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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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350 Economics<br />

<strong>of</strong> transition to <strong>social</strong>ism <strong>and</strong> about <strong>the</strong> so-called oriental mode <strong>of</strong> production. On<br />

this latter po<strong>in</strong>t, see E. HOBSBAWM’S <strong>in</strong>troduction to <strong>the</strong> English edition <strong>of</strong> Marx’s<br />

manuscript Pre-Capitalist Forms <strong>of</strong>Production, London, 1964, <strong>and</strong>various articles <strong>in</strong><br />

La Penske.<br />

68. Actually, Rostow is close to all <strong>the</strong> authors who, <strong>in</strong>dulg<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> statistical formalism,<br />

attempt to derive quantitative laws <strong>of</strong> development via regression equations - from<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual variables <strong>in</strong> per capita level <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>come.<br />

69. Rostow’s book has also met with many criticisms on historical grounds. One <strong>of</strong><br />

many is <strong>the</strong> article by H. BAUDET <strong>and</strong> J. H. VAN STUYVENBERG <strong>in</strong> Weltwirtschaft-<br />

Iiches Archiv 15 (I), 1963, pp. 57-58.<br />

70. It becomes more <strong>and</strong> more difficult to separate ma<strong>the</strong>matics from logic. Ma<strong>the</strong>matization<br />

is used here to <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>the</strong> application <strong>in</strong> economics <strong>of</strong> up-to-date, formalized<br />

apparatus <strong>of</strong> logic, <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> decisions, etc.<br />

71. A considerable part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> so-called ma<strong>the</strong>matical economics was devoted to<br />

deduc<strong>in</strong>g consequences from <strong>the</strong> unrealistic assumptions <strong>of</strong> perfect competition<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> automatic convergent adaptative market processes. Welfare economics<br />

builds a whole prescriptive system on <strong>the</strong> assumption <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> existence <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividual<br />

utility functions, subject to maximization. Besides <strong>the</strong> fact that it is impossible to<br />

make such utility functions operational, Mrs. Joan Rob<strong>in</strong>son was right when she<br />

attacked ‘<strong>the</strong> idle wheels <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pure <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> welfare’, draw<strong>in</strong>g attention to its<br />

ideological bias: ‘Sett<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> whole th<strong>in</strong>g out <strong>in</strong> algebra is a great help. The symmetrical<br />

relations between x <strong>and</strong> y seem smooth <strong>and</strong> amiable, entirely free from<br />

<strong>the</strong> associations <strong>of</strong> acrimony which are apt to be suggested by <strong>the</strong> relations between<br />

‘capital’ <strong>and</strong> ‘labour’, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> apparent rationality <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> system <strong>of</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> product between <strong>the</strong> factors <strong>of</strong> production conceals <strong>the</strong> arbitrary nature <strong>of</strong><br />

distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> factors between <strong>the</strong> chaps’ (Economic Philosophy).<br />

72. Econometrics deals with items (a) <strong>and</strong> (b), without exhaust<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>m. Cf. Lange:<br />

‘Econometrics is <strong>the</strong> science which deals, by statistical methods, with <strong>the</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ation<br />

<strong>of</strong> concrete, quantitative regularities occurr<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> economic life’. With<br />

<strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> plann<strong>in</strong>g, planimetrics tends to become a separate branch <strong>of</strong><br />

econometrics.<br />

73. A good recent example <strong>of</strong> an application to economics <strong>of</strong> a method worked out<br />

by physicists <strong>and</strong> eng<strong>in</strong>eers for <strong>the</strong>ir own practical use is <strong>the</strong> ‘dimensional analysis’<br />

already referred to.<br />

74. We agree with Pierre Auger that ‘il n’y a pas de savant qui ne pense cont<strong>in</strong>uellement<br />

par modkles - m6me s’il ne I’avoue ni aux autres ni a hi-meme’, but only <strong>the</strong> logical<br />

construction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> model enables us to penetrate it <strong>and</strong> seize upon new features,<br />

which are <strong>in</strong> turn subjected to empirical verification.<br />

75. In pr<strong>in</strong>ciple, tools exist which facilitate an optimum choice <strong>of</strong> techniques <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

short-term optimization <strong>of</strong> foreign trade. Long-term optimization <strong>of</strong> foreign trade<br />

<strong>in</strong>volves f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> most efficient set <strong>of</strong> export-oriented or import-substitut<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

projects. However, <strong>the</strong>re are no uniform criteria for optimization <strong>of</strong> a<br />

consumption pattern; because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> variables <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir heterogeneity -<br />

rapidly <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>the</strong> rise <strong>in</strong> liv<strong>in</strong>g st<strong>and</strong>ards - this rema<strong>in</strong>s one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most<br />

difficult problems <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> economics.<br />

76. Comments based on similar experiences <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> USSR, France, Pol<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Hungary<br />

(cf. <strong>the</strong> papers by N. FEDORENKO <strong>and</strong> M . GODELIER <strong>in</strong>: The Social Sciences: Prob-<br />

lems <strong>and</strong> Orientations, op. cit.).<br />

77. Cf. <strong>the</strong> pert<strong>in</strong>ent sections <strong>in</strong> Part 11 <strong>of</strong> this chapter.<br />

78. Cf. Part 11.<br />

79. For a ‘praxiological ’<strong>in</strong>terpretation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> same, see above.

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