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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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658 Ste<strong>in</strong> Rokkan<br />

growth <strong>of</strong> centralized bureaucracies <strong>and</strong> mass democracies reflected more than<br />

a century <strong>of</strong> discussion on contrasts <strong>and</strong> similarities between national develop-<br />

ments <strong>in</strong> Europe <strong>and</strong> America <strong>and</strong> between <strong>the</strong> West <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> East. The data for<br />

suchventuresvaried enormously <strong>in</strong> reliability,precision <strong>and</strong> coverage, <strong>and</strong> ranged<br />

from fairly well-<strong>research</strong>ed historical <strong>and</strong> legal evidence, over unevaluated<br />

bodies <strong>of</strong> crude <strong>of</strong>ficial statistics, to impressionistic accounts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> work<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

<strong>of</strong> particular <strong>in</strong>stitutions <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> ‘psychology’ <strong>of</strong> different local populations.<br />

Scholars follow<strong>in</strong>g Weber’s path face a serious dilemma. If <strong>the</strong>y decide to con-<br />

t<strong>in</strong>ue his work <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory-construction, <strong>the</strong>y will ei<strong>the</strong>r f<strong>in</strong>d it impossible to<br />

establish an adequate data basis for <strong>the</strong>ir analyses or come under heavy <strong>and</strong><br />

justified attacks from historians <strong>and</strong> area specialists for ignorance <strong>and</strong> distortions<br />

<strong>and</strong> for Procrustean classifications <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutions <strong>and</strong> processes. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

h<strong>and</strong>, if <strong>the</strong>y concentrate <strong>the</strong>ir efforts on comparative data ga<strong>the</strong>r<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> evalu-<br />

tion <strong>the</strong>y soon run <strong>in</strong>to difficulties <strong>of</strong> conceptual <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical<br />

<strong>in</strong>terpretation.28<br />

Shmuel Eisenstadt’s gigantic contribution to comparative analysis, The<br />

Political System <strong>of</strong> Empires”9, exemplifies one possible <strong>research</strong> strategy. He<br />

develops an elaborate model <strong>of</strong> processes <strong>of</strong> centralization, bureaucratization<br />

<strong>and</strong> debureaucratization, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n seeks to test <strong>the</strong> consequences aga<strong>in</strong>st evi-<br />

dence for five pre-bureaucratic societies <strong>and</strong> twenty-seven historical bureaucratic<br />

societies. The problems encountered <strong>in</strong> such attempts are two-fold: first, are<br />

<strong>the</strong> categories precise enough for effective analysis <strong>and</strong> are <strong>the</strong>y mean<strong>in</strong>gful<br />

across so many different areas <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world <strong>and</strong>, secondly, does <strong>the</strong> evidence<br />

available allow some measure <strong>of</strong> consensus among experts on <strong>the</strong> categorization<br />

<strong>of</strong> concrete <strong>in</strong>stances ? To fit so many different cases, Eisenstadt’s categories<br />

had to leave a considerable marg<strong>in</strong> <strong>of</strong> imprecision, but this very imprecision<br />

makes many <strong>of</strong> his one-man categorizations <strong>of</strong> concrete cases highly debatable,<br />

despite an extraord<strong>in</strong>ary display <strong>of</strong> detailed historical erudition.<br />

Re<strong>in</strong>hard Bendix’s volume on Nation-Build<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Citizensh@30 exemplifies a<br />

more cautious approach: a number <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical dist<strong>in</strong>ctions first set out by<br />

Tocqueville <strong>and</strong> Weber are worked out <strong>in</strong> greater detail <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n illustrated<br />

through <strong>the</strong> analysis <strong>of</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> concrete national developments. Barr<strong>in</strong>g-<br />

ton Moore’s work on <strong>the</strong> conditions for <strong>the</strong> emergence <strong>of</strong> multi-party democra-<br />

cies or mass dictatorships3I <strong>of</strong>fers a detailed review <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> comparative histories<br />

<strong>of</strong> alliance formation among agricultural, commercial <strong>and</strong> bureaucratic elites<br />

<strong>in</strong> Engl<strong>and</strong>, France, <strong>the</strong> United States, Ch<strong>in</strong>a, Japan <strong>and</strong> India, <strong>and</strong> demonstrates<br />

how it is possible to make use <strong>of</strong> a variety <strong>of</strong> concrete data from culturally very<br />

different countries for purposes <strong>of</strong> systematic comparison. Seymour Mart<strong>in</strong><br />

Lipset’s early work exemplified an empirical strategy:3e Political Man is essen-<br />

tially <strong>the</strong> outgrowth <strong>of</strong> a series <strong>of</strong> efforts to assemble prima facie comparable<br />

data on society <strong>and</strong> politics for a number <strong>of</strong> countries. His later contributions<br />

seek to achieve a better balance between <strong>the</strong>ory-construction <strong>and</strong> empirical<br />

analysis. His work The First New Nation is essentially an attempt to br<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Tocqueville’s <strong>in</strong>terpretation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> uniqueness <strong>of</strong> American society up to date<br />

through <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> a new analytical framework <strong>and</strong> through <strong>the</strong><br />

collation <strong>of</strong> illustrative quantitative comparisons. Many future cornparativists

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