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Main trends of research in the social and human ... - unesdoc - Unesco

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Cross-cultural, cross-societal <strong>and</strong> cross-national <strong>research</strong> 659<br />

wil no doubt cont<strong>in</strong>ue to pursue such ‘mixed‘ strategies, but substantial progress<br />

<strong>in</strong> this field does not seem likely unless we reach a higher level <strong>of</strong> differentiation<br />

<strong>and</strong> specialization <strong>in</strong> <strong>research</strong> roles: some <strong>social</strong> scientists wil no doubt<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ue to pursue <strong>the</strong>oretical ref<strong>in</strong>ements, but to meet <strong>the</strong>ir dem<strong>and</strong>s for evidence<br />

we must also encourage <strong>the</strong> formation <strong>of</strong> a broad phalanx <strong>of</strong> experts on<br />

a wide range <strong>of</strong> empirical data across several countires.<br />

To form a basis for detailed comparisons <strong>of</strong> rates <strong>of</strong> development with<strong>in</strong><br />

new as well as established nation-states, it is essential to supplement <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

from historical documents <strong>and</strong> observers’ reports with data from st<strong>and</strong>ardized<br />

counts <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r attempts at systematic <strong>social</strong>, cultural <strong>and</strong> political mapmak<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Only <strong>in</strong> this way is it possible to approach reliable estimates <strong>of</strong> changes<br />

over time <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> with<strong>in</strong>-unit variations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> conditions <strong>and</strong> sequences <strong>of</strong><br />

development.<br />

The statisticians <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Western world can look back on more than a century<br />

<strong>of</strong> cooperative efforts to st<strong>and</strong>ardize national bookkeep<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> census-tak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

procedures. The great Belgian pioneer, QuCtelet, established a network <strong>of</strong> contacts<br />

throughout Europe <strong>and</strong>, <strong>in</strong> 1851, took a decisive <strong>in</strong>itiative <strong>in</strong> launch<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

International Statistical Congresses. The next generation went fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong><br />

1887 set up <strong>the</strong> International Statistical Institute: this provided a basis for<br />

contacts among experts <strong>and</strong> adrn<strong>in</strong>istrators <strong>of</strong> many nations <strong>and</strong> prepared <strong>the</strong><br />

ground for <strong>the</strong> systematic work <strong>of</strong> comparison <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ardization later taken<br />

up at <strong>the</strong> governmental level by <strong>the</strong> League <strong>of</strong> Nations, <strong>the</strong> International<br />

Labour Organisation <strong>and</strong>, dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> last two decades, by <strong>the</strong> United Nations<br />

<strong>and</strong> its Specialized Agencies33<br />

It took a long time, however, before <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se developments was<br />

felt throughout <strong>the</strong> <strong>social</strong> sciences. The demographers were <strong>the</strong> first to develop<br />

<strong>the</strong> tools <strong>of</strong> analysis required <strong>in</strong> master<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>se vast quantities <strong>of</strong> data, <strong>the</strong><br />

economists followed suit after <strong>the</strong> Second World War, but <strong>the</strong> sociologists have<br />

only recently taken up <strong>the</strong> challenge <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g masses <strong>of</strong> cross-national<br />

data. The early fasc<strong>in</strong>ation with comparative statistics for suicide, homicide <strong>and</strong><br />

o<strong>the</strong>r items <strong>of</strong> Moralstatistik did not herald <strong>the</strong> advent <strong>of</strong> a comparative sociology<br />

<strong>of</strong> national development: Durkheim’s work was <strong>of</strong> great methodological<br />

significance but was not followed up through broader comparative <strong>in</strong>vestigations<br />

<strong>of</strong> processes <strong>of</strong> change <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustrializ<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> urbaniz<strong>in</strong>g nations. It is characteristic<br />

that <strong>the</strong> pioneer<strong>in</strong>g comparisons <strong>of</strong> mobility data published by Pitirim<br />

Sorok<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> Ig2734 barely caused any reaction <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> scholarly world at <strong>the</strong> time,<br />

<strong>and</strong> was discovered to be a true classic <strong>of</strong> cross-national <strong>research</strong> only after <strong>the</strong><br />

establishment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Research Committee on Social Stratification <strong>and</strong> Mobility<br />

under <strong>the</strong> auspices <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> International Sociological Association <strong>in</strong> 1951.35 The<br />

decisive breakthrough toward quantitative comparisons did not <strong>in</strong> fact occur<br />

until <strong>the</strong> 1950s: economists f<strong>in</strong>ally began to come seriously to grips with <strong>the</strong><br />

possibilities <strong>of</strong> precise analyses <strong>of</strong> rates <strong>and</strong> patterns <strong>of</strong> growth, sociologists<br />

started concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>mselves with comparative measures <strong>of</strong> processes <strong>of</strong><br />

structural change, <strong>and</strong> even students <strong>of</strong> politics ceased to be exclusively absorbed<br />

by s<strong>in</strong>gle systems <strong>and</strong> began try<strong>in</strong>g to work out schemes <strong>of</strong> comparison <strong>and</strong><br />

to devise ways <strong>of</strong> test<strong>in</strong>g hypo<strong>the</strong>ses quantitatively.

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