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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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Demography 385<br />

go<strong>in</strong>g to lead us, but we may expect it to prove <strong>of</strong> very considerable aid to<br />

demographic <strong>research</strong>, so long as it is not forgotten that noth<strong>in</strong>g wil ever be<br />

able to replace direct observation <strong>of</strong> reality. The appearance <strong>of</strong> new methods <strong>of</strong><br />

analysis <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> electronic computers has not only <strong>in</strong>fluenced <strong>research</strong>, but has<br />

also had an effect on <strong>the</strong> teach<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> demography: today demographers must<br />

receive substantial tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matics.<br />

96. The application <strong>of</strong> population policies <strong>of</strong>fers a good illustration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

difficulties encountered experimentally. For <strong>in</strong>stance, <strong>in</strong> order to facilitate<br />

family plann<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> question <strong>of</strong> which contraceptive measures were best suited<br />

to a given cultural environment was considered. Several groups <strong>of</strong> couples were<br />

formed to whom different sorts <strong>of</strong> contraceptives were given, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> results<br />

were observed. In this way, <strong>the</strong> necessary conditions for a proper experiment<br />

were established. Unfortunately, <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>in</strong> one group very quickly dis-<br />

covered that those <strong>in</strong> ano<strong>the</strong>r group had different contraceptive means to <strong>the</strong>irs<br />

<strong>and</strong> this led to various exchanges. Reactions on <strong>the</strong> part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> observed thus<br />

had a disturb<strong>in</strong>g effect on <strong>the</strong> conditions for <strong>the</strong> experiment.<br />

It has sometimes been thought that when a government brought <strong>in</strong> legislation<br />

concern<strong>in</strong>g family allowances it was engaged <strong>in</strong> a genu<strong>in</strong>e experiment, but it<br />

cannot revert to <strong>the</strong> preced<strong>in</strong>g situation. If it f<strong>in</strong>ds it has made a mistake, it is<br />

unable to rectify it, <strong>and</strong> it sets <strong>in</strong> motion an evolution ra<strong>the</strong>r than an experiment.<br />

97. In contrast to <strong>the</strong> special l<strong>in</strong>es <strong>of</strong> <strong>research</strong> which we have <strong>in</strong>dicated above,<br />

<strong>and</strong> which were connected with specific problems, we must henceforth expect<br />

<strong>research</strong> to be developed <strong>in</strong> every direction as a result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> progress made <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> means <strong>of</strong> observation.<br />

VII. THE CONTRIBUTION OF DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH TO THE OTHER SCIENCES<br />

98. Every time a branch <strong>of</strong> science helps to solve a question raised by demo-<br />

graphic <strong>research</strong>, it st<strong>and</strong>s to benefit itself from <strong>the</strong> <strong>research</strong> work thus <strong>in</strong>stigat-<br />

ed. So we can say that with regard to each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> subjects we have exam<strong>in</strong>ed,<br />

demographic <strong>research</strong> has some contribution to make to <strong>the</strong> sciences con-<br />

cerned.<br />

99. Just as demographic <strong>research</strong>, however, f<strong>in</strong>ds itself held up by unsolved<br />

questions <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sciences, so it is likely that <strong>the</strong>se same sciences also en-<br />

counter matters that have not yet been studied by <strong>the</strong> demographer, because he<br />

is for <strong>the</strong> most part unaware <strong>of</strong> those sectors to which his <strong>research</strong> could be<br />

directed so as to be <strong>of</strong> use to o<strong>the</strong>rs.<br />

Hence <strong>the</strong> demographer is badly placed for <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> what way he can<br />

help <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sciences. This is ra<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> task <strong>of</strong> special-<br />

ists <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sciences. We shall <strong>the</strong>refore conf<strong>in</strong>e ourselves to a few general<br />

considerations.

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