in</strong>g as a cont<strong>in</strong>uous process than with successive<br />

plans.<br />

d. They provide a basis for simulation games (whose rble as a substitute for<br />

laboratory experiment was mentioned above).<br />

e. They provide additional equipment for <strong>the</strong> co-ord<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> sectoral plans,<br />

<strong>and</strong> for <strong>the</strong> general control <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> whole plann<strong>in</strong>g process.<br />

This is a spectacular aspect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matization <strong>of</strong> economics. Its fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

development calls for close co-operation between <strong>the</strong> model-builders <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

planners, <strong>and</strong> for a prolonged dialogue between economists <strong>and</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>maticians<br />

that has only just begun but undoubtedly represents a most significant develop-<br />

ment for <strong>the</strong> future <strong>of</strong> economics.<br />

III. SOME OF THE MAJOR ISSUES FACING ECONOMICS TODAY<br />

Part I dealt with <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal development <strong>of</strong> economics or ra<strong>the</strong>r, certa<strong>in</strong> <strong>trends</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> that development. Part II described <strong>the</strong> ‘workshop’ <strong>of</strong> economics, i.e. showed<br />

how <strong>research</strong> methods <strong>and</strong> techniques developed. Progress <strong>in</strong> economics will be<br />

bound up with <strong>the</strong>ir fur<strong>the</strong>r development, with <strong>the</strong> amplification <strong>of</strong> some cur-<br />

rent <strong>the</strong>ories <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> rejection <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rs, with <strong>the</strong> use <strong>and</strong> improvement <strong>of</strong> exist-<br />

<strong>in</strong>g methods <strong>and</strong> techniques <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rs, new, more efficient<br />

<strong>and</strong> sophisticated. Progress <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> political economy (which is devoted<br />

to praxis <strong>and</strong> has close l<strong>in</strong>ks with <strong>social</strong> eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g, a science which has grown<br />

immensely <strong>in</strong> scope, responsibilities <strong>and</strong> status <strong>in</strong> this age characterized by <strong>the</strong><br />

unprecedented technological progress that has enabled man to exp<strong>and</strong> his con-<br />

trol over <strong>the</strong> forces <strong>and</strong> riches <strong>of</strong> nature) depends, f<strong>in</strong>ally, on <strong>the</strong> solution <strong>of</strong> cer-<br />

ta<strong>in</strong> problems implied by praxis <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> widest sense.<br />

The section which follows attempts to outl<strong>in</strong>e some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> card<strong>in</strong>al problems<br />

fac<strong>in</strong>g economics today.<br />

A. The factors <strong>and</strong> conditions <strong>of</strong> economic growth<br />

Asked to name <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> problem <strong>in</strong> economics today, <strong>the</strong> economist would<br />

undoubtedly answer: <strong>the</strong> factors <strong>and</strong> conditions <strong>of</strong> economic growth. It might<br />

be po<strong>in</strong>ted out that growth has always been <strong>the</strong> fundamental issue <strong>in</strong> economics;

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