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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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Economics 305<br />

The situation <strong>in</strong> macro-economics is less encourag<strong>in</strong>g. It reflects <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong><br />

trend <strong>of</strong> <strong>research</strong> <strong>in</strong> economics dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> long <strong>in</strong>terval which separated <strong>the</strong><br />

writ<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> classical school from <strong>the</strong> thirties when, under <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

great depression <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> first Soviet experiments <strong>in</strong> plann<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong>re was a revival<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> macro-economics. There are also certa<strong>in</strong> objective difficulties.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> purposes <strong>of</strong> macro-economic analysis, national <strong>in</strong>come is <strong>the</strong> central<br />

category. Its creation <strong>and</strong> distribution can be viewed from different angles, e.g.<br />

physical composition <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>puts <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> output; distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>come as<br />

between <strong>the</strong> State <strong>and</strong> various <strong>social</strong> classes; division <strong>in</strong>to consumption, <strong>in</strong>-<br />

vestment, <strong>and</strong> stocks. These three optics are found simultaneously <strong>in</strong> Quesnay’s<br />

Tableau dconomique, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> well-known Marxian schemes <strong>of</strong> reproduction,<br />

but <strong>the</strong>ir use is feasible only at a high level <strong>of</strong> aggregation. Marx used three<br />

dichotomies : a) from <strong>the</strong> physical structure po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> view, he dist<strong>in</strong>guished<br />

between consumer goods <strong>and</strong> producer goods; b) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>come,<br />

between <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>and</strong> consumption; <strong>and</strong> c) two <strong>social</strong> classes, <strong>the</strong> workers<br />

who create <strong>the</strong> whole added value but whose share <strong>in</strong> it is represented by wages<br />

only, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> capitalists who, be<strong>in</strong>g owners <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> means <strong>of</strong> production, receive<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>its, i.e. <strong>the</strong> difference between <strong>the</strong> value added <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> wages. Marxian<br />

schemes were meant not so much as tools for describ<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> economy as to per-<br />

mit <strong>the</strong> elaboration <strong>of</strong> a <strong>the</strong>ory <strong>of</strong> dynamics, <strong>and</strong> he succeeded by coupl<strong>in</strong>g<br />

toge<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> three optics mentioned above. But this no longer provides an<br />

adequate framework for a more detailed description <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy. Closest to<br />

<strong>the</strong> Quesnay-Marx concept is <strong>the</strong><strong>in</strong>put-output table. The chessboardrecordmeth-<br />

odpermits two approaches simultaneously: a detailed analysis is made I) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

physical composition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>puts <strong>and</strong> outputs <strong>in</strong> physical or value terms, <strong>and</strong><br />

2) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al dest<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> products. However, <strong>the</strong> stake<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>social</strong>class-<br />

es <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> creation <strong>and</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> national <strong>in</strong>come is overlooked. In many<br />

systems <strong>of</strong> <strong>social</strong> account<strong>in</strong>g (an <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g example <strong>of</strong> borrow<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong> mi-<br />

cromethod <strong>of</strong> book-keep<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> adopt<strong>in</strong>g it to <strong>the</strong> requirements <strong>of</strong> macro-eco-<br />

nomics) each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> three approaches is <strong>the</strong> subject <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividual account<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>put-output table <strong>in</strong> value terms be<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>tegral part <strong>of</strong> a modern system <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>social</strong> account<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Let us consider <strong>in</strong>put-output tables. They provide a convenient analytical<br />

framework for describ<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> branch structure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy (static approach),<br />

for compar<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> state <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy at different periods (metastatics), or for<br />

comparisons between countries. The chessboard record allows matrix algebra<br />

to be used to a certa<strong>in</strong> extent, <strong>and</strong> hence allows a relatively far-reach<strong>in</strong>g use <strong>of</strong><br />

ma<strong>the</strong>matics. The <strong>in</strong>put-output method thus represents a considerable achieve-<br />

ment, with broad prospects <strong>of</strong> application. However, <strong>the</strong>re are certa<strong>in</strong> difficul-<br />

ties <strong>in</strong> render<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>put-output table dynamic, as all changes <strong>in</strong> technological<br />

coefficients must be treated as exogenous data.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>put-output tables, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>social</strong> account<strong>in</strong>g generally, two<br />

problems appear which are <strong>of</strong> significance for <strong>the</strong> whole body <strong>of</strong> economics:<br />

<strong>the</strong> problem <strong>of</strong> aggregation (or ra<strong>the</strong>r <strong>of</strong> disaggregation, <strong>the</strong> po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> departure<br />

be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> national economy as a whole), <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> closely connected problem <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> measurement <strong>of</strong> economic magnitudes. For certa<strong>in</strong> purposes, <strong>the</strong> national

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