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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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506 Jean Piaget<br />

C(t) = c.Y(t) <strong>and</strong> I(t) = v - dY(t.J<br />

dt<br />

c <strong>and</strong> v be<strong>in</strong>g respectively <strong>the</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>al propensity towards consumption <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment coefficient.<br />

The former is a function <strong>of</strong> consumption <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most common type. The<br />

second law translates globally <strong>the</strong> reactions to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment decisions <strong>of</strong><br />

economic agents faced with variations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> national <strong>in</strong>come: we have here,<br />

<strong>in</strong> its simplest form, <strong>the</strong> well-known phenomenon <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> accelerator which<br />

‘repercusses’, as regards <strong>in</strong>vestment, <strong>the</strong> variations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> national <strong>in</strong>come. This<br />

elementary dynamic model may <strong>the</strong>n be reduced to <strong>the</strong> differential equation<br />

-=-- I-c I dY(t)<br />

v Y(t) dt<br />

<strong>the</strong> immediate solution <strong>of</strong> which, tak<strong>in</strong>g account <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>itial condition<br />

Y(o) = YO, is Y(t) = Yoopt with, for <strong>the</strong> sake <strong>of</strong> simplification,<br />

p=-=--,<br />

I-c s<br />

v v<br />

where S represents <strong>the</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>al propensity to save. The rate <strong>of</strong> growth p,<br />

normally positive, is <strong>the</strong>refore proportional to <strong>the</strong> propensity to save <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>-<br />

versely proportional to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment coefficient. The model can <strong>the</strong>n be<br />

represented by <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g diagram <strong>in</strong> which <strong>the</strong> circles represent variables<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> parallelograms represent <strong>the</strong> transformations undergone by <strong>the</strong>m (<strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> direction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> arrows):<br />

Feedbacks may be recognized <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> two loops <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> diagram. The first trans-<br />

lates <strong>the</strong> ‘multiplicator effect’: Y(t) is self-<strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g through <strong>the</strong> agency <strong>of</strong><br />

C(t). The second translates <strong>the</strong> ‘accelerator effect’ : Y(t) is self-<strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

through <strong>the</strong> agency <strong>of</strong> I(t). Both effects are additi~e.3~<br />

The method <strong>of</strong> which <strong>the</strong> forego<strong>in</strong>g is a concrete example <strong>of</strong>fers two advan-<br />

tages, one from <strong>the</strong> viewpo<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> economic <strong>research</strong> itself <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong> that<br />

it supplies a representation <strong>of</strong> mechanisms common to all <strong>the</strong> life <strong>and</strong> <strong>human</strong><br />

sciences (not only because loop systems are found <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>m all but also because<br />

circles <strong>of</strong> production, consumption <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment recur <strong>in</strong> all fields <strong>of</strong> values<br />

<strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ality as well as values <strong>of</strong> yield).<br />

From <strong>the</strong> viewpo<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> economic science (which, we repeat, can serve as an<br />

example because, <strong>in</strong>ter alia, <strong>of</strong> its <strong>in</strong>f<strong>in</strong>ite possibilities <strong>of</strong> measurement), patterns

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