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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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400 Jean Bourgeois-Pichat<br />

This is a method <strong>of</strong> deal<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>the</strong>se problems which is also used <strong>in</strong> France.<br />

In Mexico, <strong>the</strong> Centro de Estudios Econdmicos y Demogrkficos was established<br />

<strong>in</strong> 1964 by <strong>the</strong> Colegio de Mbico, <strong>and</strong> s<strong>in</strong>ce 1967 it has been publish<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

periodical, Demografia y Economia. This juxtaposition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> words ‘Demo-<br />

grafia’ <strong>and</strong> ‘Economfa’ is <strong>in</strong> itself significant. It shows that <strong>the</strong>re is a real desire<br />

to see economists <strong>and</strong> demographers work<strong>in</strong>g toge<strong>the</strong>r. In <strong>the</strong> first numbers,<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest has been focused on <strong>the</strong> geographical distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population <strong>in</strong><br />

relation to economic <strong>and</strong> regional development.<br />

Projections <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> active population have been prepared, tak<strong>in</strong>g account <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>ternal migrations. In <strong>the</strong>se studies <strong>the</strong> macroscopic approach has been adopt-<br />

ed, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>y should ra<strong>the</strong>r be classified among <strong>the</strong> first series mentioned above.<br />

But <strong>the</strong>y are <strong>the</strong> precursors <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>research</strong>es that are, moreover, already<br />

under way <strong>and</strong> are follow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> tradition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> British, American <strong>and</strong> French<br />

studies to which reference has just been made. The Centre <strong>in</strong>tends ‘to exam<strong>in</strong>e<br />

<strong>the</strong> relations between <strong>the</strong> economic trend <strong>and</strong> education’. A pilot project has<br />

already been carried out on <strong>the</strong> relations between higher education, science <strong>and</strong><br />

technology, on <strong>the</strong> one h<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> economic development <strong>in</strong> Mexico, on <strong>the</strong><br />

o<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

Mention should also be made <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> work done by OECD (Organization for<br />

Economic Co-operation <strong>and</strong> Development). This organization has tackled <strong>the</strong><br />

same problems, adopt<strong>in</strong>g a different approach. A calculation has been made <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> correlations exist<strong>in</strong>g between <strong>the</strong> employment :structure <strong>and</strong> a host <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>of</strong> economic production. It is hoped <strong>in</strong> this way to go on from a plan<br />

for <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> production to a projection <strong>of</strong> employment. The work is<br />

proceed<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

OECD has published a methodological work on Argent<strong>in</strong>a, <strong>in</strong> which it is shown<br />

how far it is possible to go by us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> traditional methods, that is to say,<br />

without mak<strong>in</strong>g use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> employment matrix.<br />

145. With regard to <strong>the</strong> active population represent<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> satisfaction’T<strong>of</strong><br />

desires that are universally regarded as legitimate, it has never been calculated,<br />

for <strong>the</strong> same reason for which exchanges between branches are seldom expressed<br />

<strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> men. Yet <strong>the</strong> results would, without any doubt, be highly <strong>in</strong>structive.<br />

We should f<strong>in</strong>d that, to satisfy <strong>the</strong> needs <strong>of</strong> a population <strong>of</strong> 50 million,<br />

70 million persons would, for <strong>in</strong>stance, be necessary.37 This would br<strong>in</strong>g out<br />

clearly <strong>the</strong> absurdity <strong>of</strong> endeavour<strong>in</strong>g to satisfy all <strong>the</strong> needs immediately. It<br />

would at <strong>the</strong> same time make it possible to estimate <strong>the</strong> tensions produced by<br />

discrepancies <strong>of</strong> this type, which expla<strong>in</strong> how it is that <strong>the</strong> dissatisfaction’:<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

younger generation f<strong>in</strong>ds a favourable echo among <strong>the</strong> rest <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population.<br />

It is doubtful whe<strong>the</strong>r such questions can be solved without adopt<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

pr<strong>in</strong>ciple <strong>of</strong> shock-teams mentioned earlier <strong>in</strong> connexion with <strong>the</strong> Milbank<br />

Memorial Fund projects for mortality studies.<br />

146. So far, we have been concerned with producers. In <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> consumers,<br />

<strong>the</strong> problem is easier, s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> various categories <strong>of</strong> consumers are mostly<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>ed with <strong>the</strong> aid <strong>of</strong> demographic parameters such as age, civil status,

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