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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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Economics 329<br />

Aga<strong>in</strong>st this background, <strong>the</strong> ‘new economics’ was forced to rel<strong>in</strong>quish <strong>the</strong><br />

idea <strong>of</strong> a self-operat<strong>in</strong>g mechanism <strong>of</strong> adaptation, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>troduce a new factor<br />

<strong>in</strong>to economic reason<strong>in</strong>g- <strong>the</strong> State. In ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g that his <strong>the</strong>ory applied only <strong>in</strong><br />

conditions <strong>of</strong> unemployment <strong>and</strong> that, under full employment, <strong>the</strong> neo-classical<br />

approach (which regarded <strong>the</strong> automatism <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market process as sacred) would<br />

aga<strong>in</strong> become valid, Keynes was less propound<strong>in</strong>g a scientifically-based concept<br />

than demonstrat<strong>in</strong>ghis attachment to tradition <strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong> ideologyassociated with it.<br />

In consider<strong>in</strong>g questions <strong>of</strong> long-term economic dynamics, economics must<br />

have resort to <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>human</strong> sciences <strong>and</strong> - especially when production tech-<br />

nology <strong>trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> widest sense are concerned - to <strong>the</strong> natural <strong>and</strong> technical<br />

sciences - as can be seen even <strong>in</strong> growth <strong>the</strong>ory studies on <strong>the</strong> second group <strong>of</strong><br />

problems mentioned above (<strong>the</strong> identification <strong>and</strong> quantification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> func-<br />

tional relationships that exist between <strong>the</strong> variations <strong>of</strong> different growth factors,<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> correspond<strong>in</strong>g variations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>and</strong> structure <strong>of</strong> output). This is<br />

<strong>the</strong> realm <strong>of</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matical growth models, whose validity is too <strong>of</strong>ten rated<br />

accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> degree <strong>of</strong> formalization <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> complexity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matical<br />

apparatus. Even <strong>the</strong> most (ma<strong>the</strong>matically) complex models, however, fail to<br />

yield categorical conclusions on any substantive question, provid<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stead,<br />

f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> type: ‘Assum<strong>in</strong>g a given character <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relationships between <strong>the</strong><br />

variables, <strong>and</strong> a given behaviour <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dependent variables, <strong>the</strong> dynamic<br />

process wil take such <strong>and</strong> such a course’.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> sake <strong>of</strong> methodology, progress is obviously very important here.<br />

Methods for treat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly complex relationships are particularly needed,<br />

e.g. models for <strong>the</strong> different production sectors, <strong>in</strong>stead <strong>of</strong> models conf<strong>in</strong>ed as<br />

hi<strong>the</strong>rto to aggregate national <strong>in</strong>come only. However, <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> problem lies<br />

elsewhere.<br />

It is conta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> first <strong>and</strong> third <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> problems listed above (I) <strong>the</strong> iden-<br />

tification <strong>and</strong> classification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> factors which directly or <strong>in</strong>directly determ<strong>in</strong>e<br />

<strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> output <strong>and</strong> effect changes <strong>in</strong> its structure; (3) <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestigation <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> sources <strong>and</strong> <strong>trends</strong> <strong>of</strong> change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> factors <strong>of</strong> growth), <strong>and</strong> hence, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> anal-<br />

ysis <strong>of</strong> circumstances which are not amenable to treatment <strong>in</strong> an econometric<br />

model, <strong>and</strong> cannot be reduced to a s<strong>in</strong>gle set <strong>of</strong> assumptions. Contemporary<br />

economics must <strong>the</strong>refore strive to process data which reflect changes <strong>in</strong> large<br />

<strong>social</strong> structures, taken <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir entirety; hence it must seek to jo<strong>in</strong> forces with<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r discipl<strong>in</strong>es, <strong>and</strong> especially <strong>the</strong> <strong>social</strong> sciences, to an extent that has not taken<br />

place except <strong>in</strong> sporadic <strong>in</strong>stances dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> past few decades. For this purpose,<br />

economics does not have to merge with sociology, psychology, anthropology,<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> law, politics, <strong>and</strong> so on; nor does it have to become a passive con-<br />

sumer vis-&-vis <strong>the</strong> technical sciences, or passively accept certa<strong>in</strong> applications <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> natural sciences (<strong>in</strong>cidentally, economic considerations have undoubtedly<br />

<strong>in</strong>fluenced <strong>the</strong> <strong>research</strong> <strong>in</strong>terests <strong>of</strong> scientists <strong>in</strong> various doma<strong>in</strong>s, though never<br />

sufficiently). What economists must do is to extend <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>terest to <strong>in</strong>clude<br />

f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sciences which are relevant to <strong>the</strong>m, devote more attention than<br />

<strong>the</strong>y have done hi<strong>the</strong>rto to problems that lie between <strong>the</strong> traditionally delimited<br />

frontiers <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r discipl<strong>in</strong>es, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vite specialists from o<strong>the</strong>r discipl<strong>in</strong>es to co-<br />

operate with <strong>the</strong>m <strong>in</strong> solv<strong>in</strong>g complex problems.

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