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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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408 Jean Bourgeois-Pichat<br />

tants, streng<strong>the</strong>ns <strong>the</strong> feel<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> belong<strong>in</strong>g to a group. Possibly it is this idea which<br />

is expressed <strong>in</strong> Article II <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> United States’ Constitution.<br />

4. In <strong>the</strong> survey, <strong>the</strong> 58 % is found with a marg<strong>in</strong> for error which depends on <strong>the</strong> size<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sample. W e know, for <strong>in</strong>stance, that it is situated between 55 <strong>and</strong> 61 %. By<br />

question<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> entire population, we know <strong>the</strong> exact percentage. It will be 58.2%,<br />

for example. W e will have ga<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> precision; will have a better idea <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> popula-<br />

tion’s ‘situation’. But op<strong>in</strong>ion will have been affected to such an extent that we<br />

shall no longer know where we are at <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total survey. We should no<br />

longer know anyth<strong>in</strong>g about <strong>the</strong> population ‘rate’ <strong>in</strong> relation to <strong>the</strong> phenomenon<br />

be<strong>in</strong>g exam<strong>in</strong>ed.<br />

5. Of course, <strong>the</strong> converse is also true.<br />

6. In small populations, even without <strong>the</strong> differential choice <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> marriage partner<br />

or <strong>the</strong> differential fertility, mortality or migration rates, <strong>the</strong> mere operation <strong>of</strong><br />

chance causes a variation <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> proportion <strong>of</strong> genes - what is known as genetic<br />

deviation. However, <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> this is only noticeable <strong>in</strong> very small populations.<br />

7. We assume that first cous<strong>in</strong>s <strong>and</strong> descendants <strong>of</strong> first cous<strong>in</strong>s are <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>ter-marriage area.<br />

8. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, we know little about <strong>the</strong> short-term <strong>in</strong>fertility which affects a girl<br />

immediately after puberty.<br />

9. More exactly 75o.000 oocytes, forerunners <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ovules.<br />

IO. At <strong>the</strong> socio-biological stage, short-term variations are observable <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> birth-rate,<br />

even if only for example, seasonal variations.They are <strong>the</strong>n due, seem<strong>in</strong>gly, to<br />

modifications <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>tra-uter<strong>in</strong>e mortality rate, whe<strong>the</strong>r provoked or unprovoked.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> former case, to which may be added <strong>in</strong>fanticide, we have already a partial<br />

psycho-sociological determ<strong>in</strong>ant <strong>of</strong> fertility.<br />

I I. It might well be asked <strong>in</strong> this connexion, if it is not such tensions which have lent<br />

so much prom<strong>in</strong>ence to discussions concern<strong>in</strong>g abortion dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> last few years.<br />

12. It is known, moreover, that sexual <strong>in</strong>tercourse prior to marriage is by no means a<br />

rarity, <strong>and</strong> a strong proportion <strong>of</strong> first-borns are <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong> pre-marriage concep-<br />

tions. What is less well known is to what extent such pre-marital relations are <strong>the</strong><br />

result or <strong>the</strong> cause <strong>of</strong> marriage.<br />

13. The outside environment can also be changed. For <strong>in</strong>stance, malaria has been<br />

banished from vast tracts <strong>of</strong> country by <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> powerful <strong>in</strong>secticides. On <strong>the</strong><br />

o<strong>the</strong>r h<strong>and</strong>, economic development can also have evil consequences : thus irrigation<br />

has encouraged <strong>the</strong> spread <strong>of</strong> diseases such as bilharziasis.<br />

14. It can be conceded that <strong>the</strong> ancestor who no longer produces anyth<strong>in</strong>g directly<br />

still participates <strong>in</strong> production by be<strong>in</strong>g, for example, ‘<strong>the</strong> one who knows <strong>the</strong><br />

group’s past’, provided that this past is regarded by <strong>the</strong> group as useful to its<br />

daily life.<br />

15. The type <strong>of</strong> hospital depends, for example, on <strong>the</strong> mortality rate. Diseases that<br />

call for attention differ accord<strong>in</strong>g to whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> mortalitv rate is high or low.<br />

16. Unless gifts are received from a foreign country.<br />

17. We are referr<strong>in</strong>g here to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>come <strong>of</strong> a private citizen. The global capital <strong>in</strong>come<br />

is very much higher, but only a fraction <strong>of</strong> this is distributed to <strong>the</strong> owner <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

capital. This fraction normally represents 4 or 5 % on <strong>the</strong> capital.<br />

18. By resort<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> world capital market it is possible to exceed this percentage.<br />

But, obviously, not all countries can do this.<br />

19. A part <strong>of</strong> a State’s or collectivity’s f<strong>in</strong>ancial resources can also be derived from<br />

capital <strong>in</strong>come.<br />

20. Certa<strong>in</strong> countries have exceeded this percentage.<br />

21. Seen from <strong>the</strong> angle <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, I % <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> national revenue <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

wealthy countries represents IO % <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> revenue <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> poor countries - which is<br />

far from be<strong>in</strong>g a negligeable amount.<br />

22. We mean here a practical possibility, for before electronic computers existed it<br />

was <strong>of</strong> course already possible to compare two census returns one by one. But this<br />

was a lengthy process <strong>and</strong> only very rarely undertaken. Now, with <strong>the</strong> aid <strong>of</strong>

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