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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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542 Raymond Boudon<br />

<strong>social</strong> sciences described above are not <strong>the</strong> only ones which could be po<strong>in</strong>ted out.<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r such function which can be <strong>in</strong>stanced is what might be called quasi-<br />

experimentation. It is particularly important <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> discipl<strong>in</strong>es like eco-<br />

nomics or sociology which, with some exceptions, cannot conduct experiments.<br />

Where this is so, it is possible to represent a particular real position by a model,<br />

<strong>and</strong> study <strong>the</strong> latter’s behaviour under different structural conditions. This is a<br />

typical situation <strong>in</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matical economics: s<strong>in</strong>ce it is usually impossible to<br />

manipulate <strong>the</strong> economic variables experimentally, to determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>ir variations, <strong>the</strong> <strong>research</strong>er sets about construct<strong>in</strong>g models <strong>in</strong>corporat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

quantities <strong>in</strong> which he is <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> form <strong>of</strong> parameters, so as to make a<br />

quasi-experimental study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se parameters on <strong>the</strong> behaviour <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> system symbolized by <strong>the</strong> model.<br />

The quasi-experimentation function is not new. However, it has been consid-<br />

erably extended: it is no longer a monopoly <strong>of</strong> economics; sociology now uses<br />

it on a large scale as is evidenced by <strong>the</strong> work <strong>of</strong> Simon or Abelson on group<br />

dynamics, by Rapoport’s <strong>research</strong>es on <strong>the</strong> phenomena <strong>of</strong> diffusion, etc.4<br />

A more general account <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> rBle <strong>of</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matics <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>human</strong> sciences wil be given <strong>in</strong> Section D below. All that has been sought to do<br />

here is to br<strong>in</strong>g out <strong>the</strong> diversification <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> functions <strong>of</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matics which <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>human</strong> sciences’ recent developments entail.<br />

C. The new fields <strong>of</strong> <strong>research</strong> dependent on a ma<strong>the</strong>matical methodology<br />

Although this section covers some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> same ground as <strong>the</strong> preced<strong>in</strong>g one,<br />

it is as well to recapitulate briefly <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> fields <strong>of</strong> <strong>research</strong> which have latterly<br />

become accessible to methodologies <strong>of</strong> a ma<strong>the</strong>matical type.<br />

In psychology <strong>and</strong> <strong>social</strong> psychology, we have <strong>the</strong> considerable development<br />

<strong>of</strong> test <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>and</strong> measurement <strong>the</strong>ory. These are such technical areas that<br />

henceforward only <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>essional ma<strong>the</strong>matician or statistician wil be able<br />

to contribute to <strong>the</strong>m. As we have seen, <strong>the</strong>y provide <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> subject matter <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> review Psychometrika; <strong>in</strong> addition, new works <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> field are cont<strong>in</strong>ually<br />

appear<strong>in</strong>g.5 As well as <strong>the</strong> long-recognized fields <strong>of</strong> measurement <strong>and</strong> test<br />

<strong>the</strong>ory, <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matical <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> learn<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>of</strong> recent, but rapid devel-<br />

opment, on which one or more publications appear each year.6 Aga<strong>in</strong>, logic <strong>and</strong><br />

ma<strong>the</strong>matics are now resorted to on a large scale <strong>in</strong> developmental psychology<br />

<strong>in</strong> general, <strong>and</strong> genetic psychology <strong>in</strong> particular.<br />

In economics, <strong>the</strong>re has been a considerable development <strong>of</strong> econometric<br />

methods both for micro-economic phenomena <strong>and</strong> for macro-economic phe-<br />

nomena <strong>of</strong> limited <strong>in</strong>cidence, while important progress has been achieved <strong>of</strong><br />

recent years <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> field <strong>of</strong> optimization procedures. Today, l<strong>in</strong>ear <strong>and</strong> dynamic<br />

programm<strong>in</strong>g are used extensively on partial phenomena when <strong>the</strong> utility func-<br />

tion can be def<strong>in</strong>ed.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>research</strong> <strong>in</strong>to optimization at <strong>the</strong> macro-economic level is<br />

be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tensively pursued.<br />

In <strong>social</strong> psychology <strong>and</strong> sociology, ma<strong>the</strong>matical models are be<strong>in</strong>g used for

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